UEFA Champions League· Kick-off : Tuesday, November 24, 2026, 17:45 (UK time)
Galatasaray vs Aston Villa prediction: correct score and AI tips
Match analysis
UEFA Champions League: Galatasaray vs Aston Villa kicks off on Tuesday, November 24, 2026 at 17:45 (UK time). Venue: Rams Park, Istanbul. Our model makes Aston Villa clear favourites: a 86% chance of winning, against 8% for the draw and 6% for Galatasaray. On the correct score, 1-3 comes out on top (7.1%), followed by 1-4 (7.1%) and 0-3 (6.3%).
Over their last 5 matches, Galatasaray have 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats, scoring 8 and conceding 11. Over their last 5 matches, Aston Villa have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat, scoring 10 and conceding 7. Both sides come in with similar form. On average Galatasaray score 1.60 and concede 2.20 goals per game; Aston Villa score 2.00 and concede 1.40. In the table, Galatasaray sit 30th with 0 points from 1 games, Aston Villa 9th with 3 points from 1. 21 places separate the two sides. Over their recent games, Galatasaray have averaged 1.89 xG (expected goals) per match, against 2.58 for Aston Villa.
Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Galatasaray and Aston Villa: the prediction relies on each team's form and level. Galatasaray out or doubtful: G. Guvenc, M. Lemina, V. Osimhen and W. Singo. Aston Villa: Alysson, M. Bizot, L. Goretzka, I. Maatsen, B. Madjo, A. Onana and P. Torres. In double chance terms, "Galatasaray or draw" stands at 14%, "Aston Villa or draw" at 94% and "no draw" at 92%.
In short : Our model backs Aston Villa to edge Galatasaray (86% probability). On recent form, Galatasaray have 3 wins, 0 draw and 2 losses in 5 while Aston Villa have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss in 5. The model expects goals (over 2.5 at 89%).
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Galatasaray – Aston Villa. 1-3 is the single most likely scoreline (7.1%); the 5 scores below add up to 33% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Galatasaray 1-3 Aston Villa | 7.1% |
| Galatasaray 1-4 Aston Villa | 7.1% |
| Galatasaray 0-3 Aston Villa | 6.3% |
| Galatasaray 0-4 Aston Villa | 6.3% |
| Galatasaray 1-5 Aston Villa | 5.7% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
With 1.13 expected goals for Galatasaray and 4.00 for Aston Villa, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 89% and "both teams to score" at 66%. Goals look likely in this one. Galatasaray keep a clean sheet in 2% of scenarios, Aston Villa in 32%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Galatasaray expected goals | 1.13 |
| Aston Villa expected goals | 4.00 |
| Both teams to score | 66% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 96% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 89% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 75% |
| Galatasaray clean sheet | 2% |
| Aston Villa clean sheet | 32% |
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
Galatasaray
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 2026 | Trabzonspor · Süper Lig | 0-4 | L |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Kocaelispor · Süper Lig | 1-0 | W |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Sporting CP · UEFA Champions League | 1-3 | L |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Başakşehir · Süper Lig | 3-2 | W |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Göztepe · Süper Lig | 3-2 | W |
Aston Villa
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 2026 | Tottenham · Premier League | 3-2 | W |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Coventry · EFL Cup | 3-1 | W |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Nottingham Forest · Premier League | 1-2 | L |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Club Brugge KV · UEFA Champions League | 3-2 | W |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Hull City · Premier League | 0-0 | D |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Galatasaray | 30 | 0 | 1 |
| Aston Villa | 9 | 3 | 1 |
Head-to-head
Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Galatasaray and Aston Villa: the prediction relies on each team's form and level.
Out and doubtful
Galatasaray
- G. Guvenc (out)
- M. Lemina (out)
- V. Osimhen (out)
- W. Singo (out)
Aston Villa
- Alysson (out)
- M. Bizot (out)
- L. Goretzka (out)
- I. Maatsen (out)
- B. Madjo (out)
- A. Onana (out)
- P. Torres (out)
Most regular starters
Galatasaray
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- Gabriel Sara5/5
- D. Sanchez4/5
- L. Torreira4/5
- R. Sallai4/5
- Y. Akgun4/5
- B. Yilmaz3/5
- I. Jakobs3/5
- U. Cakir3/5
- A. Bardakci2/5
- A. Batrakov2/5
- E. Elmali2/5
Aston Villa
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- A. Wan-Bissaka4/5
- B. Kamara4/5
- N. Jackson4/5
- Z. Suzuki4/5
- E. Buendia3/5
- G. Hemmings3/5
- I. Maatsen3/5
- J. McGinn3/5
- R. Barkley3/5
- T. Mings3/5
- V. Lindelof3/5
First detailed prediction free, no card required.
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Frequently asked questions
What is the Galatasaray vs Aston Villa prediction?
Our AI gives Galatasaray a 6% chance of winning, the draw 8% and Aston Villa 86%. Aston Villa are therefore favourites.
What is the most likely correct score for Galatasaray vs Aston Villa?
1-3 (7.1%), followed by 1-4 (7.1%), 0-3 (6.3%), 0-4 (6.3%) and 1-5 (5.7%).
Will both teams score in Galatasaray vs Aston Villa?
The probability that both Galatasaray and Aston Villa score is 66%. Galatasaray have a 2% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Aston Villa 32%.
How many goals should we expect in Galatasaray vs Aston Villa?
The model expects 5.13 goals (1.13 for Galatasaray, 4.00 for Aston Villa). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 96%, over 2.5 goals 89%, over 3.5 goals 75%.
When and where is Galatasaray vs Aston Villa played?
Tuesday, November 24, 2026 at 17:45 (UK time), UEFA Champions League. Venue: Rams Park, Istanbul.
What form are Galatasaray and Aston Villa in?
Galatasaray: 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (8 scored, 11 conceded). Aston Villa: 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (10 scored, 7 conceded).
How is the Galatasaray vs Aston Villa prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.13 for Galatasaray, 4.00 for Aston Villa) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All Galatasaray predictions
- All Aston Villa predictions
- UEFA Champions League predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology