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UEFA Conference LeagueUEFA Conference League· Kick-off : Thursday, August 27, 2026, 18:00 (UK time)

Brann vs PAOK: 3-2 result and AI prediction review

BrannBrann3 – 2PAOKPAOK

Review: prediction vs result

1X2 outcome missedExact score missedMost likely score before kick-off : 0-0

Final score: Brann 3-2 PAOK. The outcome was missed: the model favoured a draw (36%), while victory for Brann was rated at only 32%. The model considered this score unlikely (0.5%). On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (29%): missed; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (21%): missed.

Match analysis

Brann vs PAOK was played on Thursday, August 27, 2026 (UEFA Conference League). Venue: Brann Stadion, Bergen. Before kick-off, our model gave Brann a 32% chance of winning, the draw 36% and PAOK 32%. The most likely correct score is 0-0 (21.0%), ahead of 1-0 (16.4%) and 0-1 (16.4%).

Over their last 5 matches, Brann have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat, scoring 10 and conceding 7. Over their last 5 matches, PAOK have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats, scoring 8 and conceding 7. On recent form, there is little to separate the two teams. On average Brann score 2.00 and concede 1.40 goals per game; PAOK score 1.60 and concede 1.40.

In the last 2 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Brann, 0 for PAOK and 2 draws. The most recent ended PAOK 1-1 Brann (Aug 20, 2026). In double chance terms, "Brann or draw" stands at 68%, "PAOK or draw" at 68% and "no draw" at 64%.

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

32%
Brann (Win)
36%
Draw
32%
PAOK (Win)

Double chance

68%
Brann or draw
68%
PAOK or draw
64%
No draw

Most likely correct scores

Scores shown as Brann – PAOK. 0-0 is the single most likely scoreline (21.0%); the 5 scores below add up to 73% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.

ScoreProbability
Brann 0-0 PAOK21.0%
Brann 1-0 PAOK16.4%
Brann 0-1 PAOK16.4%
Brann 1-1 PAOK12.8%
Brann 2-0 PAOK6.4%

Goals: both teams to score, over/under

The model expects 1.56 goals in total (0.78 for Brann, 0.78 for PAOK): over 2.5 goals has a 21% probability and both teams to score 29%. A tight, low-scoring game is on the cards. Brann keep a clean sheet in 46% of scenarios, PAOK in 46%.

Probability
Brann expected goals0.78
PAOK expected goals0.78
Both teams to score29%
Over 1.5 goals46%
Over 2.5 goals21%
Over 3.5 goals7%
Brann clean sheet46%
PAOK clean sheet46%

Recent form

Latest matches played before this game in the competitions Elofoot covers.

Brann

DateOpponentScore
Aug 20, 2026PAOK · UEFA Conference League1-1D
Aug 11, 2026Apollon Limassol · UEFA Conference League4-2W
Aug 5, 2026Apollon Limassol · UEFA Conference League0-1L
Jul 30, 2026Universitatea Cluj · UEFA Conference League3-1W
Jul 23, 2026Universitatea Cluj · UEFA Conference League2-2D

PAOK

DateOpponentScore
Aug 20, 2026Brann · UEFA Conference League1-1D
Aug 13, 2026Anderlecht · UEFA Europa League2-3L
Aug 6, 2026Anderlecht · UEFA Europa League0-1L
Jul 30, 2026Dynamo Kyiv · UEFA Europa League2-0W
Jul 23, 2026Dynamo Kyiv · UEFA Europa League3-2W

Head-to-head

DateScoreCompetition
Aug 20, 2026PAOK 1-1 BrannUEFA Conference League
Nov 27, 2025PAOK 1-1 BrannUEFA Europa League

Out and doubtful

Brann

No absences reported.

PAOK

No absences reported.

Other matches in this competition

Frequently asked questions

What is the Brann vs PAOK prediction?

Before the match, our AI gave Brann a 32% chance of winning, the draw 36% and PAOK 32%. A draw is therefore the most likely outcome. Final score: 3-2.

What is the most likely correct score for Brann vs PAOK?

0-0 (21.0%), followed by 1-0 (16.4%), 0-1 (16.4%), 1-1 (12.8%) and 2-0 (6.4%).

Will both teams score in Brann vs PAOK?

The probability that both Brann and PAOK score is 29%. Brann have a 46% chance of keeping a clean sheet, PAOK 46%.

How many goals should we expect in Brann vs PAOK?

The model expects 1.56 goals (0.78 for Brann, 0.78 for PAOK). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 46%, over 2.5 goals 21%, over 3.5 goals 7%.

When and where is Brann vs PAOK played?

Thursday, August 27, 2026 at 18:00 (UK time), UEFA Conference League. Venue: Brann Stadion, Bergen.

What form are Brann and PAOK in?

Brann: 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (10 scored, 7 conceded). PAOK: 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (8 scored, 7 conceded).

What is the head-to-head record between Brann and PAOK?

In the last 2 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Brann, 0 for PAOK and 2 draws. The most recent ended PAOK 1-1 Brann (Aug 20, 2026).

What was the Brann vs PAOK result, and was the prediction right?

Final score: Brann 3-2 PAOK. The outcome was missed: the model favoured a draw (36%), while victory for Brann was rated at only 32%. The model considered this score unlikely (0.5%). On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (29%): missed; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (21%): missed.

How is the Brann vs PAOK prediction calculated?

The model estimates each team's expected goals (0.78 for Brann, 0.78 for PAOK) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.

Go further

Key terms explained