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CAF Confederation CupCAF Confederation Cup· Kick-off : Saturday, October 17, 2026, 16:00 (UK time)

Diarra vs ASC Kara prediction: correct score and AI tips

DiarraDiarra–ASC KaraASC Kara

Match analysis

CAF Confederation Cup: Diarra vs ASC Kara kicks off on Saturday, October 17, 2026 at 16:00 (UK time). The edge goes to Diarra (51%), ahead of the draw (25%) and a ASC Kara win (24%). The most likely correct score is 1-1 (11.8%), ahead of 1-0 (11.4%) and 2-1 (9.5%).

Over their last 5 matches, Diarra have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats, scoring 9 and conceding 7. Over their last 5 matches, ASC Kara have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats, scoring 9 and conceding 6. On recent form, there is little to separate the two teams. On average Diarra score 1.80 and concede 1.40 goals per game; ASC Kara score 1.80 and concede 1.20.

Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Diarra and ASC Kara: the prediction relies on each team's form and level. In double chance terms, "Diarra or draw" stands at 76%, "ASC Kara or draw" at 49% and "no draw" at 75%.

In short : Diarra are tipped by our AI model in this Diarra v ASC Kara (51%). On recent form, Diarra have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses in 5 while ASC Kara have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses in 5. Our model's most likely scoreline: 1-1.

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

51%
Diarra (Win)
25%
Draw
24%
ASC Kara (Win)

Double chance

76%
Diarra or draw
49%
ASC Kara or draw
75%
No draw

Most likely correct scores

Scores shown as Diarra – ASC Kara. 1-1 is the single most likely scoreline (11.8%); the 5 scores below add up to 49% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.

ScoreProbability
Diarra 1-1 ASC Kara11.8%
Diarra 1-0 ASC Kara11.4%
Diarra 2-1 ASC Kara9.5%
Diarra 2-0 ASC Kara9.3%
Diarra 0-1 ASC Kara7.3%

Goals: both teams to score, over/under

The model expects 2.65 goals in total (1.62 for Diarra, 1.03 for ASC Kara): over 2.5 goals has a 49% probability and both teams to score 52%. Diarra keep a clean sheet in 36% of scenarios, ASC Kara in 20%.

Probability
Diarra expected goals1.62
ASC Kara expected goals1.03
Both teams to score52%
Over 1.5 goals74%
Over 2.5 goals49%
Over 3.5 goals28%
Diarra clean sheet36%
ASC Kara clean sheet20%

Recent form

Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.

Diarra

DateOpponentScore
Sep 13, 2026Nations · CAF Confederation Cup1-1D
Sep 5, 2026Nations · CAF Confederation Cup1-0W
Jun 13, 2026Stade Malien Bamako · Première Division0-2L
Jun 9, 2026US Bougouba · Première Division6-2W
Jun 5, 2026Djoliba · Première Division1-2L

ASC Kara

DateOpponentScore
Sep 13, 2026ASEC Mimosas · CAF Champions League1-2L
Sep 13, 2026AS ZAM · CAF Confederation Cup1-0W
Sep 6, 2026ASEC Mimosas · CAF Champions League1-1D
Sep 5, 2026AS ZAM · CAF Confederation Cup5-0W
Sep 27, 2025Renaissance Berkane · CAF Champions League1-3L

Head-to-head

Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Diarra and ASC Kara: the prediction relies on each team's form and level.

Out and doubtful

Diarra

No absences reported.

ASC Kara

No absences reported.

First detailed prediction free, no card required.

See the full prediction (scenario, scorers, half-time)

Other matches in this competition

Frequently asked questions

What is the Diarra vs ASC Kara prediction?

Our AI gives Diarra a 51% chance of winning, the draw 25% and ASC Kara 24%. Diarra are therefore favourites.

What is the most likely correct score for Diarra vs ASC Kara?

1-1 (11.8%), followed by 1-0 (11.4%), 2-1 (9.5%), 2-0 (9.3%) and 0-1 (7.3%).

Will both teams score in Diarra vs ASC Kara?

The probability that both Diarra and ASC Kara score is 52%. Diarra have a 36% chance of keeping a clean sheet, ASC Kara 20%.

How many goals should we expect in Diarra vs ASC Kara?

The model expects 2.65 goals (1.62 for Diarra, 1.03 for ASC Kara). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 74%, over 2.5 goals 49%, over 3.5 goals 28%.

When and where is Diarra vs ASC Kara played?

Saturday, October 17, 2026 at 16:00 (UK time), CAF Confederation Cup.

What form are Diarra and ASC Kara in?

Diarra: 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (9 scored, 7 conceded). ASC Kara: 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (9 scored, 6 conceded).

How is the Diarra vs ASC Kara prediction calculated?

The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.62 for Diarra, 1.03 for ASC Kara) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.

Go further

Key terms explained