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Brasileirão Série BBrasileirão Série B· Kick-off : Wednesday, October 7, 2026, 23:30 (UK time)

Avai vs Londrina prediction: correct score and AI tips

Match analysis

Avai take on Londrina on Wednesday, October 7, 2026 at 23:30 (UK time), a Brasileirão Série B, matchday 32 fixture. Venue: Estádio da Ressacada, Florianopolis. Avai start as favourites with a 49% chance of victory; Londrina are given 26% and the draw 25%. On the correct score, 1-1 comes out on top (12.0%), followed by 1-0 (11.3%) and 2-1 (9.4%).

Avai have not won any of their last 5 matches (1 draw, 4 defeats), scoring 3 and conceding 8. Over their last 5 matches, Londrina have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats, scoring 10 and conceding 5. Londrina therefore arrive in far better shape than Avai. On average Avai score 0.60 and concede 1.60 goals per game; Londrina score 2.00 and concede 1.00. In the table, Avai sit 17th with 30 points from 29 games, Londrina 18th with 28 points from 29. The two teams are close in the standings.

In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Avai, 1 for Londrina and 0 draws. The most recent ended Londrina 3-2 Avai (Jun 16, 2026). In double chance terms, "Avai or draw" stands at 74%, "Londrina or draw" at 51% and "no draw" at 75%.

In short : Avai are favourites for this Avai v Londrina, with a 49% win probability from our model. In the table, Avai (17th, 30 pts) host Londrina (18th, 28 pts). Our model's most likely scoreline: 1-1.

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

49%
Avai (Win)
25%
Draw
26%
Londrina (Win)

Double chance

74%
Avai or draw
51%
Londrina or draw
75%
No draw

Most likely correct scores

Scores shown as Avai – Londrina. 1-1 is the single most likely scoreline (12.0%); the 5 scores below add up to 49% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.

ScoreProbability
Avai 1-1 Londrina12.0%
Avai 1-0 Londrina11.3%
Avai 2-1 Londrina9.4%
Avai 2-0 Londrina8.9%
Avai 0-1 Londrina7.6%

Goals: both teams to score, over/under

With 1.58 expected goals for Avai and 1.06 for Londrina, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 49% and "both teams to score" at 52%. Avai keep a clean sheet in 35% of scenarios, Londrina in 21%.

Probability
Avai expected goals1.58
Londrina expected goals1.06
Both teams to score52%
Over 1.5 goals74%
Over 2.5 goals49%
Over 3.5 goals27%
Avai clean sheet35%
Londrina clean sheet21%

Recent form

Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.

Avai

DateOpponentScore
Sep 20, 2026Goias · Brasileirão Série B1-2L
Sep 15, 2026Vila Nova · Brasileirão Série B1-1D
Sep 9, 2026Fortaleza EC · Brasileirão Série B0-1L
Sep 5, 2026Novorizontino · Brasileirão Série B1-3L
Aug 30, 2026Atletico Goianiense · Brasileirão Série B0-1L

Londrina

DateOpponentScore
Sep 20, 2026Fortaleza EC · Brasileirão Série B1-2L
Sep 15, 2026Ponte Preta · Brasileirão Série B6-0W
Sep 10, 2026São Bernardo · Brasileirão Série B2-1W
Sep 6, 2026Operario-PR · Brasileirão Série B1-2L
Sep 1, 2026Juventude · Brasileirão Série B0-0D

Standings before the match

Pos.PointsPlayed
Avai173029
Londrina182829

Head-to-head

DateScoreCompetition
Jun 16, 2026Londrina 3-2 AvaiBrasileirão Série B

Out and doubtful

Avai

No absences reported.

Londrina

No absences reported.

Most regular starters

Avai

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

  • Allyson5/5
  • Jean Lucas5/5
  • Paulo Vitor5/5
  • Reynaldo5/5
  • Bruno Ferreira4/5
  • Zé Ricardo3/5
  • Caio Suassuna Gonçalves Ferreira2/5
  • Daniel Penha2/5
  • DG2/5
  • Douglas Teixeira2/5
  • F. Vizeu2/5

Londrina

Starts over the last 4 matches (official line-ups).

  • Guilherme Dantas4/4
  • Wallace4/4
  • Caio Rodrigues3/4
  • Gabriel Lacerda3/4
  • Mauricio Kozlinski3/4
  • Gilberto2/4
  • Herbert2/4
  • Heron2/4
  • Igor Bahia2/4
  • João Coni2/4
  • João Vitor2/4

First detailed prediction free, no card required.

See the full prediction (scenario, scorers, half-time)

Other matches in this competition

Frequently asked questions

What is the Avai vs Londrina prediction?

Our AI gives Avai a 49% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Londrina 26%. Avai are therefore favourites.

What is the most likely correct score for Avai vs Londrina?

1-1 (12.0%), followed by 1-0 (11.3%), 2-1 (9.4%), 2-0 (8.9%) and 0-1 (7.6%).

Will both teams score in Avai vs Londrina?

The probability that both Avai and Londrina score is 52%. Avai have a 35% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Londrina 21%.

How many goals should we expect in Avai vs Londrina?

The model expects 2.64 goals (1.58 for Avai, 1.06 for Londrina). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 74%, over 2.5 goals 49%, over 3.5 goals 27%.

When and where is Avai vs Londrina played?

Wednesday, October 7, 2026 at 23:30 (UK time), Brasileirão Série B, matchday 32. Venue: Estádio da Ressacada, Florianopolis.

What form are Avai and Londrina in?

Avai: 0 wins, 1 draw and 4 defeats in their last 5 matches (3 scored, 8 conceded). Londrina: 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (10 scored, 5 conceded).

What is the head-to-head record between Avai and Londrina?

In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Avai, 1 for Londrina and 0 draws. The most recent ended Londrina 3-2 Avai (Jun 16, 2026).

How is the Avai vs Londrina prediction calculated?

The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.58 for Avai, 1.06 for Londrina) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.

Go further

Key terms explained