UEFA Conference League· Kick-off : Thursday, October 22, 2026, 17:45 (UK time)
FK Jablonec vs Brighton prediction: correct score and AI tips
Match analysis
UEFA Conference League: the FK Jablonec vs Brighton match is scheduled on Thursday, October 22, 2026 at 17:45 (UK time). Venue: Stadion Strelnice, Jablonec nad Nisou. Our model makes Brighton clear favourites: a 66% chance of winning, against 17% for the draw and 17% for FK Jablonec. On the correct score, 1-2 comes out on top (9.2%), followed by 1-3 (7.7%) and 0-2 (7.5%).
Over their last 5 matches, FK Jablonec have 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat, scoring 7 and conceding 2. Over their last 5 matches, Brighton have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat, scoring 15 and conceding 7. Both sides come in with similar form. On average FK Jablonec score 1.40 and concede 0.40 goals per game; Brighton score 3.00 and concede 1.40.
Our data holds no recent head-to-head between FK Jablonec and Brighton: the prediction relies on each team's form and level. Brighton: E. Ferguson, Y. Minteh, S. Tzimas, F. Azeez (doubtful), L. Dunk (doubtful), J. Hinshelwood (doubtful), K. Mitoma (doubtful) and P. Struijk (doubtful). In double chance terms, "FK Jablonec or draw" stands at 34%, "Brighton or draw" at 83% and "no draw" at 83%.
In short : Brighton are tipped by our AI model in this FK Jablonec v Brighton (66%). On recent form, FK Jablonec are in good shape (4 wins in 5) while Brighton have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss in 5. Our model's most likely scoreline: 1-2.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as FK Jablonec – Brighton. 1-2 is the single most likely scoreline (9.2%); the 5 scores below add up to 38% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| FK Jablonec 1-2 Brighton | 9.2% |
| FK Jablonec 1-3 Brighton | 7.7% |
| FK Jablonec 0-2 Brighton | 7.5% |
| FK Jablonec 1-1 Brighton | 7.2% |
| FK Jablonec 0-3 Brighton | 6.3% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
With 1.23 expected goals for FK Jablonec and 2.53 for Brighton, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 73% and "both teams to score" at 65%. Goals look likely in this one. FK Jablonec keep a clean sheet in 8% of scenarios, Brighton in 29%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| FK Jablonec expected goals | 1.23 |
| Brighton expected goals | 2.53 |
| Both teams to score | 65% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 89% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 73% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 52% |
| FK Jablonec clean sheet | 8% |
| Brighton clean sheet | 29% |
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
FK Jablonec
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Rangers · UEFA Conference League | 0-1 | L |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Rīgas FS · UEFA Conference League | 2-1 | W |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Slovácko · Czech Liga | 1-0 | W |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Rīgas FS · UEFA Conference League | 2-0 | W |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Pardubice · Czech Liga | 2-0 | W |
Brighton
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 2026 | Arsenal · Premier League | 3-0 | W |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Manchester United · EFL Cup | 3-2 | W |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Coventry · Premier League | 5-0 | W |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Leeds · Premier League | 1-1 | D |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Chelsea · Premier League | 3-4 | L |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| FK Jablonec | 4 | 0 | 0 |
| Brighton | 2 | 0 | 0 |
Head-to-head
Our data holds no recent head-to-head between FK Jablonec and Brighton: the prediction relies on each team's form and level.
Out and doubtful
FK Jablonec
No absences reported.
Brighton
- E. Ferguson (out)
- Y. Minteh (out)
- S. Tzimas (out)
- F. Azeez (doubtful)
- L. Dunk (doubtful)
- J. Hinshelwood (doubtful)
- K. Mitoma (doubtful)
- P. Struijk (doubtful)
Most regular starters
FK Jablonec
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- D. Pavlovic5/5
- N. Tekijaski5/5
- V. Chanturishvili5/5
- M. Cedidla4/5
- M. Polidar4/5
- R. Sedlacek4/5
- S. Nebyla4/5
- J. Hanus3/5
- J. Slama3/5
- J. Suchan3/5
- L. Jawo3/5
Brighton
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- C. Kostoulas5/5
- O. Boscagli5/5
- B. Verbruggen4/5
- M. De Cuyper4/5
- D. Gomez3/5
- F. Kadioglu3/5
- L. Dunk3/5
- L. Vuskovic3/5
- M. Yalcouye3/5
- P. Gross3/5
- Y. Ayari3/5
First detailed prediction free, no card required.
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Frequently asked questions
What is the FK Jablonec vs Brighton prediction?
Our AI gives FK Jablonec a 17% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Brighton 66%. Brighton are therefore favourites.
What is the most likely correct score for FK Jablonec vs Brighton?
1-2 (9.2%), followed by 1-3 (7.7%), 0-2 (7.5%), 1-1 (7.2%) and 0-3 (6.3%).
Will both teams score in FK Jablonec vs Brighton?
The probability that both FK Jablonec and Brighton score is 65%. FK Jablonec have a 8% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Brighton 29%.
How many goals should we expect in FK Jablonec vs Brighton?
The model expects 3.76 goals (1.23 for FK Jablonec, 2.53 for Brighton). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 89%, over 2.5 goals 73%, over 3.5 goals 52%.
When and where is FK Jablonec vs Brighton played?
Thursday, October 22, 2026 at 17:45 (UK time), UEFA Conference League. Venue: Stadion Strelnice, Jablonec nad Nisou.
What form are FK Jablonec and Brighton in?
FK Jablonec: 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (7 scored, 2 conceded). Brighton: 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (15 scored, 7 conceded).
How is the FK Jablonec vs Brighton prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.23 for FK Jablonec, 2.53 for Brighton) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All FK Jablonec predictions
- All Brighton predictions
- UEFA Conference League predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology