UEFA Champions League· Kick-off : Tuesday, November 24, 2026, 20:00 (UK time)
Feyenoord vs FC Porto prediction: correct score and AI tips
Match analysis
UEFA Champions League: Feyenoord vs FC Porto kicks off on Tuesday, November 24, 2026 at 20:00 (UK time). Venue: De Kuip, Rotterdam. With a 68% win probability, Feyenoord go in as strong favourites against FC Porto (16%), with the draw rated at 16%. The most likely correct score is 2-1 (8.2%), ahead of 3-1 (7.8%) and 2-0 (6.0%).
Over their last 5 matches, Feyenoord have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat, scoring 18 and conceding 8. Over their last 5 matches, FC Porto have 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat, scoring 12 and conceding 5. On recent form, there is little to separate the two teams. On average Feyenoord score 3.60 and concede 1.60 goals per game; FC Porto score 2.40 and concede 1.00. In the table, Feyenoord sit 33rd with 0 points from 1 games, FC Porto 31st with 0 points from 1. The two teams are close in the standings. Over their recent games, Feyenoord have averaged 2.60 xG (expected goals) per match, against 1.49 for FC Porto.
Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Feyenoord and FC Porto: the prediction relies on each team's form and level. Feyenoord out or doubtful: T. Beelen, G. Borges, J. Bos, J. Moder, B. Nieuwkoop and G. Smal. In double chance terms, "Feyenoord or draw" stands at 84%, "FC Porto or draw" at 32% and "no draw" at 84%.
In short : Feyenoord are tipped by our AI model in this Feyenoord v FC Porto (68%). On recent form, Feyenoord have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss in 5 while FC Porto are in good shape (4 wins in 5). Our model's most likely scoreline: 2-1.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Feyenoord – FC Porto. 2-1 is the single most likely scoreline (8.2%); the 5 scores below add up to 33% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Feyenoord 2-1 FC Porto | 8.2% |
| Feyenoord 3-1 FC Porto | 7.8% |
| Feyenoord 2-0 FC Porto | 6.0% |
| Feyenoord 3-0 FC Porto | 5.7% |
| Feyenoord 1-1 FC Porto | 5.7% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
The model expects 4.22 goals in total (2.86 for Feyenoord, 1.36 for FC Porto): over 2.5 goals has a 79% probability and both teams to score 70%. Everything points to an open game. Feyenoord keep a clean sheet in 26% of scenarios, FC Porto in 6%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Feyenoord expected goals | 2.86 |
| FC Porto expected goals | 1.36 |
| Both teams to score | 70% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 92% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 79% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 61% |
| Feyenoord clean sheet | 26% |
| FC Porto clean sheet | 6% |
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
Feyenoord
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2026 | Utrecht · Eredivisie | 5-0 | W |
| Sep 13, 2026 | PEC Zwolle · Eredivisie | 7-0 | W |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Barcelona · UEFA Champions League | 1-5 | L |
| Sep 5, 2026 | NEC Nijmegen · Eredivisie | 3-1 | W |
| Aug 30, 2026 | ADO Den Haag · Eredivisie | 2-2 | D |
FC Porto
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2026 | Benfica · Primeira Liga | 3-1 | W |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Casa Pia · Primeira Liga | 4-1 | W |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Manchester City · UEFA Champions League | 0-2 | L |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Moreirense · Primeira Liga | 2-1 | W |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Academico Viseu · Primeira Liga | 3-0 | W |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feyenoord | 33 | 0 | 1 |
| FC Porto | 31 | 0 | 1 |
Head-to-head
Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Feyenoord and FC Porto: the prediction relies on each team's form and level.
Out and doubtful
Feyenoord
- T. Beelen (out)
- G. Borges (out)
- J. Bos (out)
- J. Moder (out)
- B. Nieuwkoop (out)
- G. Smal (out)
FC Porto
No absences reported.
Most regular starters
Feyenoord
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- G. Read5/5
- L. Valente5/5
- T. Ernst5/5
- T. Watanabe5/5
- C. Vanhoutte4/5
- G. Zechiel4/5
- J. St. Juste4/5
- M. Marmol4/5
- O. Targhalline4/5
- A. Hadj Moussa3/5
- Nacho3/5
FC Porto
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- J. Kiwior5/5
- P. Rosario5/5
- A. Costa4/5
- Andre Silva4/5
- D. Costa4/5
- G. Veiga4/5
- J. Bednarek4/5
- Pepê4/5
- William Gomes4/5
- F. Moura2/5
- V. Froholdt2/5
First detailed prediction free, no card required.
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Frequently asked questions
What is the Feyenoord vs FC Porto prediction?
Our AI gives Feyenoord a 68% chance of winning, the draw 16% and FC Porto 16%. Feyenoord are therefore favourites.
What is the most likely correct score for Feyenoord vs FC Porto?
2-1 (8.2%), followed by 3-1 (7.8%), 2-0 (6.0%), 3-0 (5.7%) and 1-1 (5.7%).
Will both teams score in Feyenoord vs FC Porto?
The probability that both Feyenoord and FC Porto score is 70%. Feyenoord have a 26% chance of keeping a clean sheet, FC Porto 6%.
How many goals should we expect in Feyenoord vs FC Porto?
The model expects 4.22 goals (2.86 for Feyenoord, 1.36 for FC Porto). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 92%, over 2.5 goals 79%, over 3.5 goals 61%.
When and where is Feyenoord vs FC Porto played?
Tuesday, November 24, 2026 at 20:00 (UK time), UEFA Champions League. Venue: De Kuip, Rotterdam.
What form are Feyenoord and FC Porto in?
Feyenoord: 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (18 scored, 8 conceded). FC Porto: 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (12 scored, 5 conceded).
How is the Feyenoord vs FC Porto prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (2.86 for Feyenoord, 1.36 for FC Porto) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All Feyenoord predictions
- All FC Porto predictions
- UEFA Champions League predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology