UEFA Champions League· Kick-off : Wednesday, January 27, 2027, 20:00 (UK time)
Liverpool vs Lens prediction: correct score and AI tips
Match analysis
UEFA Champions League: the Liverpool vs Lens match is scheduled on Wednesday, January 27, 2027 at 20:00 (UK time). Venue: Anfield, Liverpool. Nothing is settled in advance: the AI gives Liverpool 39%, Lens 37% and the draw 24%. The most likely correct score is 1-1 (10.5%), ahead of 2-1 (8.5%) and 1-2 (8.2%).
Liverpool are unbeaten in their last 5 matches (4 wins, 1 draw), scoring 8 and conceding 2. Lens have won just one of their last 5 matches (1 draw, 3 defeats), scoring 7 and conceding 9. Recent momentum is clearly with Liverpool. On average Liverpool score 1.60 and concede 0.40 goals per game; Lens score 1.40 and concede 1.80. In the table, Liverpool sit 13th with 3 points from 1 games, Lens 10th with 3 points from 1. The two teams are close in the standings. Over their recent games, Liverpool have averaged 1.32 xG (expected goals) per match, against 1.92 for Lens.
Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Liverpool and Lens: the prediction relies on each team's form and level. Liverpool out or doubtful: C. Bradley, F. Chiesa, H. Ekitike and G. Leoni. Lens: S. Abdulhamid, S. Baidoo, J. Chavez, M. Nawrocki and Y. Titraoui. In double chance terms, "Liverpool or draw" stands at 63%, "Lens or draw" at 61% and "no draw" at 76%.
In short : An evenly-matched game between Liverpool and Lens: our model sees no clear favourite. In the table, Liverpool (13th, 3 pts) host Lens (10th, 3 pts). The model expects goals (over 2.5 at 62%).
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Liverpool – Lens. 1-1 is the single most likely scoreline (10.5%); the 5 scores below add up to 41% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Liverpool 1-1 Lens | 10.5% |
| Liverpool 2-1 Lens | 8.5% |
| Liverpool 1-2 Lens | 8.2% |
| Liverpool 1-0 Lens | 6.7% |
| Liverpool 2-2 Lens | 6.7% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
The model expects 3.19 goals in total (1.62 for Liverpool, 1.57 for Lens): over 2.5 goals has a 62% probability and both teams to score 64%. Everything points to an open game. Liverpool keep a clean sheet in 21% of scenarios, Lens in 20%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Liverpool expected goals | 1.62 |
| Lens expected goals | 1.57 |
| Both teams to score | 64% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 83% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 62% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 40% |
| Liverpool clean sheet | 21% |
| Lens clean sheet | 20% |
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
Liverpool
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2026 | Bournemouth · Premier League | 1-0 | W |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Tottenham · EFL Cup | 3-1 | W |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Fulham · Premier League | 0-0 | D |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Atletico Madrid · UEFA Champions League | 2-1 | W |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Ipswich · Premier League | 2-0 | W |
Lens
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 18, 2026 | Monaco · Ligue 1 | 1-2 | L |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Le Mans · Ligue 1 | 2-2 | D |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Slavia Praha · UEFA Champions League | 3-2 | W |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Lorient · Ligue 1 | 0-1 | L |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Strasbourg · Ligue 1 | 1-2 | L |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Liverpool | 13 | 3 | 1 |
| Lens | 10 | 3 | 1 |
Head-to-head
Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Liverpool and Lens: the prediction relies on each team's form and level.
Out and doubtful
Liverpool
- C. Bradley (out)
- F. Chiesa (out)
- H. Ekitike (out)
- G. Leoni (out)
Lens
- S. Abdulhamid (out)
- S. Baidoo (out)
- J. Chavez (out)
- M. Nawrocki (out)
- Y. Titraoui (out)
Most regular starters
Liverpool
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- A. Isak4/5
- A. Mac Allister4/5
- D. Szoboszlai4/5
- F. Wirtz4/5
- J. Jacquet4/5
- M. Kerkez4/5
- V. van Dijk4/5
- Alisson3/5
- B. Barcola3/5
- C. Gakpo3/5
- R. Araujo3/5
Lens
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- Abdallah Sima3/5
- Florian Thauvin3/5
- Matthieu Udol3/5
- Robin Risser3/5
- A. Haidara2/5
- A. Sima2/5
- F. Thauvin2/5
- Ismaelo Ganiou2/5
- K. Antonio2/5
- Kyllian Antonio2/5
- M. Udol2/5
First detailed prediction free, no card required.
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Frequently asked questions
What is the Liverpool vs Lens prediction?
Our AI gives Liverpool a 39% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Lens 37%. Liverpool are therefore slight favourites.
What is the most likely correct score for Liverpool vs Lens?
1-1 (10.5%), followed by 2-1 (8.5%), 1-2 (8.2%), 1-0 (6.7%) and 2-2 (6.7%).
Will both teams score in Liverpool vs Lens?
The probability that both Liverpool and Lens score is 64%. Liverpool have a 21% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Lens 20%.
How many goals should we expect in Liverpool vs Lens?
The model expects 3.19 goals (1.62 for Liverpool, 1.57 for Lens). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 83%, over 2.5 goals 62%, over 3.5 goals 40%.
When and where is Liverpool vs Lens played?
Wednesday, January 27, 2027 at 20:00 (UK time), UEFA Champions League. Venue: Anfield, Liverpool.
What form are Liverpool and Lens in?
Liverpool: 4 wins, 1 draw and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches (8 scored, 2 conceded). Lens: 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (7 scored, 9 conceded).
How is the Liverpool vs Lens prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.62 for Liverpool, 1.57 for Lens) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All Liverpool predictions
- All Lens predictions
- UEFA Champions League predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology