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Liga MXLiga MX· Kick-off : Sunday, October 18, 2026, 00:07 (UK time)

Guadalajara Chivas vs Tigres UANL prediction: correct score and AI tips

Match analysis

Guadalajara Chivas take on Tigres UANL on Sunday, October 18, 2026 at 00:07 (UK time), a Liga MX fixture. Venue: Estadio Akron, Guadalajara. Our model makes Guadalajara Chivas clear favourites: a 70% chance of winning, against 16% for the draw and 14% for Tigres UANL.

Over their last 5 matches, Guadalajara Chivas have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat, scoring 8 and conceding 5. Over their last 5 matches, Tigres UANL have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat, scoring 5 and conceding 5. Both sides come in with similar form. On average Guadalajara Chivas score 1.60 and concede 1.00 goals per game; Tigres UANL score 1.00 and concede 1.00. In the table, Guadalajara Chivas sit 5th with 19 points from 11 games, Tigres UANL 13th with 13 points from 11. 8 places separate the two sides. Over their recent games, Guadalajara Chivas have averaged 2.12 xG (expected goals) per match, against 1.73 for Tigres UANL.

In the last 4 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Guadalajara Chivas, 2 for Tigres UANL and 1 draw. The most recent ended Guadalajara Chivas 2-0 Tigres UANL (May 10, 2026). In double chance terms, "Guadalajara Chivas or draw" stands at 86%, "Tigres UANL or draw" at 30% and "no draw" at 84%.

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

70%
Guadalajara Chivas (Win)
16%
Draw
14%
Tigres UANL (Win)

Double chance

86%
Guadalajara Chivas or draw
30%
Tigres UANL or draw
84%
No draw

Exact score and goal markets 🔒

The most likely exact score, the top 5 scorelines, expected goals and the both-teams-to-score and over/under probabilities are part of the full prediction. They will be published here as a review once the match is over.

Recent form

Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.

Guadalajara Chivas

DateOpponentScore
Oct 11, 2026Atlas · Liga MX1-1D
Oct 5, 2026Club America · Club Friendlies2-0W
Sep 27, 2026Club Queretaro · Liga MX0-2L
Sep 20, 2026Club America · Liga MX2-2D
Sep 14, 2026U.N.A.M. - Pumas · Liga MX3-0W

Tigres UANL

DateOpponentScore
Oct 10, 2026Toluca · Liga MX3-2W
Sep 27, 2026Puebla · Liga MX1-0W
Sep 19, 2026FC Juarez · Liga MX0-2L
Sep 13, 2026Monterrey · Liga MX0-0D
Sep 6, 2026Necaxa · Liga MX1-1D

Standings before the match

Pos.PointsPlayed
Guadalajara Chivas51911
Tigres UANL131311

Head-to-head

DateScoreCompetition
May 10, 2026Guadalajara Chivas 2-0 Tigres UANLLiga MX
May 3, 2026Tigres UANL 3-1 Guadalajara ChivasLiga MX
Apr 12, 2026Tigres UANL 4-1 Guadalajara ChivasLiga MX
Sep 18, 2025Guadalajara Chivas 0-0 Tigres UANLLiga MX

Out and doubtful

Guadalajara Chivas

No absences reported.

Tigres UANL

No absences reported.

Most regular starters

Guadalajara Chivas

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

  • D. Aguirre5/5
  • F. Gonzalez5/5
  • D. Campillo Del Campo4/5
  • R. Alvarado4/5
  • R. Marin4/5
  • A. Sepulveda3/5
  • B. Gutierrez3/5
  • L. Romo3/5
  • O. Govea3/5
  • R. Ledezma3/5
  • R. Rangel3/5

Tigres UANL

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

  • A. Franco5/5
  • J. Brunetta5/5
  • Joaquim5/5
  • N. Guzman5/5
  • F. Gorriaran4/5
  • M. Lainez4/5
  • D. Lainez3/5
  • J. Garza3/5
  • R. Aguirre3/5
  • R. Monreal3/5
  • C. Araujo2/5

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See the full prediction (scenario, scorers, half-time)

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Frequently asked questions

What is the Guadalajara Chivas vs Tigres UANL prediction?

Our AI gives Guadalajara Chivas a 70% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Tigres UANL 14%. Guadalajara Chivas are therefore favourites.

When and where is Guadalajara Chivas vs Tigres UANL played?

Sunday, October 18, 2026 at 00:07 (UK time), Liga MX. Venue: Estadio Akron, Guadalajara.

What form are Guadalajara Chivas and Tigres UANL in?

Guadalajara Chivas: 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (8 scored, 5 conceded). Tigres UANL: 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (5 scored, 5 conceded).

What is the head-to-head record between Guadalajara Chivas and Tigres UANL?

In the last 4 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Guadalajara Chivas, 2 for Tigres UANL and 1 draw. The most recent ended Guadalajara Chivas 2-0 Tigres UANL (May 10, 2026).

Go further

Key terms explained