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UEFA Conference LeagueUEFA Conference League· Kick-off : Thursday, August 27, 2026, 17:45 (UK time)

Monaco vs Gornik Zabrze: 4-1 result and AI prediction review

MonacoMonaco4 – 1Gornik ZabrzeGornik Zabrze

Review: prediction vs result

1X2 outcome correctExact score missedMost likely score before kick-off : 2-0

Final score: Monaco 4-1 Gornik Zabrze. The 1X2 prediction came good: victory for Monaco was the model's favourite outcome (71%). The final score ranked 10th among the most likely scorelines (3.8%), behind 2-0. On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (46%): missed; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (56%): correct.

Match analysis

Monaco vs Gornik Zabrze was played on Thursday, August 27, 2026 (UEFA Conference League). Venue: Stade Louis II, Monaco. Before kick-off, our model gave Monaco a 71% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Gornik Zabrze 11%. The most likely correct score is 2-0 (12.9%), ahead of 1-0 (11.7%) and 3-0 (9.5%).

Over their last 5 matches, Monaco have 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat, scoring 8 and conceding 6. Gornik Zabrze have not won any of their last 5 matches (2 draws, 3 defeats), scoring 4 and conceding 7. Recent momentum is clearly with Monaco. On average Monaco score 1.60 and concede 1.20 goals per game; Gornik Zabrze score 0.80 and concede 1.40.

In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Monaco, 0 for Gornik Zabrze and 0 draws. The most recent ended Gornik Zabrze 2-3 Monaco (Aug 20, 2026). Monaco out or doubtful: M. Abline, F. Balogun, E. Diop, A. Fati and C. Mawissa. In double chance terms, "Monaco or draw" stands at 89%, "Gornik Zabrze or draw" at 29% and "no draw" at 82%.

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

71%
Monaco (Win)
18%
Draw
11%
Gornik Zabrze (Win)

Double chance

89%
Monaco or draw
29%
Gornik Zabrze or draw
82%
No draw

Most likely correct scores

Scores shown as Monaco – Gornik Zabrze. 2-0 is the single most likely scoreline (12.9%); the 5 scores below add up to 52% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.

ScoreProbability
Monaco 2-0 Gornik Zabrze12.9%
Monaco 1-0 Gornik Zabrze11.7%
Monaco 3-0 Gornik Zabrze9.5%
Monaco 2-1 Gornik Zabrze9.4%
Monaco 1-1 Gornik Zabrze8.6%

Goals: both teams to score, over/under

The model expects 2.93 goals in total (2.20 for Monaco, 0.73 for Gornik Zabrze): over 2.5 goals has a 56% probability and both teams to score 46%. Monaco keep a clean sheet in 48% of scenarios, Gornik Zabrze in 11%.

Probability
Monaco expected goals2.20
Gornik Zabrze expected goals0.73
Both teams to score46%
Over 1.5 goals79%
Over 2.5 goals56%
Over 3.5 goals34%
Monaco clean sheet48%
Gornik Zabrze clean sheet11%

Recent form

Latest matches played before this game in the competitions Elofoot covers.

Monaco

DateOpponentScore
Aug 23, 2026Le Havre · Ligue 11-0W
Aug 20, 2026Gornik Zabrze · UEFA Conference League3-2W
Aug 14, 2026Coventry · Club Friendlies0-2L
Aug 9, 2026Liverpool · Club Friendlies3-2W
Aug 6, 2026Getafe · Club Friendlies1-0W

Gornik Zabrze

DateOpponentScore
Aug 20, 2026Monaco · UEFA Conference League2-3L
Aug 13, 2026Ferencvarosi TC · UEFA Europa League1-1D
Aug 5, 2026Ferencvarosi TC · UEFA Europa League0-1L
Jul 29, 2026Fenerbahçe · UEFA Champions League1-1D
Jul 21, 2026Fenerbahçe · UEFA Champions League0-1L

Head-to-head

DateScoreCompetition
Aug 20, 2026Gornik Zabrze 2-3 MonacoUEFA Conference League

Out and doubtful

Monaco

  • M. Abline (out)
  • F. Balogun (out)
  • E. Diop (out)
  • A. Fati (out)
  • C. Mawissa (out)

Gornik Zabrze

No absences reported.

Other matches in this competition

Frequently asked questions

What is the Monaco vs Gornik Zabrze prediction?

Before the match, our AI gave Monaco a 71% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Gornik Zabrze 11%. Monaco are therefore favourites. Final score: 4-1.

What is the most likely correct score for Monaco vs Gornik Zabrze?

2-0 (12.9%), followed by 1-0 (11.7%), 3-0 (9.5%), 2-1 (9.4%) and 1-1 (8.6%).

Will both teams score in Monaco vs Gornik Zabrze?

The probability that both Monaco and Gornik Zabrze score is 46%. Monaco have a 48% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Gornik Zabrze 11%.

How many goals should we expect in Monaco vs Gornik Zabrze?

The model expects 2.93 goals (2.20 for Monaco, 0.73 for Gornik Zabrze). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 79%, over 2.5 goals 56%, over 3.5 goals 34%.

When and where is Monaco vs Gornik Zabrze played?

Thursday, August 27, 2026 at 17:45 (UK time), UEFA Conference League. Venue: Stade Louis II, Monaco.

What form are Monaco and Gornik Zabrze in?

Monaco: 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (8 scored, 6 conceded). Gornik Zabrze: 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (4 scored, 7 conceded).

What is the head-to-head record between Monaco and Gornik Zabrze?

In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Monaco, 0 for Gornik Zabrze and 0 draws. The most recent ended Gornik Zabrze 2-3 Monaco (Aug 20, 2026).

What was the Monaco vs Gornik Zabrze result, and was the prediction right?

Final score: Monaco 4-1 Gornik Zabrze. The 1X2 prediction came good: victory for Monaco was the model's favourite outcome (71%). The final score ranked 10th among the most likely scorelines (3.8%), behind 2-0. On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (46%): missed; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (56%): correct.

How is the Monaco vs Gornik Zabrze prediction calculated?

The model estimates each team's expected goals (2.20 for Monaco, 0.73 for Gornik Zabrze) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.

Go further

Key terms explained