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UEFA Champions LeagueUEFA Champions League· Kick-off : Tuesday, November 24, 2026, 20:00 (UK time)

Manchester City vs Napoli prediction: correct score and AI tips

Manchester CityManchester City–NapoliNapoli

Match analysis

UEFA Champions League: Manchester City vs Napoli kicks off on Tuesday, November 24, 2026 at 20:00 (UK time). Venue: Etihad Stadium, Manchester. With a 80% win probability, Manchester City go in as strong favourites against Napoli (8%), with the draw rated at 12%.

Manchester City have won just one of their last 5 matches (1 draw, 3 defeats), scoring 7 and conceding 10. Napoli have won just one of their last 5 matches (2 draws, 2 defeats), scoring 9 and conceding 11. On recent form, there is little to separate the two teams. On average Manchester City score 1.40 and concede 2.00 goals per game; Napoli score 1.80 and concede 2.20. In the table, Manchester City sit 7th with 9 points from 4 games, Napoli 27th with 3 points from 4. 20 places separate the two sides. Over their recent games, Manchester City have averaged 1.61 xG (expected goals) per match, against 1.74 for Napoli.

In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 3 wins for Manchester City, 1 for Napoli and 1 draw. The most recent ended Manchester City 2-0 Napoli (Sep 18, 2025). Manchester City out or doubtful: A. Semenyo. Napoli: Alisson Santos, B. Badiashile, A. Buongiorno, David Neres, G. Di Lorenzo, C. Favasuli, S. Lobotka and L. Marianucci. In double chance terms, "Manchester City or draw" stands at 92%, "Napoli or draw" at 20% and "no draw" at 88%.

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

80%
Manchester City (Win)
12%
Draw
8%
Napoli (Win)

Double chance

92%
Manchester City or draw
20%
Napoli or draw
88%
No draw

Exact score and goal markets 🔒

The most likely exact score, the top 5 scorelines, expected goals and the both-teams-to-score and over/under probabilities are part of the full prediction. They will be published here as a review once the match is over.

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Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.

Manchester City

DateOpponentScore
Nov 7, 2026Nottingham Forest · Premier League1-3L
Nov 4, 2026RB Leipzig · UEFA Champions League3-2W
Oct 31, 2026Brighton · Premier League0-1L
Oct 28, 2026Brighton · EFL Cup2-2D
Oct 24, 2026Aston Villa · Premier League1-2L

Napoli

DateOpponentScore
Nov 8, 2026Lazio · Serie A1-1D
Nov 4, 2026FC Porto · UEFA Champions League1-4L
Nov 1, 2026Juventus · Serie A0-2L
Oct 28, 2026Monza · Serie A4-1W
Oct 24, 2026AS Roma · Serie A3-3D

Standings before the match

Pos.PointsPlayed
Manchester City794
Napoli2734

Head-to-head

DateScoreCompetition
Sep 18, 2025Manchester City 2-0 NapoliUEFA Champions League
Nov 1, 2017Napoli 2-4 Manchester CityUEFA Champions League
Oct 17, 2017Manchester City 2-1 NapoliUEFA Champions League
Nov 22, 2011Napoli 2-1 Manchester CityUEFA Champions League
Sep 14, 2011Manchester City 1-1 NapoliUEFA Champions League

Out and doubtful

Manchester City

  • A. Semenyo (out)

Napoli

  • Alisson Santos (out)
  • B. Badiashile (out)
  • A. Buongiorno (out)
  • David Neres (out)
  • G. Di Lorenzo (out)
  • C. Favasuli (out)
  • S. Lobotka (out)
  • L. Marianucci (out)

Most regular starters

Manchester City

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

  • A. Khusanov3/5
  • E. Anderson3/5
  • E. Haaland3/5
  • G. Donnarumma3/5
  • I. Ndiaye3/5
  • R. Cherki3/5
  • Rúben Dias3/5
  • A. Bouaddi2/5
  • E. Fernández2/5
  • J. Doku2/5
  • J. Gvardiol2/5

Napoli

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

  • S. McTominay5/5
  • K. De Bruyne4/5
  • M. Olivera4/5
  • M. Politano4/5
  • N. Lang4/5
  • A. Meret3/5
  • G. Di Lorenzo3/5
  • Rafa Marín3/5
  • A. Vergara2/5
  • A. Zambo Anguissa2/5
  • Amir Rrahmani2/5

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See the full prediction (scenario, scorers, half-time)

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Frequently asked questions

What is the Manchester City vs Napoli prediction?

Our AI gives Manchester City a 80% chance of winning, the draw 12% and Napoli 8%. Manchester City are therefore favourites.

When and where is Manchester City vs Napoli played?

Tuesday, November 24, 2026 at 20:00 (UK time), UEFA Champions League. Venue: Etihad Stadium, Manchester.

What form are Manchester City and Napoli in?

Manchester City: 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (7 scored, 10 conceded). Napoli: 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (9 scored, 11 conceded).

What is the head-to-head record between Manchester City and Napoli?

In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 3 wins for Manchester City, 1 for Napoli and 1 draw. The most recent ended Manchester City 2-0 Napoli (Sep 18, 2025).

Go further

Key terms explained