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Liga MXLiga MX· Kick-off : Saturday, October 17, 2026, 04:00 (UK time)

Atlante FC vs U.N.A.M. - Pumas: 1-2 result and AI prediction review

Atlante FCAtlante FC1 – 2U.N.A.M. - PumasU.N.A.M. - Pumas

Review: prediction vs result

1X2 outcome correctExact score missedMost likely score before kick-off : 0-1

Final score: Atlante FC 1-2 U.N.A.M. - Pumas. The 1X2 prediction came good: victory for U.N.A.M. - Pumas was the model's favourite outcome (48%). The final score ranked 6th among the most likely scorelines (8.3%), behind 0-1. On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (40%): missed; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (35%): missed.

Match analysis

Atlante FC vs U.N.A.M. - Pumas was played on Saturday, October 17, 2026 (Liga MX). Venue: Estadio Azul, Mexico City. Before kick-off, our model gave Atlante FC a 23% chance of winning, the draw 29% and U.N.A.M. - Pumas 48%. The most likely correct score is 0-1 (15.8%), ahead of 1-1 (12.8%) and 0-0 (12.2%).

Atlante FC have won just one of their last 5 matches (2 draws, 2 defeats), scoring 6 and conceding 9. U.N.A.M. - Pumas have won just one of their last 5 matches (2 draws, 2 defeats), scoring 9 and conceding 11. On recent form, there is little to separate the two teams. On average Atlante FC score 1.20 and concede 1.80 goals per game; U.N.A.M. - Pumas score 1.80 and concede 2.20. In the table, Atlante FC sit 16th with 11 points from 11 games, U.N.A.M. - Pumas 12th with 13 points from 11. The two teams are close in the standings. Over their recent games, Atlante FC have averaged 0.79 xG (expected goals) per match, against 1.33 for U.N.A.M. - Pumas.

Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Atlante FC and U.N.A.M. - Pumas: the prediction relies on each team's form and level. In double chance terms, "Atlante FC or draw" stands at 52%, "U.N.A.M. - Pumas or draw" at 77% and "no draw" at 71%.

In short : Our model backs U.N.A.M. - Pumas to edge Atlante FC (48% probability). On recent form, Atlante FC have 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses in 5 while U.N.A.M. - Pumas have 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses in 5. The model leans towards a tight, low-scoring game.

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

23%
Atlante FC (Win)
29%
Draw
48%
U.N.A.M. - Pumas (Win)

Double chance

52%
Atlante FC or draw
77%
U.N.A.M. - Pumas or draw
71%
No draw

Most likely correct scores

Scores shown as Atlante FC – U.N.A.M. - Pumas. 0-1 is the single most likely scoreline (15.8%); the 5 scores below add up to 61% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.

ScoreProbability
Atlante FC 0-1 U.N.A.M. - Pumas15.8%
Atlante FC 1-1 U.N.A.M. - Pumas12.8%
Atlante FC 0-0 U.N.A.M. - Pumas12.2%
Atlante FC 0-2 U.N.A.M. - Pumas10.2%
Atlante FC 1-0 U.N.A.M. - Pumas9.9%

Goals: both teams to score, over/under

The model expects 2.10 goals in total (0.81 for Atlante FC, 1.29 for U.N.A.M. - Pumas): over 2.5 goals has a 35% probability and both teams to score 40%. A tight, low-scoring game is on the cards. Atlante FC keep a clean sheet in 28% of scenarios, U.N.A.M. - Pumas in 45%.

Probability
Atlante FC expected goals0.81
U.N.A.M. - Pumas expected goals1.29
Both teams to score40%
Over 1.5 goals62%
Over 2.5 goals35%
Over 3.5 goals16%
Atlante FC clean sheet28%
U.N.A.M. - Pumas clean sheet45%

Recent form

Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.

Atlante FC

DateOpponentScore
Oct 11, 2026Club Queretaro · Liga MX0-2L
Sep 26, 2026Monterrey · Liga MX4-2W
Sep 19, 2026Puebla · Liga MX1-1D
Sep 12, 2026CF Pachuca · Liga MX0-3L
Sep 6, 2026Atlas · Liga MX1-1D

U.N.A.M. - Pumas

DateOpponentScore
Oct 12, 2026Cruz Azul · Liga MX3-3D
Sep 27, 2026Atletico San Luis · Liga MX2-3L
Sep 20, 2026Atlas · Liga MX1-1D
Sep 14, 2026Guadalajara Chivas · Liga MX0-3L
Sep 11, 2026Leon · Liga MX3-1W

Standings before the match

Pos.PointsPlayed
Atlante FC161111
U.N.A.M. - Pumas121311

Head-to-head

Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Atlante FC and U.N.A.M. - Pumas: the prediction relies on each team's form and level.

Out and doubtful

Atlante FC

No absences reported.

U.N.A.M. - Pumas

No absences reported.

Most regular starters

Atlante FC

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

  • A. Quiros5/5
  • E. Pizzuto5/5
  • E. Tercero5/5
  • Jhojan Julio5/5
  • L. Calzadilla5/5
  • Martin Sarrafiore5/5
  • O. Jimenez5/5
  • W. Portales5/5
  • J. N. Carrera3/5
  • L. Puente3/5
  • W. Clar3/5

U.N.A.M. - Pumas

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

  • Juninho5/5
  • K. Navas5/5
  • Nathan Silva5/5
  • R. Lopez5/5
  • U. Antuna5/5
  • L. Herrera4/5
  • P. Vite4/5
  • R. Morales4/5
  • V. Arteaga4/5
  • P. Bennevendo3/5
  • R. Duarte3/5

Other matches in this competition

Frequently asked questions

What is the Atlante FC vs U.N.A.M. - Pumas prediction?

Before the match, our AI gave Atlante FC a 23% chance of winning, the draw 29% and U.N.A.M. - Pumas 48%. U.N.A.M. - Pumas are therefore favourites. Final score: 1-2.

What is the most likely correct score for Atlante FC vs U.N.A.M. - Pumas?

0-1 (15.8%), followed by 1-1 (12.8%), 0-0 (12.2%), 0-2 (10.2%) and 1-0 (9.9%).

Will both teams score in Atlante FC vs U.N.A.M. - Pumas?

The probability that both Atlante FC and U.N.A.M. - Pumas score is 40%. Atlante FC have a 28% chance of keeping a clean sheet, U.N.A.M. - Pumas 45%.

How many goals should we expect in Atlante FC vs U.N.A.M. - Pumas?

The model expects 2.10 goals (0.81 for Atlante FC, 1.29 for U.N.A.M. - Pumas). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 62%, over 2.5 goals 35%, over 3.5 goals 16%.

When and where is Atlante FC vs U.N.A.M. - Pumas played?

Saturday, October 17, 2026 at 04:00 (UK time), Liga MX. Venue: Estadio Azul, Mexico City.

What form are Atlante FC and U.N.A.M. - Pumas in?

Atlante FC: 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (6 scored, 9 conceded). U.N.A.M. - Pumas: 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (9 scored, 11 conceded).

What was the Atlante FC vs U.N.A.M. - Pumas result, and was the prediction right?

Final score: Atlante FC 1-2 U.N.A.M. - Pumas. The 1X2 prediction came good: victory for U.N.A.M. - Pumas was the model's favourite outcome (48%). The final score ranked 6th among the most likely scorelines (8.3%), behind 0-1. On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (40%): missed; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (35%): missed.

How is the Atlante FC vs U.N.A.M. - Pumas prediction calculated?

The model estimates each team's expected goals (0.81 for Atlante FC, 1.29 for U.N.A.M. - Pumas) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.

Go further

Key terms explained