UEFA Conference League· Kick-off : Thursday, October 22, 2026, 17:45 (UK time)
Getafe vs FC Lugano prediction: correct score and AI tips
Match analysis
Getafe take on FC Lugano on Thursday, October 22, 2026 at 17:45 (UK time), a UEFA Conference League fixture. Venue: Coliseum, Getafe. Nothing is settled in advance: the AI gives Getafe 41%, FC Lugano 28% and the draw 31%. The most likely correct score is 1-0 (16.2%), ahead of 0-0 (15.0%) and 1-1 (13.2%).
Getafe have won just one of their last 5 matches (2 draws, 2 defeats), scoring 3 and conceding 4. FC Lugano are unbeaten in their last 5 matches (4 wins, 1 draw), scoring 14 and conceding 4. Recent momentum is clearly with FC Lugano. On average Getafe score 0.60 and concede 0.80 goals per game; FC Lugano score 2.80 and concede 0.80.
Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Getafe and FC Lugano: the prediction relies on each team's form and level. Getafe out or doubtful: Juanmi, C. Uche, A. Abqar (doubtful), Kiko Femenia (doubtful) and M. Satriano (doubtful). In double chance terms, "Getafe or draw" stands at 72%, "FC Lugano or draw" at 59% and "no draw" at 69%.
In short : Getafe are favourites for this Getafe v FC Lugano, with a 41% win probability from our model. On recent form, Getafe have 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses in 5 while FC Lugano are in good shape (4 wins in 5). One to watch: Getafe will be without Juanmi and C. Uche.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Getafe – FC Lugano. 1-0 is the single most likely scoreline (16.2%); the 5 scores below add up to 65% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Getafe 1-0 FC Lugano | 16.2% |
| Getafe 0-0 FC Lugano | 15.0% |
| Getafe 1-1 FC Lugano | 13.2% |
| Getafe 0-1 FC Lugano | 12.3% |
| Getafe 2-0 FC Lugano | 8.7% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
The model expects 1.90 goals in total (1.08 for Getafe, 0.82 for FC Lugano): over 2.5 goals has a 30% probability and both teams to score 37%. A tight, low-scoring game is on the cards. Getafe keep a clean sheet in 44% of scenarios, FC Lugano in 34%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Getafe expected goals | 1.08 |
| FC Lugano expected goals | 0.82 |
| Both teams to score | 37% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 57% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 30% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 13% |
| Getafe clean sheet | 44% |
| FC Lugano clean sheet | 34% |
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
Getafe
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2026 | Malaga · La Liga | 1-0 | W |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Real Betis · La Liga | 0-1 | L |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Deportivo La Coruna · La Liga | 1-1 | D |
| Sep 7, 2026 | Celta Vigo · La Liga | 1-1 | D |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Osasuna · La Liga | 0-1 | L |
FC Lugano
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2026 | Lausanne · Super League | 4-0 | W |
| Sep 16, 2026 | FC ST. Gallen · Super League | 4-1 | W |
| Sep 12, 2026 | BSC Young Boys · Super League | 2-2 | D |
| Sep 6, 2026 | FC Basel 1893 · Super League | 3-1 | W |
| Sep 3, 2026 | Servette FC · Super League | 1-0 | W |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Getafe | 11 | 0 | 0 |
| FC Lugano | 24 | 0 | 0 |
Head-to-head
Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Getafe and FC Lugano: the prediction relies on each team's form and level.
Out and doubtful
Getafe
- Juanmi (out)
- C. Uche (out)
- A. Abqar (doubtful)
- Kiko Femenia (doubtful)
- M. Satriano (doubtful)
FC Lugano
No absences reported.
Most regular starters
Getafe
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- M. Satriano5/5
- J. Mojica4/5
- N. Gudelj4/5
- O. Mangala4/5
- Z. Romero4/5
- D. Soria3/5
- Djene3/5
- E. Unal3/5
- R. Terrats3/5
- Andrés García2/5
- D. Dakonam2/5
FC Lugano
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- A. Papadopoulos5/5
- B. Karimov5/5
- D. Dos Santos5/5
- U. Bislimi5/5
- Y. Cimignani5/5
- A. Grgic4/5
- D. Moncada4/5
- D. von Ballmoos4/5
- H. Delcroix4/5
- L. Mai4/5
- R. Steffen3/5
First detailed prediction free, no card required.
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Frequently asked questions
What is the Getafe vs FC Lugano prediction?
Our AI gives Getafe a 41% chance of winning, the draw 31% and FC Lugano 28%. Getafe are therefore slight favourites.
What is the most likely correct score for Getafe vs FC Lugano?
1-0 (16.2%), followed by 0-0 (15.0%), 1-1 (13.2%), 0-1 (12.3%) and 2-0 (8.7%).
Will both teams score in Getafe vs FC Lugano?
The probability that both Getafe and FC Lugano score is 37%. Getafe have a 44% chance of keeping a clean sheet, FC Lugano 34%.
How many goals should we expect in Getafe vs FC Lugano?
The model expects 1.90 goals (1.08 for Getafe, 0.82 for FC Lugano). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 57%, over 2.5 goals 30%, over 3.5 goals 13%.
When and where is Getafe vs FC Lugano played?
Thursday, October 22, 2026 at 17:45 (UK time), UEFA Conference League. Venue: Coliseum, Getafe.
What form are Getafe and FC Lugano in?
Getafe: 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (3 scored, 4 conceded). FC Lugano: 4 wins, 1 draw and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches (14 scored, 4 conceded).
How is the Getafe vs FC Lugano prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.08 for Getafe, 0.82 for FC Lugano) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All Getafe predictions
- All FC Lugano predictions
- UEFA Conference League predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology