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Brasileirão Série BBrasileirão Série B· Kick-off : Monday, October 19, 2026, 23:30 (UK time)

Goias vs Nautico Recife: 0-0 result and AI prediction review

GoiasGoias0 – 0Nautico RecifeNautico Recife

Review: prediction vs result

1X2 outcome missedExact score missedMost likely score before kick-off : 1-0

Final score: Goias 0-0 Nautico Recife. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Goias (51%), while a draw was rated at only 33%. The final score ranked 2nd among the most likely scorelines (21.0%), behind 1-0. On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (25%): correct; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (21%): correct.

Match analysis

Goias and Nautico Recife met on Monday, October 19, 2026, a Brasileirão Série B, matchday 34 fixture. Venue: Estádio da Serrinha, Goiania. Before kick-off, our model gave Goias a 51% chance of winning, the draw 33% and Nautico Recife 16%. On the correct score, 1-0 comes out on top (22.7%), followed by 0-0 (21.0%) and 2-0 (12.3%).

Over their last 5 matches, Goias have 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats, scoring 6 and conceding 6. Nautico Recife have won just one of their last 5 matches (1 draw, 3 defeats), scoring 4 and conceding 9. Goias therefore arrive in far better shape than Nautico Recife. On average Goias score 1.20 and concede 1.20 goals per game; Nautico Recife score 0.80 and concede 1.80. In the table, Goias sit 9th with 48 points from 33 games, Nautico Recife 16th with 42 points from 33. 7 places separate the two sides. Over their recent games, Goias have averaged 0.86 xG (expected goals) per match, against 0.60 for Nautico Recife.

In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 3 wins for Goias, 2 for Nautico Recife and 0 draws. The most recent ended Nautico Recife 0-1 Goias (Jun 28, 2026). In double chance terms, "Goias or draw" stands at 84%, "Nautico Recife or draw" at 49% and "no draw" at 67%.

In short : Goias are favourites for this Goias v Nautico Recife, with a 51% win probability from our model. On recent form, Goias have 3 wins, 0 draw and 2 losses in 5 while Nautico Recife have 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses in 5. Our model's most likely scoreline: 1-0.

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

51%
Goias (Win)
33%
Draw
16%
Nautico Recife (Win)

Double chance

84%
Goias or draw
49%
Nautico Recife or draw
67%
No draw

Most likely correct scores

Scores shown as Goias – Nautico Recife. 1-0 is the single most likely scoreline (22.7%); the 5 scores below add up to 77% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.

ScoreProbability
Goias 1-0 Nautico Recife22.7%
Goias 0-0 Nautico Recife21.0%
Goias 2-0 Nautico Recife12.3%
Goias 1-1 Nautico Recife10.9%
Goias 0-1 Nautico Recife10.1%

Goals: both teams to score, over/under

With 1.08 expected goals for Goias and 0.48 for Nautico Recife, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 21% and "both teams to score" at 25%. Few goals are expected here. Goias keep a clean sheet in 62% of scenarios, Nautico Recife in 34%.

Probability
Goias expected goals1.08
Nautico Recife expected goals0.48
Both teams to score25%
Over 1.5 goals46%
Over 2.5 goals21%
Over 3.5 goals7%
Goias clean sheet62%
Nautico Recife clean sheet34%

Recent form

Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.

Goias

DateOpponentScore
Oct 11, 2026Operario-PR · Brasileirão Série B2-0W
Oct 7, 2026Athletic Club · Brasileirão Série B2-1W
Oct 2, 2026Novorizontino · Brasileirão Série B0-3L
Sep 26, 2026Atletico Goianiense · Brasileirão Série B0-1L
Sep 20, 2026Avai · Brasileirão Série B2-1W

Nautico Recife

DateOpponentScore
Oct 11, 2026Vila Nova · Brasileirão Série B0-2L
Oct 8, 2026Novorizontino · Brasileirão Série B0-2L
Oct 3, 2026Fortaleza EC · Brasileirão Série B1-1D
Sep 26, 2026Sport Recife · Brasileirão Série B3-1W
Sep 22, 2026Cuiaba · Brasileirão Série B0-3L

Standings before the match

Pos.PointsPlayed
Goias94833
Nautico Recife164233

Head-to-head

DateScoreCompetition
Jun 28, 2026Nautico Recife 0-1 GoiasSerie B
Oct 6, 2021Nautico Recife 3-2 GoiasSerie B
Jul 10, 2021Goias 0-1 Nautico RecifeSerie B
Oct 7, 2017Goias 2-0 Nautico RecifeSerie B
Jun 20, 2017Nautico Recife 2-3 GoiasSerie B

Out and doubtful

Goias

No absences reported.

Nautico Recife

No absences reported.

Most regular starters

Goias

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

  • Djalma Silva5/5
  • Tadeu5/5
  • Filipe Machado4/5
  • Jean Carlos4/5
  • Kadu4/5
  • Lourenco4/5
  • Lucas Lima4/5
  • Lucas Ribeiro4/5
  • Luiz Felipe4/5
  • Cadu3/5
  • Luisao3/5

Nautico Recife

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

  • Jean Carlos5/5
  • Muriel Becker5/5
  • Vinicius5/5
  • Wenderson5/5
  • Arnaldo4/5
  • Betao4/5
  • Igor Fernandes4/5
  • Samuel Felix4/5
  • Derek3/5
  • Junior Todinho3/5
  • Leo Indio3/5

Other matches in this competition

Frequently asked questions

What is the Goias vs Nautico Recife prediction?

Before the match, our AI gave Goias a 51% chance of winning, the draw 33% and Nautico Recife 16%. Goias are therefore favourites. Final score: 0-0.

What is the most likely correct score for Goias vs Nautico Recife?

1-0 (22.7%), followed by 0-0 (21.0%), 2-0 (12.3%), 1-1 (10.9%) and 0-1 (10.1%).

Will both teams score in Goias vs Nautico Recife?

The probability that both Goias and Nautico Recife score is 25%. Goias have a 62% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Nautico Recife 34%.

How many goals should we expect in Goias vs Nautico Recife?

The model expects 1.56 goals (1.08 for Goias, 0.48 for Nautico Recife). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 46%, over 2.5 goals 21%, over 3.5 goals 7%.

When and where is Goias vs Nautico Recife played?

Monday, October 19, 2026 at 23:30 (UK time), Brasileirão Série B, matchday 34. Venue: Estádio da Serrinha, Goiania.

What form are Goias and Nautico Recife in?

Goias: 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (6 scored, 6 conceded). Nautico Recife: 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (4 scored, 9 conceded).

What is the head-to-head record between Goias and Nautico Recife?

In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 3 wins for Goias, 2 for Nautico Recife and 0 draws. The most recent ended Nautico Recife 0-1 Goias (Jun 28, 2026).

What was the Goias vs Nautico Recife result, and was the prediction right?

Final score: Goias 0-0 Nautico Recife. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Goias (51%), while a draw was rated at only 33%. The final score ranked 2nd among the most likely scorelines (21.0%), behind 1-0. On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (25%): correct; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (21%): correct.

How is the Goias vs Nautico Recife prediction calculated?

The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.08 for Goias, 0.48 for Nautico Recife) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.

Go further

Key terms explained