Skip to content
Elofoot

Brasileirão Série BBrasileirão Série B· Kick-off : Wednesday, October 7, 2026, 23:30 (UK time)

Avai vs Londrina: 2-1 result and AI prediction review

AvaiAvai2 – 1LondrinaLondrina

Review: prediction vs result

1X2 outcome correctExact score missedMost likely score before kick-off : 1-0

Final score: Avai 2-1 Londrina. The AI called the outcome correctly: it rated victory for Avai at 45%. The final score ranked 6th among the most likely scorelines (7.8%), behind 1-0. On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (39%): missed; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (33%): missed.

Match analysis

Avai and Londrina met on Wednesday, October 7, 2026, a Brasileirão Série B, matchday 32 fixture. Venue: Estádio da Ressacada, Florianopolis. Before kick-off, our model gave Avai a 45% chance of winning, the draw 30% and Londrina 25%. On the correct score, 1-0 comes out on top (16.1%), followed by 0-0 (13.4%) and 1-1 (13.0%).

Avai have not won any of their last 5 matches (1 draw, 4 defeats), scoring 2 and conceding 8. Over their last 5 matches, Londrina have 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats, scoring 9 and conceding 7. Londrina therefore arrive in far better shape than Avai. On average Avai score 0.40 and concede 1.60 goals per game; Londrina score 1.80 and concede 1.40. In the table, Avai sit 17th with 30 points from 31 games, Londrina 18th with 28 points from 31. The two teams are close in the standings.

In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Avai, 1 for Londrina and 0 draws. The most recent ended Londrina 3-2 Avai (Jun 16, 2026). In double chance terms, "Avai or draw" stands at 75%, "Londrina or draw" at 55% and "no draw" at 70%.

In short : Avai are favourites for this Avai v Londrina, with a 45% win probability from our model. In the table, Avai (17th, 30 pts) host Londrina (18th, 28 pts). Our model's most likely scoreline: 1-0.

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

45%
Avai (Win)
30%
Draw
25%
Londrina (Win)

Double chance

75%
Avai or draw
55%
Londrina or draw
70%
No draw

Most likely correct scores

Scores shown as Avai – Londrina. 1-0 is the single most likely scoreline (16.1%); the 5 scores below add up to 63% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.

ScoreProbability
Avai 1-0 Londrina16.1%
Avai 0-0 Londrina13.4%
Avai 1-1 Londrina13.0%
Avai 0-1 Londrina10.9%
Avai 2-0 Londrina9.6%

Goals: both teams to score, over/under

With 1.20 expected goals for Avai and 0.81 for Londrina, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 33% and "both teams to score" at 39%. Few goals are expected here. Avai keep a clean sheet in 45% of scenarios, Londrina in 30%.

Probability
Avai expected goals1.20
Londrina expected goals0.81
Both teams to score39%
Over 1.5 goals60%
Over 2.5 goals33%
Over 3.5 goals15%
Avai clean sheet45%
Londrina clean sheet30%

Recent form

Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.

Avai

DateOpponentScore
Oct 3, 2026Ceara · Brasileirão Série B0-1L
Sep 27, 2026Criciuma · Brasileirão Série B0-3L
Sep 20, 2026Goias · Brasileirão Série B1-2L
Sep 15, 2026Vila Nova · Brasileirão Série B1-1D
Sep 9, 2026Fortaleza EC · Brasileirão Série B0-1L

Londrina

DateOpponentScore
Oct 3, 2026Criciuma · Brasileirão Série B0-2L
Sep 26, 2026Vila Nova · Brasileirão Série B0-2L
Sep 20, 2026Fortaleza EC · Brasileirão Série B1-2L
Sep 15, 2026Ponte Preta · Brasileirão Série B6-0W
Sep 10, 2026São Bernardo · Brasileirão Série B2-1W

Standings before the match

Pos.PointsPlayed
Avai173031
Londrina182831

Head-to-head

DateScoreCompetition
Jun 16, 2026Londrina 3-2 AvaiBrasileirão Série B

Out and doubtful

Avai

No absences reported.

Londrina

No absences reported.

Most regular starters

Avai

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

  • Allyson5/5
  • Bruno Ferreira5/5
  • Reynaldo5/5
  • Daniel Penha4/5
  • Douglas Teixeira4/5
  • Jean Lucas4/5
  • Paulo Vitor4/5
  • Ze Ricardo4/5
  • Gabriel Simples3/5
  • Rildo3/5
  • Caio Suassuna2/5

Londrina

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

  • Herbert5/5
  • Igor Bahia5/5
  • Wallace5/5
  • Guilherme Dantas4/5
  • Heron4/5
  • Joao Coni4/5
  • Joao Vitor4/5
  • Tarik4/5
  • Caio Rodrigues3/5
  • Gabriel Lacerda3/5
  • Kaue Leonardo3/5

Other matches in this competition

Frequently asked questions

What is the Avai vs Londrina prediction?

Before the match, our AI gave Avai a 45% chance of winning, the draw 30% and Londrina 25%. Avai are therefore favourites. Final score: 2-1.

What is the most likely correct score for Avai vs Londrina?

1-0 (16.1%), followed by 0-0 (13.4%), 1-1 (13.0%), 0-1 (10.9%) and 2-0 (9.6%).

Will both teams score in Avai vs Londrina?

The probability that both Avai and Londrina score is 39%. Avai have a 45% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Londrina 30%.

How many goals should we expect in Avai vs Londrina?

The model expects 2.01 goals (1.20 for Avai, 0.81 for Londrina). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 60%, over 2.5 goals 33%, over 3.5 goals 15%.

When and where is Avai vs Londrina played?

Wednesday, October 7, 2026 at 23:30 (UK time), Brasileirão Série B, matchday 32. Venue: Estádio da Ressacada, Florianopolis.

What form are Avai and Londrina in?

Avai: 0 wins, 1 draw and 4 defeats in their last 5 matches (2 scored, 8 conceded). Londrina: 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (9 scored, 7 conceded).

What is the head-to-head record between Avai and Londrina?

In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Avai, 1 for Londrina and 0 draws. The most recent ended Londrina 3-2 Avai (Jun 16, 2026).

What was the Avai vs Londrina result, and was the prediction right?

Final score: Avai 2-1 Londrina. The AI called the outcome correctly: it rated victory for Avai at 45%. The final score ranked 6th among the most likely scorelines (7.8%), behind 1-0. On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (39%): missed; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (33%): missed.

How is the Avai vs Londrina prediction calculated?

The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.20 for Avai, 0.81 for Londrina) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.

Go further

Key terms explained