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UEFA Conference LeagueUEFA Conference League· Kick-off : Thursday, October 22, 2026, 15:30 (UK time)

Kairat Almaty vs Panathinaikos prediction: correct score and AI tips

Kairat AlmatyKairat Almaty–PanathinaikosPanathinaikos

Match analysis

Kairat Almaty take on Panathinaikos on Thursday, October 22, 2026 at 15:30 (UK time), a UEFA Conference League fixture. Venue: Almaty Central Stadium, Almaty. Kairat Almaty start as favourites with a 48% chance of victory; Panathinaikos are given 27% and the draw 25%. On the correct score, 1-1 comes out on top (12.1%), followed by 1-0 (11.2%) and 2-1 (9.3%).

Over their last 5 matches, Kairat Almaty have 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats, scoring 8 and conceding 7. Panathinaikos are unbeaten in their last 5 matches (5 wins, 0 draws), scoring 12 and conceding 2. Panathinaikos therefore arrive in far better shape than Kairat Almaty. On average Kairat Almaty score 1.60 and concede 1.40 goals per game; Panathinaikos score 2.40 and concede 0.40.

Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Kairat Almaty and Panathinaikos: the prediction relies on each team's form and level. In double chance terms, "Kairat Almaty or draw" stands at 73%, "Panathinaikos or draw" at 52% and "no draw" at 75%.

In short : Our model backs Kairat Almaty to edge Panathinaikos (48% probability). On recent form, Kairat Almaty have 3 wins, 0 draw and 2 losses in 5 while Panathinaikos are in good shape (5 wins in 5). Both teams could find the net (BTTS at 52%).

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

48%
Kairat Almaty (Win)
25%
Draw
27%
Panathinaikos (Win)

Double chance

73%
Kairat Almaty or draw
52%
Panathinaikos or draw
75%
No draw

Most likely correct scores

Scores shown as Kairat Almaty – Panathinaikos. 1-1 is the single most likely scoreline (12.1%); the 5 scores below add up to 49% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.

ScoreProbability
Kairat Almaty 1-1 Panathinaikos12.1%
Kairat Almaty 1-0 Panathinaikos11.2%
Kairat Almaty 2-1 Panathinaikos9.3%
Kairat Almaty 2-0 Panathinaikos8.6%
Kairat Almaty 0-1 Panathinaikos7.9%

Goals: both teams to score, over/under

With 1.54 expected goals for Kairat Almaty and 1.08 for Panathinaikos, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 49% and "both teams to score" at 52%. Kairat Almaty keep a clean sheet in 34% of scenarios, Panathinaikos in 21%.

Probability
Kairat Almaty expected goals1.54
Panathinaikos expected goals1.08
Both teams to score52%
Over 1.5 goals74%
Over 2.5 goals49%
Over 3.5 goals27%
Kairat Almaty clean sheet34%
Panathinaikos clean sheet21%

Recent form

Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.

Kairat Almaty

DateOpponentScore
Sep 5, 2026Kaspiy · Premier League3-0W
Aug 31, 2026Yelimay Semey · Premier League2-0W
Aug 27, 2026Anderlecht · UEFA Europa League0-3L
Aug 20, 2026Anderlecht · UEFA Europa League0-3L
Aug 15, 2026Ulytau · Premier League3-1W

Panathinaikos

DateOpponentScore
Sep 20, 2026Kalamata · Super League 11-0W
Sep 16, 2026Kifisia · Cup2-0W
Sep 13, 2026Panetolikos · Super League 13-0W
Sep 10, 2026Kifisia · Super League 13-1W
Sep 6, 2026PAOK · Super League 13-1W

Standings before the match

Pos.PointsPlayed
Kairat Almaty2900
Panathinaikos2000

Head-to-head

Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Kairat Almaty and Panathinaikos: the prediction relies on each team's form and level.

Out and doubtful

Kairat Almaty

No absences reported.

Panathinaikos

No absences reported.

Most regular starters

Kairat Almaty

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

  • Edmilson4/5
  • J. Oksanen4/5
  • L. Mata4/5
  • M. Gual4/5
  • O. Jukkola4/5
  • A. Mrynskiy3/5
  • A. Shirobokov3/5
  • E. Tapalov3/5
  • G. Mendonsa3/5
  • T. Anarbekov3/5
  • L. Kurgin2/5

Panathinaikos

Starts over the last 4 matches (official line-ups).

  • D. Calabria4/4
  • E. Camara4/4
  • S. de Vrij4/4
  • A. Tetteh3/4
  • G. Kiriakopoulos3/4
  • Iñaki Peña3/4
  • K. Kangwa3/4
  • R. van Drongelen3/4
  • Santino Andino3/4
  • V. Taborda3/4
  • A. Ounahi2/4

First detailed prediction free, no card required.

See the full prediction (scenario, scorers, half-time)

Other matches in this competition

Frequently asked questions

What is the Kairat Almaty vs Panathinaikos prediction?

Our AI gives Kairat Almaty a 48% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Panathinaikos 27%. Kairat Almaty are therefore favourites.

What is the most likely correct score for Kairat Almaty vs Panathinaikos?

1-1 (12.1%), followed by 1-0 (11.2%), 2-1 (9.3%), 2-0 (8.6%) and 0-1 (7.9%).

Will both teams score in Kairat Almaty vs Panathinaikos?

The probability that both Kairat Almaty and Panathinaikos score is 52%. Kairat Almaty have a 34% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Panathinaikos 21%.

How many goals should we expect in Kairat Almaty vs Panathinaikos?

The model expects 2.62 goals (1.54 for Kairat Almaty, 1.08 for Panathinaikos). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 74%, over 2.5 goals 49%, over 3.5 goals 27%.

When and where is Kairat Almaty vs Panathinaikos played?

Thursday, October 22, 2026 at 15:30 (UK time), UEFA Conference League. Venue: Almaty Central Stadium, Almaty.

What form are Kairat Almaty and Panathinaikos in?

Kairat Almaty: 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (8 scored, 7 conceded). Panathinaikos: 5 wins, 0 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches (12 scored, 2 conceded).

How is the Kairat Almaty vs Panathinaikos prediction calculated?

The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.54 for Kairat Almaty, 1.08 for Panathinaikos) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.

Go further

Key terms explained