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Brasileirão Série BBrasileirão Série B· Kick-off : Monday, October 12, 2026, 20:00 (UK time)

Fortaleza EC vs CRB: 2-2 result and AI prediction review

Fortaleza ECFortaleza EC2 – 2CRBCRB

Review: prediction vs result

1X2 outcome missedExact score missedMost likely score before kick-off : 1-1

Final score: Fortaleza EC 2-2 CRB. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Fortaleza EC (40%), while a draw was rated at only 23%. The final score ranked 4th among the most likely scorelines (6.9%), behind 1-1. On goals, the model expected both teams to score (66%): correct; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (65%): correct.

Match analysis

Fortaleza EC and CRB met on Monday, October 12, 2026, a Brasileirão Série B, matchday 33 fixture. Venue: Estadio Castelão, Fortaleza. Before kick-off, our model gave Fortaleza EC a 40% chance of winning, the draw 23% and CRB 37%. On the correct score, 1-1 comes out on top (9.9%), followed by 2-1 (8.4%) and 1-2 (8.1%).

Fortaleza EC are unbeaten in their last 5 matches (2 wins, 3 draws), scoring 7 and conceding 5. Over their last 5 matches, CRB have 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats, scoring 9 and conceding 6. Both sides come in with similar form. On average Fortaleza EC score 1.40 and concede 1.00 goals per game; CRB score 1.80 and concede 1.20. In the table, Fortaleza EC sit 4th with 56 points from 32 games, CRB 7th with 51 points from 32. The two teams are close in the standings.

In the last 3 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Fortaleza EC, 0 for CRB and 2 draws. The most recent ended CRB 1-1 Fortaleza EC (Jun 21, 2026). In double chance terms, "Fortaleza EC or draw" stands at 63%, "CRB or draw" at 60% and "no draw" at 77%.

In short : An evenly-matched game between Fortaleza EC and CRB: our model sees no clear favourite. In the table, Fortaleza EC (4th, 56 pts) host CRB (7th, 51 pts). The model expects goals (over 2.5 at 65%).

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

40%
Fortaleza EC (Win)
23%
Draw
37%
CRB (Win)

Double chance

63%
Fortaleza EC or draw
60%
CRB or draw
77%
No draw

Most likely correct scores

Scores shown as Fortaleza EC – CRB. 1-1 is the single most likely scoreline (9.9%); the 5 scores below add up to 39% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.

ScoreProbability
Fortaleza EC 1-1 CRB9.9%
Fortaleza EC 2-1 CRB8.4%
Fortaleza EC 1-2 CRB8.1%
Fortaleza EC 2-2 CRB6.9%
Fortaleza EC 1-0 CRB6.0%

Goals: both teams to score, over/under

With 1.70 expected goals for Fortaleza EC and 1.64 for CRB, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 65% and "both teams to score" at 66%. Goals look likely in this one. Fortaleza EC keep a clean sheet in 19% of scenarios, CRB in 18%.

Probability
Fortaleza EC expected goals1.70
CRB expected goals1.64
Both teams to score66%
Over 1.5 goals85%
Over 2.5 goals65%
Over 3.5 goals43%
Fortaleza EC clean sheet19%
CRB clean sheet18%

Recent form

Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.

Fortaleza EC

DateOpponentScore
Oct 8, 2026America Mineiro · Brasileirão Série B1-0W
Oct 3, 2026Nautico Recife · Brasileirão Série B1-1D
Sep 27, 2026Athletic Club · Brasileirão Série B2-2D
Sep 20, 2026Londrina · Brasileirão Série B2-1W
Sep 13, 2026Ceara · Brasileirão Série B1-1D

CRB

DateOpponentScore
Oct 8, 2026Atletico Goianiense · Brasileirão Série B3-1W
Oct 2, 2026São Bernardo · Brasileirão Série B1-3L
Sep 27, 2026Cuiaba · Brasileirão Série B3-0W
Sep 20, 2026Ponte Preta · Brasileirão Série B0-1L
Sep 16, 2026Sport Recife · Brasileirão Série B2-1W

Standings before the match

Pos.PointsPlayed
Fortaleza EC45632
CRB75132

Head-to-head

DateScoreCompetition
Jun 21, 2026CRB 1-1 Fortaleza ECBrasileirão Série B
May 15, 2026CRB 0-0 Fortaleza ECCopa do Brasil
Apr 23, 2026Fortaleza EC 2-1 CRBCopa do Brasil

Out and doubtful

Fortaleza EC

No absences reported.

CRB

No absences reported.

Most regular starters

Fortaleza EC

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

  • Lucas Gazal5/5
  • Luiz Fernando5/5
  • Pierre5/5
  • T. Cardona5/5
  • Vitinho5/5
  • Henrique Kaio4/5
  • Joao Ricardo4/5
  • Mailton4/5
  • Rodriguinho4/5
  • Lucas Sasha3/5
  • Pedro Henrique3/5

CRB

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

  • Lyncon5/5
  • Mikael5/5
  • Pedro Castro5/5
  • Vitor Caetano5/5
  • Bressan4/5
  • Crystopher Ribeiro4/5
  • Dada Belmonte4/5
  • Danielzinho4/5
  • Reverson4/5
  • Thiaguinho4/5
  • Hereda3/5

Other matches in this competition

Frequently asked questions

What is the Fortaleza EC vs CRB prediction?

Before the match, our AI gave Fortaleza EC a 40% chance of winning, the draw 23% and CRB 37%. Fortaleza EC are therefore slight favourites. Final score: 2-2.

What is the most likely correct score for Fortaleza EC vs CRB?

1-1 (9.9%), followed by 2-1 (8.4%), 1-2 (8.1%), 2-2 (6.9%) and 1-0 (6.0%).

Will both teams score in Fortaleza EC vs CRB?

The probability that both Fortaleza EC and CRB score is 66%. Fortaleza EC have a 19% chance of keeping a clean sheet, CRB 18%.

How many goals should we expect in Fortaleza EC vs CRB?

The model expects 3.34 goals (1.70 for Fortaleza EC, 1.64 for CRB). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 85%, over 2.5 goals 65%, over 3.5 goals 43%.

When and where is Fortaleza EC vs CRB played?

Monday, October 12, 2026 at 20:00 (UK time), Brasileirão Série B, matchday 33. Venue: Estadio Castelão, Fortaleza.

What form are Fortaleza EC and CRB in?

Fortaleza EC: 2 wins, 3 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches (7 scored, 5 conceded). CRB: 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (9 scored, 6 conceded).

What is the head-to-head record between Fortaleza EC and CRB?

In the last 3 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Fortaleza EC, 0 for CRB and 2 draws. The most recent ended CRB 1-1 Fortaleza EC (Jun 21, 2026).

What was the Fortaleza EC vs CRB result, and was the prediction right?

Final score: Fortaleza EC 2-2 CRB. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Fortaleza EC (40%), while a draw was rated at only 23%. The final score ranked 4th among the most likely scorelines (6.9%), behind 1-1. On goals, the model expected both teams to score (66%): correct; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (65%): correct.

How is the Fortaleza EC vs CRB prediction calculated?

The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.70 for Fortaleza EC, 1.64 for CRB) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.

Go further

Key terms explained