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UEFA Conference LeagueUEFA Conference League· Kick-off : Thursday, August 27, 2026, 18:00 (UK time)

Pafos vs Dinamo Tirana: 4-2 result and AI prediction review

PafosPafos4 – 2Dinamo TiranaDinamo Tirana

Review: prediction vs result

1X2 outcome correctExact score missedMost likely score before kick-off : 1-1

Final score: Pafos 4-2 Dinamo Tirana. The AI called the outcome correctly: it rated victory for Pafos at 50%. The model considered this score unlikely (1.0%). On goals, the model expected both teams to score (52%): correct; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (49%): missed.

Match analysis

Pafos and Dinamo Tirana met on Thursday, August 27, 2026, a UEFA Conference League fixture. Venue: Alphamega Stadium, Limassol. Before kick-off, our model gave Pafos a 50% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Dinamo Tirana 25%. On the correct score, 1-1 comes out on top (11.9%), followed by 1-0 (11.3%) and 2-1 (9.5%).

Pafos have won just one of their last 5 matches (2 draws, 2 defeats), scoring 6 and conceding 7. Over their last 5 matches, Dinamo Tirana have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat, scoring 9 and conceding 3. Dinamo Tirana therefore arrive in far better shape than Pafos. On average Pafos score 1.20 and concede 1.40 goals per game; Dinamo Tirana score 1.80 and concede 0.60.

In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Pafos, 0 for Dinamo Tirana and 1 draw. The most recent ended Dinamo Tirana 1-1 Pafos (Aug 20, 2026). In double chance terms, "Pafos or draw" stands at 75%, "Dinamo Tirana or draw" at 50% and "no draw" at 75%.

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

50%
Pafos (Win)
25%
Draw
25%
Dinamo Tirana (Win)

Double chance

75%
Pafos or draw
50%
Dinamo Tirana or draw
75%
No draw

Most likely correct scores

Scores shown as Pafos – Dinamo Tirana. 1-1 is the single most likely scoreline (11.9%); the 5 scores below add up to 49% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.

ScoreProbability
Pafos 1-1 Dinamo Tirana11.9%
Pafos 1-0 Dinamo Tirana11.3%
Pafos 2-1 Dinamo Tirana9.5%
Pafos 2-0 Dinamo Tirana9.0%
Pafos 0-1 Dinamo Tirana7.5%

Goals: both teams to score, over/under

With 1.59 expected goals for Pafos and 1.05 for Dinamo Tirana, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 49% and "both teams to score" at 52%. Pafos keep a clean sheet in 35% of scenarios, Dinamo Tirana in 20%.

Probability
Pafos expected goals1.59
Dinamo Tirana expected goals1.05
Both teams to score52%
Over 1.5 goals74%
Over 2.5 goals49%
Over 3.5 goals27%
Pafos clean sheet35%
Dinamo Tirana clean sheet20%

Recent form

Latest matches played before this game in the competitions Elofoot covers.

Pafos

DateOpponentScore
Aug 20, 2026Dinamo Tirana · UEFA Conference League1-1D
Aug 13, 2026Red Bull Salzburg · UEFA Europa League3-3D
Aug 6, 2026Red Bull Salzburg · UEFA Europa League0-1L
Jul 30, 2026HNK Hajduk Split · UEFA Europa League2-0W
Jul 23, 2026HNK Hajduk Split · UEFA Europa League0-2L

Dinamo Tirana

DateOpponentScore
Aug 20, 2026Pafos · UEFA Conference League1-1D
Aug 13, 2026Auda · UEFA Conference League4-0W
Aug 4, 2026Auda · UEFA Conference League0-1L
Jul 30, 2026Aluminij · UEFA Conference League3-0W
Jul 23, 2026Aluminij · UEFA Conference League1-1D

Head-to-head

DateScoreCompetition
Aug 20, 2026Dinamo Tirana 1-1 PafosUEFA Conference League

Out and doubtful

Pafos

No absences reported.

Dinamo Tirana

No absences reported.

Other matches in this competition

Frequently asked questions

What is the Pafos vs Dinamo Tirana prediction?

Before the match, our AI gave Pafos a 50% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Dinamo Tirana 25%. Pafos are therefore favourites. Final score: 4-2.

What is the most likely correct score for Pafos vs Dinamo Tirana?

1-1 (11.9%), followed by 1-0 (11.3%), 2-1 (9.5%), 2-0 (9.0%) and 0-1 (7.5%).

Will both teams score in Pafos vs Dinamo Tirana?

The probability that both Pafos and Dinamo Tirana score is 52%. Pafos have a 35% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Dinamo Tirana 20%.

How many goals should we expect in Pafos vs Dinamo Tirana?

The model expects 2.64 goals (1.59 for Pafos, 1.05 for Dinamo Tirana). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 74%, over 2.5 goals 49%, over 3.5 goals 27%.

When and where is Pafos vs Dinamo Tirana played?

Thursday, August 27, 2026 at 18:00 (UK time), UEFA Conference League. Venue: Alphamega Stadium, Limassol.

What form are Pafos and Dinamo Tirana in?

Pafos: 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (6 scored, 7 conceded). Dinamo Tirana: 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (9 scored, 3 conceded).

What is the head-to-head record between Pafos and Dinamo Tirana?

In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Pafos, 0 for Dinamo Tirana and 1 draw. The most recent ended Dinamo Tirana 1-1 Pafos (Aug 20, 2026).

What was the Pafos vs Dinamo Tirana result, and was the prediction right?

Final score: Pafos 4-2 Dinamo Tirana. The AI called the outcome correctly: it rated victory for Pafos at 50%. The model considered this score unlikely (1.0%). On goals, the model expected both teams to score (52%): correct; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (49%): missed.

How is the Pafos vs Dinamo Tirana prediction calculated?

The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.59 for Pafos, 1.05 for Dinamo Tirana) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.

Go further

Key terms explained