UEFA Conference League· Kick-off : Thursday, October 22, 2026, 17:45 (UK time)
FC Nordsjaelland vs CSKA Sofia prediction: correct score and AI tips
Match analysis
UEFA Conference League: the FC Nordsjaelland vs CSKA Sofia match is scheduled on Thursday, October 22, 2026 at 17:45 (UK time). Venue: Right to Dream Park, Farum. The edge goes to FC Nordsjaelland (51%), ahead of the draw (25%) and a CSKA Sofia win (24%). The most likely correct score is 1-1 (11.8%), ahead of 1-0 (11.4%) and 2-1 (9.5%).
Over their last 5 matches, FC Nordsjaelland have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat, scoring 10 and conceding 5. CSKA Sofia are unbeaten in their last 5 matches (3 wins, 2 draws), scoring 12 and conceding 5. On recent form, there is little to separate the two teams. On average FC Nordsjaelland score 2.00 and concede 1.00 goals per game; CSKA Sofia score 2.40 and concede 1.00.
Our data holds no recent head-to-head between FC Nordsjaelland and CSKA Sofia: the prediction relies on each team's form and level. In double chance terms, "FC Nordsjaelland or draw" stands at 76%, "CSKA Sofia or draw" at 49% and "no draw" at 75%.
In short : Our model backs FC Nordsjaelland to edge CSKA Sofia (51% probability). On recent form, FC Nordsjaelland have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss in 5 while CSKA Sofia have 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses in 5. Both teams could find the net (BTTS at 52%).
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as FC Nordsjaelland – CSKA Sofia. 1-1 is the single most likely scoreline (11.8%); the 5 scores below add up to 49% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| FC Nordsjaelland 1-1 CSKA Sofia | 11.8% |
| FC Nordsjaelland 1-0 CSKA Sofia | 11.4% |
| FC Nordsjaelland 2-1 CSKA Sofia | 9.5% |
| FC Nordsjaelland 2-0 CSKA Sofia | 9.2% |
| FC Nordsjaelland 0-1 CSKA Sofia | 7.3% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
The model expects 2.65 goals in total (1.61 for FC Nordsjaelland, 1.04 for CSKA Sofia): over 2.5 goals has a 49% probability and both teams to score 52%. FC Nordsjaelland keep a clean sheet in 35% of scenarios, CSKA Sofia in 20%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| FC Nordsjaelland expected goals | 1.61 |
| CSKA Sofia expected goals | 1.04 |
| Both teams to score | 52% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 74% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 49% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 28% |
| FC Nordsjaelland clean sheet | 35% |
| CSKA Sofia clean sheet | 20% |
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
FC Nordsjaelland
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 16, 2026 | Vatanspor · DBU Pokalen | 3-0 | W |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Aarhus · Superliga | 2-0 | W |
| Sep 7, 2026 | FC Midtjylland · Superliga | 2-2 | D |
| Sep 3, 2026 | FC Copenhagen · Superliga | 0-2 | L |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Brondby · Superliga | 3-1 | W |
CSKA Sofia
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2026 | Lokomotiv Plovdiv · First League | 1-1 | D |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Lokomotiv Sofia · First League | 2-0 | W |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Arda Kardzhali · First League | 4-1 | W |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Levski Sofia · Super Cup | 4-2 | W |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Spartak Varna · First League | 1-1 | D |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| FC Nordsjaelland | 19 | 0 | 0 |
| CSKA Sofia | 13 | 0 | 0 |
Head-to-head
Our data holds no recent head-to-head between FC Nordsjaelland and CSKA Sofia: the prediction relies on each team's form and level.
Out and doubtful
FC Nordsjaelland
No absences reported.
CSKA Sofia
No absences reported.
Most regular starters
FC Nordsjaelland
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- A. Hansen4/5
- A. Lind4/5
- P. Ankersen4/5
- R. Norheim4/5
- I. Adel3/5
- J. Janssen3/5
- J. Lahteenmaki3/5
- M. Brink3/5
- N. Markmann3/5
- S. Acquah3/5
- L. Sadio2/5
CSKA Sofia
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- F. Lapoukhov5/5
- I. Pittas5/5
- T. Ivanov5/5
- M. Ebong4/5
- Pastor4/5
- S. Sensi4/5
- J. Eto'o3/5
- J. Gbamin3/5
- J. Zwarts3/5
- A. Martino2/5
- Á. Martino2/5
First detailed prediction free, no card required.
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Frequently asked questions
What is the FC Nordsjaelland vs CSKA Sofia prediction?
Our AI gives FC Nordsjaelland a 51% chance of winning, the draw 25% and CSKA Sofia 24%. FC Nordsjaelland are therefore favourites.
What is the most likely correct score for FC Nordsjaelland vs CSKA Sofia?
1-1 (11.8%), followed by 1-0 (11.4%), 2-1 (9.5%), 2-0 (9.2%) and 0-1 (7.3%).
Will both teams score in FC Nordsjaelland vs CSKA Sofia?
The probability that both FC Nordsjaelland and CSKA Sofia score is 52%. FC Nordsjaelland have a 35% chance of keeping a clean sheet, CSKA Sofia 20%.
How many goals should we expect in FC Nordsjaelland vs CSKA Sofia?
The model expects 2.65 goals (1.61 for FC Nordsjaelland, 1.04 for CSKA Sofia). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 74%, over 2.5 goals 49%, over 3.5 goals 28%.
When and where is FC Nordsjaelland vs CSKA Sofia played?
Thursday, October 22, 2026 at 17:45 (UK time), UEFA Conference League. Venue: Right to Dream Park, Farum.
What form are FC Nordsjaelland and CSKA Sofia in?
FC Nordsjaelland: 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (10 scored, 5 conceded). CSKA Sofia: 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches (12 scored, 5 conceded).
How is the FC Nordsjaelland vs CSKA Sofia prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.61 for FC Nordsjaelland, 1.04 for CSKA Sofia) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All FC Nordsjaelland predictions
- All CSKA Sofia predictions
- UEFA Conference League predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology