UEFA Champions League· Kick-off : Wednesday, January 27, 2027, 20:00 (UK time)
Napoli vs Viking prediction: correct score and AI tips
Match analysis
UEFA Champions League: Napoli vs Viking kicks off on Wednesday, January 27, 2027 at 20:00 (UK time). Venue: Stadio Diego Armando Maradona, Naples. Our model makes Napoli clear favourites: a 70% chance of winning, against 18% for the draw and 12% for Viking. On the correct score, 2-0 comes out on top (11.8%), followed by 1-0 (10.4%) and 2-1 (9.6%).
Napoli have won just one of their last 5 matches (1 draw, 3 defeats), scoring 5 and conceding 7. Over their last 5 matches, Viking have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat, scoring 16 and conceding 6. Viking therefore arrive in far better shape than Napoli. On average Napoli score 1.00 and concede 1.40 goals per game; Viking score 3.20 and concede 1.20. In the table, Napoli sit 27th with 0 points from 1 games, Viking 29th with 0 points from 1. The two teams are close in the standings.
Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Napoli and Viking: the prediction relies on each team's form and level. Napoli out or doubtful: Alisson Santos, A. Buongiorno, Giovane, L. Marianucci, S. McTominay, A. Meret and L. Spinazzola. In double chance terms, "Napoli or draw" stands at 88%, "Viking or draw" at 30% and "no draw" at 82%.
In short : Our model backs Napoli to edge Viking (70% probability). On recent form, Napoli have 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses in 5 while Viking have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss in 5. The model expects goals (over 2.5 at 59%).
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Napoli – Viking. 2-0 is the single most likely scoreline (11.8%); the 5 scores below add up to 49% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Napoli 2-0 Viking | 11.8% |
| Napoli 1-0 Viking | 10.4% |
| Napoli 2-1 Viking | 9.6% |
| Napoli 3-0 Viking | 9.0% |
| Napoli 1-1 Viking | 8.5% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
With 2.27 expected goals for Napoli and 0.81 for Viking, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 59% and "both teams to score" at 50%. Goals look likely in this one. Napoli keep a clean sheet in 45% of scenarios, Viking in 10%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Napoli expected goals | 2.27 |
| Viking expected goals | 0.81 |
| Both teams to score | 50% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 81% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 59% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 37% |
| Napoli clean sheet | 45% |
| Viking clean sheet | 10% |
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
Napoli
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2026 | Fiorentina · Serie A | 1-1 | D |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Bologna · Serie A | 1-0 | W |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Arsenal · UEFA Champions League | 0-1 | L |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Inter · Serie A | 2-3 | L |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Como · Serie A | 1-2 | L |
Viking
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2026 | Lillestrom · Eliteserien | 3-0 | W |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Kristiansund BK · Eliteserien | 8-1 | W |
| Sep 9, 2026 | VfB Stuttgart · UEFA Champions League | 1-3 | L |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Sandefjord · Eliteserien | 1-1 | D |
| Sep 2, 2026 | Brodd · NM Cupen | 3-1 | W |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Napoli | 27 | 0 | 1 |
| Viking | 29 | 0 | 1 |
Head-to-head
Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Napoli and Viking: the prediction relies on each team's form and level.
Out and doubtful
Napoli
- Alisson Santos (out)
- A. Buongiorno (out)
- Giovane (out)
- L. Marianucci (out)
- S. McTominay (out)
- A. Meret (out)
- L. Spinazzola (out)
Viking
No absences reported.
Most regular starters
Napoli
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- A. Rrahmani4/5
- G. Di Lorenzo4/5
- M. Politano4/5
- R. Hojlund4/5
- R. Marin4/5
- S. Lobotka4/5
- A. Meret3/5
- A. Vergara2/5
- Alisson Santos2/5
- B. Gilmour2/5
- F. Anguissa2/5
Viking
Starts over the last 4 matches (official line-ups).
- G. Stensness4/4
- H. Heggheim4/4
- J. Bell4/4
- K. Askildsen4/4
- P. Christiansen4/4
- A. Ostbo3/4
- K. Haugen3/4
- Z. Tripic3/4
- E. Botheim2/4
- H. Bjordal2/4
- H. Falchener2/4
First detailed prediction free, no card required.
See the full prediction (scenario, scorers, half-time)Other matches in this competition
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Frequently asked questions
What is the Napoli vs Viking prediction?
Our AI gives Napoli a 70% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Viking 12%. Napoli are therefore favourites.
What is the most likely correct score for Napoli vs Viking?
2-0 (11.8%), followed by 1-0 (10.4%), 2-1 (9.6%), 3-0 (9.0%) and 1-1 (8.5%).
Will both teams score in Napoli vs Viking?
The probability that both Napoli and Viking score is 50%. Napoli have a 45% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Viking 10%.
How many goals should we expect in Napoli vs Viking?
The model expects 3.08 goals (2.27 for Napoli, 0.81 for Viking). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 81%, over 2.5 goals 59%, over 3.5 goals 37%.
When and where is Napoli vs Viking played?
Wednesday, January 27, 2027 at 20:00 (UK time), UEFA Champions League. Venue: Stadio Diego Armando Maradona, Naples.
What form are Napoli and Viking in?
Napoli: 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (5 scored, 7 conceded). Viking: 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (16 scored, 6 conceded).
How is the Napoli vs Viking prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (2.27 for Napoli, 0.81 for Viking) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All Napoli predictions
- All Viking predictions
- UEFA Champions League predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology