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UEFA Europa LeagueUEFA Europa League· Kick-off : Thursday, October 15, 2026, 20:00 (UK time)

NEC Nijmegen vs Levski Sofia prediction: correct score and AI tips

NEC NijmegenNEC Nijmegen–Levski SofiaLevski Sofia

Match analysis

UEFA Europa League: NEC Nijmegen vs Levski Sofia kicks off on Thursday, October 15, 2026 at 20:00 (UK time). Venue: Goffertstadion, Nijmegen. NEC Nijmegen start as favourites with a 51% chance of victory; Levski Sofia are given 22% and the draw 27%. On the correct score, 1-0 comes out on top (14.6%), followed by 1-1 (12.4%) and 2-0 (10.5%).

NEC Nijmegen have not won any of their last 5 matches (2 draws, 3 defeats), scoring 4 and conceding 14. Over their last 5 matches, Levski Sofia have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats, scoring 5 and conceding 6. Levski Sofia therefore arrive in far better shape than NEC Nijmegen. On average NEC Nijmegen score 0.80 and concede 2.80 goals per game; Levski Sofia score 1.00 and concede 1.20. In the table, NEC Nijmegen sit 36th with 0 points from 1 games, Levski Sofia 27th with 0 points from 1. 9 places separate the two sides.

Our data holds no recent head-to-head between NEC Nijmegen and Levski Sofia: the prediction relies on each team's form and level. In double chance terms, "NEC Nijmegen or draw" stands at 78%, "Levski Sofia or draw" at 49% and "no draw" at 73%.

In short : NEC Nijmegen are tipped by our AI model in this NEC Nijmegen v Levski Sofia (51%). On recent form, NEC Nijmegen have 0 win, 2 draws and 3 losses in 5 while Levski Sofia have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses in 5. Our model's most likely scoreline: 1-0.

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

51%
NEC Nijmegen (Win)
27%
Draw
22%
Levski Sofia (Win)

Double chance

78%
NEC Nijmegen or draw
49%
Levski Sofia or draw
73%
No draw

Most likely correct scores

Scores shown as NEC Nijmegen – Levski Sofia. 1-0 is the single most likely scoreline (14.6%); the 5 scores below add up to 57% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.

ScoreProbability
NEC Nijmegen 1-0 Levski Sofia14.6%
NEC Nijmegen 1-1 Levski Sofia12.4%
NEC Nijmegen 2-0 Levski Sofia10.5%
NEC Nijmegen 0-0 Levski Sofia10.2%
NEC Nijmegen 2-1 Levski Sofia8.9%

Goals: both teams to score, over/under

With 1.43 expected goals for NEC Nijmegen and 0.85 for Levski Sofia, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 40% and "both teams to score" at 44%. Few goals are expected here. NEC Nijmegen keep a clean sheet in 43% of scenarios, Levski Sofia in 24%.

Probability
NEC Nijmegen expected goals1.43
Levski Sofia expected goals0.85
Both teams to score44%
Over 1.5 goals67%
Over 2.5 goals40%
Over 3.5 goals20%
NEC Nijmegen clean sheet43%
Levski Sofia clean sheet24%

Recent form

Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.

NEC Nijmegen

DateOpponentScore
Sep 20, 2026GO Ahead Eagles · Eredivisie1-1D
Sep 17, 2026Juventus · UEFA Europa League0-5L
Sep 12, 2026Cambuur · Eredivisie0-3L
Sep 8, 2026Excelsior · Eredivisie2-2D
Sep 5, 2026Feyenoord · Eredivisie1-3L

Levski Sofia

DateOpponentScore
Sep 17, 2026Red Bull Salzburg · UEFA Europa League0-1L
Sep 13, 2026Botev Vratsa · First League0-0D
Sep 9, 2026CSKA Sofia · Super Cup2-4L
Sep 5, 2026CSKA 1948 · First League1-0W
Sep 2, 2026Slavia Sofia · First League2-1W

Standings before the match

Pos.PointsPlayed
NEC Nijmegen3601
Levski Sofia2701

Head-to-head

Our data holds no recent head-to-head between NEC Nijmegen and Levski Sofia: the prediction relies on each team's form and level.

Out and doubtful

NEC Nijmegen

No absences reported.

Levski Sofia

No absences reported.

Most regular starters

NEC Nijmegen

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

  • T. Storm5/5
  • N. Lebreton4/5
  • T. Chery4/5
  • A. Thomas3/5
  • B. Linssen3/5
  • D. Nejasmic3/5
  • D. Tadic3/5
  • N. Polster3/5
  • A. Kabar2/5
  • A. Tahaui2/5
  • B. Nuytinck2/5

Levski Sofia

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

  • G. Trdin5/5
  • S. Vutsov5/5
  • C. Makoun4/5
  • Reinaldo4/5
  • Serginho4/5
  • A. Mitkov3/5
  • A. Oko-Flex3/5
  • Everton Bala3/5
  • K. Dimitrov3/5
  • Maicon3/5
  • A. Neves2/5

First detailed prediction free, no card required.

See the full prediction (scenario, scorers, half-time)

Other matches in this competition

Frequently asked questions

What is the NEC Nijmegen vs Levski Sofia prediction?

Our AI gives NEC Nijmegen a 51% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Levski Sofia 22%. NEC Nijmegen are therefore favourites.

What is the most likely correct score for NEC Nijmegen vs Levski Sofia?

1-0 (14.6%), followed by 1-1 (12.4%), 2-0 (10.5%), 0-0 (10.2%) and 2-1 (8.9%).

Will both teams score in NEC Nijmegen vs Levski Sofia?

The probability that both NEC Nijmegen and Levski Sofia score is 44%. NEC Nijmegen have a 43% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Levski Sofia 24%.

How many goals should we expect in NEC Nijmegen vs Levski Sofia?

The model expects 2.28 goals (1.43 for NEC Nijmegen, 0.85 for Levski Sofia). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 67%, over 2.5 goals 40%, over 3.5 goals 20%.

When and where is NEC Nijmegen vs Levski Sofia played?

Thursday, October 15, 2026 at 20:00 (UK time), UEFA Europa League. Venue: Goffertstadion, Nijmegen.

What form are NEC Nijmegen and Levski Sofia in?

NEC Nijmegen: 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (4 scored, 14 conceded). Levski Sofia: 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (5 scored, 6 conceded).

How is the NEC Nijmegen vs Levski Sofia prediction calculated?

The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.43 for NEC Nijmegen, 0.85 for Levski Sofia) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.

Go further

Key terms explained