UEFA Conference League· Kick-off : Thursday, October 15, 2026, 17:45 (UK time)
CSKA Sofia vs Monaco prediction: correct score and AI tips
Match analysis
UEFA Conference League: the CSKA Sofia vs Monaco match is scheduled on Thursday, October 15, 2026 at 17:45 (UK time). Venue: National Stadium Vasil Levski, Sofia. Nothing is settled in advance: the AI gives CSKA Sofia 32%, Monaco 41% and the draw 27%. The most likely correct score is 1-1 (12.7%), ahead of 0-1 (10.7%) and 1-0 (9.3%).
CSKA Sofia are unbeaten in their last 5 matches (3 wins, 2 draws), scoring 12 and conceding 5. Monaco are unbeaten in their last 5 matches (4 wins, 1 draw), scoring 9 and conceding 3. On recent form, there is little to separate the two teams. On average CSKA Sofia score 2.40 and concede 1.00 goals per game; Monaco score 1.80 and concede 0.60.
Our data holds no recent head-to-head between CSKA Sofia and Monaco: the prediction relies on each team's form and level. Monaco: P. Brunner (suspended), A. Fati, M. Coulibaly (doubtful) and S. Idumbo (doubtful). In double chance terms, "CSKA Sofia or draw" stands at 59%, "Monaco or draw" at 68% and "no draw" at 73%.
In short : Monaco are tipped by our AI model in this CSKA Sofia v Monaco (41%). On recent form, CSKA Sofia have 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses in 5 while Monaco are in good shape (4 wins in 5). Our model's most likely scoreline: 1-1.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as CSKA Sofia – Monaco. 1-1 is the single most likely scoreline (12.7%); the 5 scores below add up to 49% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| CSKA Sofia 1-1 Monaco | 12.7% |
| CSKA Sofia 0-1 Monaco | 10.7% |
| CSKA Sofia 1-0 Monaco | 9.3% |
| CSKA Sofia 1-2 Monaco | 8.6% |
| CSKA Sofia 0-0 Monaco | 7.9% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
The model expects 2.54 goals in total (1.18 for CSKA Sofia, 1.36 for Monaco): over 2.5 goals has a 47% probability and both teams to score 52%. CSKA Sofia keep a clean sheet in 26% of scenarios, Monaco in 31%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| CSKA Sofia expected goals | 1.18 |
| Monaco expected goals | 1.36 |
| Both teams to score | 52% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 72% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 47% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 25% |
| CSKA Sofia clean sheet | 26% |
| Monaco clean sheet | 31% |
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
CSKA Sofia
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2026 | Lokomotiv Plovdiv · First League | 1-1 | D |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Lokomotiv Sofia · First League | 2-0 | W |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Arda Kardzhali · First League | 4-1 | W |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Levski Sofia · Super Cup | 4-2 | W |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Spartak Varna · First League | 1-1 | D |
Monaco
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | Pisa · Club Friendlies | 2-0 | W |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Lens · Ligue 1 | 2-1 | W |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Strasbourg · Ligue 1 | 1-1 | D |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Paris Saint Germain · Ligue 1 | 2-1 | W |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Marseille · Ligue 1 | 2-0 | W |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| CSKA Sofia | 13 | 0 | 0 |
| Monaco | 3 | 0 | 0 |
Head-to-head
Our data holds no recent head-to-head between CSKA Sofia and Monaco: the prediction relies on each team's form and level.
Out and doubtful
CSKA Sofia
No absences reported.
Monaco
- P. Brunner (suspended)
- A. Fati (out)
- M. Coulibaly (doubtful)
- S. Idumbo (doubtful)
Most regular starters
CSKA Sofia
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- F. Lapoukhov5/5
- I. Pittas5/5
- T. Ivanov5/5
- M. Ebong4/5
- Pastor4/5
- S. Sensi4/5
- J. Eto'o3/5
- J. Gbamin3/5
- J. Zwarts3/5
- A. Martino2/5
- Á. Martino2/5
Monaco
Starts over the last 4 matches (official line-ups).
- A. Golovin4/4
- D. Zakaria4/4
- E. Dier4/4
- L. Camara4/4
- L. Hradecky4/4
- Nazinho4/4
- P. Brunner4/4
- S. Sane4/4
- Vanderson4/4
- S. Idumbo3/4
- M. Coulibaly2/4
First detailed prediction free, no card required.
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Frequently asked questions
What is the CSKA Sofia vs Monaco prediction?
Our AI gives CSKA Sofia a 32% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Monaco 41%. Monaco are therefore slight favourites.
What is the most likely correct score for CSKA Sofia vs Monaco?
1-1 (12.7%), followed by 0-1 (10.7%), 1-0 (9.3%), 1-2 (8.6%) and 0-0 (7.9%).
Will both teams score in CSKA Sofia vs Monaco?
The probability that both CSKA Sofia and Monaco score is 52%. CSKA Sofia have a 26% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Monaco 31%.
How many goals should we expect in CSKA Sofia vs Monaco?
The model expects 2.54 goals (1.18 for CSKA Sofia, 1.36 for Monaco). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 72%, over 2.5 goals 47%, over 3.5 goals 25%.
When and where is CSKA Sofia vs Monaco played?
Thursday, October 15, 2026 at 17:45 (UK time), UEFA Conference League. Venue: National Stadium Vasil Levski, Sofia.
What form are CSKA Sofia and Monaco in?
CSKA Sofia: 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches (12 scored, 5 conceded). Monaco: 4 wins, 1 draw and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches (9 scored, 3 conceded).
How is the CSKA Sofia vs Monaco prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.18 for CSKA Sofia, 1.36 for Monaco) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All CSKA Sofia predictions
- All Monaco predictions
- UEFA Conference League predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology