UEFA Champions League· Kick-off : Wednesday, January 27, 2027, 20:00 (UK time)
Barcelona vs Como prediction: correct score and AI tips
Match analysis
Barcelona take on Como on Wednesday, January 27, 2027 at 20:00 (UK time), a UEFA Champions League fixture. Venue: Camp Nou, Barcelona. Our model makes Barcelona clear favourites: a 75% chance of winning, against 12% for the draw and 13% for Como. On the correct score, 3-1 comes out on top (6.3%), followed by 4-1 (6.0%) and 3-2 (5.4%).
Barcelona are unbeaten in their last 5 matches (5 wins, 0 draws), scoring 24 and conceding 6. Over their last 5 matches, Como have 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat, scoring 12 and conceding 6. Barcelona therefore arrive in far better shape than Como. On average Barcelona score 4.80 and concede 1.20 goals per game; Como score 2.40 and concede 1.20. In the table, Barcelona sit 3rd with 3 points from 1 games, Como 5th with 3 points from 1. The two teams are close in the standings. Over their recent games, Barcelona have averaged 3.33 xG (expected goals) per match, against 1.98 for Como.
In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Barcelona, 0 for Como and 0 draws. The most recent ended Barcelona 5-0 Como (Aug 10, 2025). Barcelona out or doubtful: R. Bardghji, J. Garcia and F. de Jong. In double chance terms, "Barcelona or draw" stands at 87%, "Como or draw" at 25% and "no draw" at 88%.
In short : Our model backs Barcelona to edge Como (75% probability). On recent form, Barcelona are in good shape (5 wins in 5) while Como are in good shape (4 wins in 5). The model expects goals (over 2.5 at 92%).
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Barcelona – Como. 3-1 is the single most likely scoreline (6.3%); the 5 scores below add up to 28% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Barcelona 3-1 Como | 6.3% |
| Barcelona 4-1 Como | 6.0% |
| Barcelona 3-2 Como | 5.4% |
| Barcelona 4-2 Como | 5.2% |
| Barcelona 2-1 Como | 4.9% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
With 3.83 expected goals for Barcelona and 1.72 for Como, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 92% and "both teams to score" at 80%. Goals look likely in this one. Barcelona keep a clean sheet in 18% of scenarios, Como in 2%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Barcelona expected goals | 3.83 |
| Como expected goals | 1.72 |
| Both teams to score | 80% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 98% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 92% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 80% |
| Barcelona clean sheet | 18% |
| Como clean sheet | 2% |
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
Barcelona
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 2026 | Sevilla · La Liga | 3-1 | W |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Racing Santander · La Liga | 7-2 | W |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Levante · La Liga | 4-2 | W |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Feyenoord · UEFA Champions League | 5-1 | W |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Valencia · La Liga | 5-0 | W |
Como
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2026 | Frosinone · Serie A | 0-2 | L |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Parma · Serie A | 2-1 | W |
| Sep 10, 2026 | RB Leipzig · UEFA Champions League | 4-1 | W |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Genoa · Serie A | 4-1 | W |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Napoli · Serie A | 2-1 | W |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Barcelona | 3 | 3 | 1 |
| Como | 5 | 3 | 1 |
Head-to-head
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 10, 2025 | Barcelona 5-0 Como | Club Friendlies |
Out and doubtful
Barcelona
- R. Bardghji (out)
- J. Garcia (out)
- F. de Jong (out)
Como
No absences reported.
Most regular starters
Barcelona
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- Lamine Yamal5/5
- Pedri5/5
- Raphinha5/5
- Rodri5/5
- J. Garcia4/5
- A. Christensen3/5
- A. Gordon3/5
- E. Garcia3/5
- G. Martin3/5
- P. Cubarsi3/5
- D. Olmo2/5
Como
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- M. Baturina5/5
- N. Paz5/5
- A. Diao4/5
- J. Butez4/5
- J. Ramon4/5
- L. Da Cunha4/5
- T. Chalobah4/5
- Y. Couto4/5
- A. Douvikas3/5
- A. Valle3/5
- L. Milla2/5
First detailed prediction free, no card required.
See the full prediction (scenario, scorers, half-time)Other matches in this competition
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Frequently asked questions
What is the Barcelona vs Como prediction?
Our AI gives Barcelona a 75% chance of winning, the draw 12% and Como 13%. Barcelona are therefore favourites.
What is the most likely correct score for Barcelona vs Como?
3-1 (6.3%), followed by 4-1 (6.0%), 3-2 (5.4%), 4-2 (5.2%) and 2-1 (4.9%).
Will both teams score in Barcelona vs Como?
The probability that both Barcelona and Como score is 80%. Barcelona have a 18% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Como 2%.
How many goals should we expect in Barcelona vs Como?
The model expects 5.55 goals (3.83 for Barcelona, 1.72 for Como). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 98%, over 2.5 goals 92%, over 3.5 goals 80%.
When and where is Barcelona vs Como played?
Wednesday, January 27, 2027 at 20:00 (UK time), UEFA Champions League. Venue: Camp Nou, Barcelona.
What form are Barcelona and Como in?
Barcelona: 5 wins, 0 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches (24 scored, 6 conceded). Como: 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (12 scored, 6 conceded).
What is the head-to-head record between Barcelona and Como?
In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Barcelona, 0 for Como and 0 draws. The most recent ended Barcelona 5-0 Como (Aug 10, 2025).
How is the Barcelona vs Como prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (3.83 for Barcelona, 1.72 for Como) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All Barcelona predictions
- All Como predictions
- UEFA Champions League predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology