UEFA Champions League· Kick-off : Wednesday, January 27, 2027, 20:00 (UK time)
Paris Saint Germain vs Galatasaray prediction: correct score and AI tips
Match analysis
Paris Saint Germain take on Galatasaray on Wednesday, January 27, 2027 at 20:00 (UK time), a UEFA Champions League fixture. Venue: Parc des Princes, Paris. Our model makes Paris Saint Germain clear favourites: a 84% chance of winning, against 10% for the draw and 6% for Galatasaray. On the correct score, 3-0 comes out on top (8.8%), followed by 3-1 (8.0%) and 2-0 (7.7%).
Over their last 5 matches, Paris Saint Germain have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat, scoring 12 and conceding 6. Over their last 5 matches, Galatasaray have 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats, scoring 8 and conceding 11. Both sides come in with similar form. On average Paris Saint Germain score 2.40 and concede 1.20 goals per game; Galatasaray score 1.60 and concede 2.20. In the table, Paris Saint Germain sit 1st with 3 points from 1 games, Galatasaray 30th with 0 points from 1. 29 places separate the two sides. Over their recent games, Paris Saint Germain have averaged 1.64 xG (expected goals) per match, against 1.89 for Galatasaray.
In the last 2 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 2 wins for Paris Saint Germain, 0 for Galatasaray and 0 draws. The most recent ended Paris Saint Germain 5-0 Galatasaray (Dec 11, 2019). Paris Saint Germain out or doubtful: A. Hakimi and Q. Ndjantou. Galatasaray: G. Guvenc, M. Lemina, V. Osimhen and W. Singo. In double chance terms, "Paris Saint Germain or draw" stands at 94%, "Galatasaray or draw" at 16% and "no draw" at 90%.
In short : Our model backs Paris Saint Germain to edge Galatasaray (84% probability). On recent form, Paris Saint Germain have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss in 5 while Galatasaray have 3 wins, 0 draw and 2 losses in 5. The model expects goals (over 2.5 at 81%).
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Paris Saint Germain – Galatasaray. 3-0 is the single most likely scoreline (8.8%); the 5 scores below add up to 39% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Paris Saint Germain 3-0 Galatasaray | 8.8% |
| Paris Saint Germain 3-1 Galatasaray | 8.0% |
| Paris Saint Germain 2-0 Galatasaray | 7.7% |
| Paris Saint Germain 4-0 Galatasaray | 7.6% |
| Paris Saint Germain 2-1 Galatasaray | 6.9% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
With 3.44 expected goals for Paris Saint Germain and 0.90 for Galatasaray, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 81% and "both teams to score" at 57%. Goals look likely in this one. Paris Saint Germain keep a clean sheet in 41% of scenarios, Galatasaray in 3%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Paris Saint Germain expected goals | 3.44 |
| Galatasaray expected goals | 0.90 |
| Both teams to score | 57% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 93% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 81% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 63% |
| Paris Saint Germain clean sheet | 41% |
| Galatasaray clean sheet | 3% |
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
Paris Saint Germain
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2026 | Marseille · Ligue 1 | 2-1 | W |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Stade Brestois 29 · Ligue 1 | 1-0 | W |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Slovan Bratislava · UEFA Champions League | 6-1 | W |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Monaco · Ligue 1 | 1-2 | L |
| Aug 28, 2026 | Lille · Ligue 1 | 2-2 | D |
Galatasaray
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 2026 | Trabzonspor · Süper Lig | 0-4 | L |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Kocaelispor · Süper Lig | 1-0 | W |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Sporting CP · UEFA Champions League | 1-3 | L |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Başakşehir · Süper Lig | 3-2 | W |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Göztepe · Süper Lig | 3-2 | W |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Paris Saint Germain | 1 | 3 | 1 |
| Galatasaray | 30 | 0 | 1 |
Head-to-head
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 11, 2019 | Paris Saint Germain 5-0 Galatasaray | UEFA Champions League |
| Oct 1, 2019 | Galatasaray 0-1 Paris Saint Germain | UEFA Champions League |
Out and doubtful
Paris Saint Germain
- A. Hakimi (out)
- Q. Ndjantou (out)
Galatasaray
- G. Guvenc (out)
- M. Lemina (out)
- V. Osimhen (out)
- W. Singo (out)
Most regular starters
Paris Saint Germain
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- Vitinha5/5
- Marquinhos4/5
- Achraf Hakimi3/5
- Fabián Ruiz3/5
- João Neves3/5
- Matvey Safonov3/5
- Warren Zaïre-Emery3/5
- Willian Pacho3/5
- Désiré Doué2/5
- Ferran Torres2/5
- Khvicha Kvaratskhelia2/5
Galatasaray
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- Gabriel Sara5/5
- D. Sanchez4/5
- L. Torreira4/5
- R. Sallai4/5
- Y. Akgun4/5
- B. Yilmaz3/5
- I. Jakobs3/5
- U. Cakir3/5
- A. Bardakci2/5
- A. Batrakov2/5
- E. Elmali2/5
First detailed prediction free, no card required.
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Frequently asked questions
What is the Paris Saint Germain vs Galatasaray prediction?
Our AI gives Paris Saint Germain a 84% chance of winning, the draw 10% and Galatasaray 6%. Paris Saint Germain are therefore favourites.
What is the most likely correct score for Paris Saint Germain vs Galatasaray?
3-0 (8.8%), followed by 3-1 (8.0%), 2-0 (7.7%), 4-0 (7.6%) and 2-1 (6.9%).
Will both teams score in Paris Saint Germain vs Galatasaray?
The probability that both Paris Saint Germain and Galatasaray score is 57%. Paris Saint Germain have a 41% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Galatasaray 3%.
How many goals should we expect in Paris Saint Germain vs Galatasaray?
The model expects 4.34 goals (3.44 for Paris Saint Germain, 0.90 for Galatasaray). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 93%, over 2.5 goals 81%, over 3.5 goals 63%.
When and where is Paris Saint Germain vs Galatasaray played?
Wednesday, January 27, 2027 at 20:00 (UK time), UEFA Champions League. Venue: Parc des Princes, Paris.
What form are Paris Saint Germain and Galatasaray in?
Paris Saint Germain: 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (12 scored, 6 conceded). Galatasaray: 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (8 scored, 11 conceded).
What is the head-to-head record between Paris Saint Germain and Galatasaray?
In the last 2 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 2 wins for Paris Saint Germain, 0 for Galatasaray and 0 draws. The most recent ended Paris Saint Germain 5-0 Galatasaray (Dec 11, 2019).
How is the Paris Saint Germain vs Galatasaray prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (3.44 for Paris Saint Germain, 0.90 for Galatasaray) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All Paris Saint Germain predictions
- All Galatasaray predictions
- UEFA Champions League predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology