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UEFA Conference LeagueUEFA Conference League· Kick-off : Thursday, August 27, 2026, 17:45 (UK time)

SC Freiburg vs Motherwell: 4-1 result and AI prediction review

SC FreiburgSC Freiburg4 – 1MotherwellMotherwell

Review: prediction vs result

1X2 outcome correctExact score missedMost likely score before kick-off : 2-0

Final score: SC Freiburg 4-1 Motherwell. The 1X2 prediction came good: victory for SC Freiburg was the model's favourite outcome (75%). The final score ranked 9th among the most likely scorelines (4.4%), behind 2-0. On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (45%): missed; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (60%): correct.

Match analysis

SC Freiburg vs Motherwell was played on Thursday, August 27, 2026 (UEFA Conference League). Venue: Europa-Park Stadion, Freiburg. Before kick-off, our model gave SC Freiburg a 75% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Motherwell 9%. The most likely correct score is 2-0 (13.1%), ahead of 1-0 (10.9%) and 3-0 (10.5%).

SC Freiburg are unbeaten in their last 5 matches (5 wins, 0 draws), scoring 16 and conceding 3. Over their last 5 matches, Motherwell have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat, scoring 9 and conceding 4. Recent momentum is clearly with SC Freiburg. On average SC Freiburg score 3.20 and concede 0.60 goals per game; Motherwell score 1.80 and concede 0.80.

In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for SC Freiburg, 0 for Motherwell and 0 draws. The most recent ended Motherwell 1-3 SC Freiburg (Aug 20, 2026). In double chance terms, "SC Freiburg or draw" stands at 91%, "Motherwell or draw" at 25% and "no draw" at 84%.

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

75%
SC Freiburg (Win)
16%
Draw
9%
Motherwell (Win)

Double chance

91%
SC Freiburg or draw
25%
Motherwell or draw
84%
No draw

Most likely correct scores

Scores shown as SC Freiburg – Motherwell. 2-0 is the single most likely scoreline (13.1%); the 5 scores below add up to 51% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.

ScoreProbability
SC Freiburg 2-0 Motherwell13.1%
SC Freiburg 1-0 Motherwell10.9%
SC Freiburg 3-0 Motherwell10.5%
SC Freiburg 2-1 Motherwell9.0%
SC Freiburg 1-1 Motherwell7.5%

Goals: both teams to score, over/under

The model expects 3.10 goals in total (2.41 for SC Freiburg, 0.69 for Motherwell): over 2.5 goals has a 60% probability and both teams to score 45%. Everything points to an open game. SC Freiburg keep a clean sheet in 50% of scenarios, Motherwell in 9%.

Probability
SC Freiburg expected goals2.41
Motherwell expected goals0.69
Both teams to score45%
Over 1.5 goals82%
Over 2.5 goals60%
Over 3.5 goals38%
SC Freiburg clean sheet50%
Motherwell clean sheet9%

Recent form

Latest matches played before this game in the competitions Elofoot covers.

SC Freiburg

DateOpponentScore
Aug 23, 2026Fortuna Düsseldorf · DFB-Pokal5-1W
Aug 20, 2026Motherwell · UEFA Conference League3-1W
Aug 15, 2026Crystal Palace · Club Friendlies3-0W
Aug 8, 2026Strasbourg · Club Friendlies2-0W
Jul 24, 2026Derby · Club Friendlies3-1W

Motherwell

DateOpponentScore
Aug 20, 2026SC Freiburg · UEFA Conference League1-3L
Aug 13, 2026HJK Helsinki · UEFA Conference League2-0W
Aug 6, 2026HJK Helsinki · UEFA Conference League1-1D
Jul 30, 2026HB Torshavn · UEFA Conference League3-0W
Jul 23, 2026HB Torshavn · UEFA Conference League2-0W

Head-to-head

DateScoreCompetition
Aug 20, 2026Motherwell 1-3 SC FreiburgUEFA Conference League

Out and doubtful

SC Freiburg

No absences reported.

Motherwell

No absences reported.

Other matches in this competition

Frequently asked questions

What is the SC Freiburg vs Motherwell prediction?

Before the match, our AI gave SC Freiburg a 75% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Motherwell 9%. SC Freiburg are therefore favourites. Final score: 4-1.

What is the most likely correct score for SC Freiburg vs Motherwell?

2-0 (13.1%), followed by 1-0 (10.9%), 3-0 (10.5%), 2-1 (9.0%) and 1-1 (7.5%).

Will both teams score in SC Freiburg vs Motherwell?

The probability that both SC Freiburg and Motherwell score is 45%. SC Freiburg have a 50% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Motherwell 9%.

How many goals should we expect in SC Freiburg vs Motherwell?

The model expects 3.10 goals (2.41 for SC Freiburg, 0.69 for Motherwell). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 82%, over 2.5 goals 60%, over 3.5 goals 38%.

When and where is SC Freiburg vs Motherwell played?

Thursday, August 27, 2026 at 17:45 (UK time), UEFA Conference League. Venue: Europa-Park Stadion, Freiburg.

What form are SC Freiburg and Motherwell in?

SC Freiburg: 5 wins, 0 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches (16 scored, 3 conceded). Motherwell: 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (9 scored, 4 conceded).

What is the head-to-head record between SC Freiburg and Motherwell?

In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for SC Freiburg, 0 for Motherwell and 0 draws. The most recent ended Motherwell 1-3 SC Freiburg (Aug 20, 2026).

What was the SC Freiburg vs Motherwell result, and was the prediction right?

Final score: SC Freiburg 4-1 Motherwell. The 1X2 prediction came good: victory for SC Freiburg was the model's favourite outcome (75%). The final score ranked 9th among the most likely scorelines (4.4%), behind 2-0. On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (45%): missed; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (60%): correct.

How is the SC Freiburg vs Motherwell prediction calculated?

The model estimates each team's expected goals (2.41 for SC Freiburg, 0.69 for Motherwell) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.

Go further

Key terms explained