Liga MX· Kick-off : Saturday, October 17, 2026, 04:05 (UK time)
Club Tijuana vs Puebla: 0-0 result and AI prediction review
Review: prediction vs result
Final score: Club Tijuana 0-0 Puebla. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Club Tijuana (53%), while a draw was rated at only 25%. The final score ranked 5th among the most likely scorelines (7.8%), behind 1-0. On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (49%): correct; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (47%): correct.
Match analysis
Club Tijuana vs Puebla was played on Saturday, October 17, 2026 (Liga MX). Venue: Estadio Caliente , Tijuana. Before kick-off, our model gave Club Tijuana a 53% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Puebla 22%. The most likely correct score is 1-0 (12.6%), ahead of 1-1 (11.8%) and 2-0 (10.1%).
Club Tijuana have won just one of their last 5 matches (2 draws, 2 defeats), scoring 7 and conceding 7. Puebla have won just one of their last 5 matches (2 draws, 2 defeats), scoring 3 and conceding 4. On recent form, there is little to separate the two teams. On average Club Tijuana score 1.40 and concede 1.40 goals per game; Puebla score 0.60 and concede 0.80. In the table, Club Tijuana sit 8th with 15 points from 10 games, Puebla 9th with 15 points from 11. The two teams are close in the standings. Over their recent games, Club Tijuana have averaged 1.24 xG (expected goals) per match, against 0.63 for Puebla.
In the last 2 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Club Tijuana, 1 for Puebla and 1 draw. The most recent ended Club Tijuana 0-0 Puebla (Feb 7, 2026). In double chance terms, "Club Tijuana or draw" stands at 78%, "Puebla or draw" at 47% and "no draw" at 75%.
In short : Our model backs Club Tijuana to edge Puebla (53% probability). On recent form, Club Tijuana have 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses in 5 while Puebla have 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses in 5. Both teams could find the net (BTTS at 49%).
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Club Tijuana – Puebla. 1-0 is the single most likely scoreline (12.6%); the 5 scores below add up to 52% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Club Tijuana 1-0 Puebla | 12.6% |
| Club Tijuana 1-1 Puebla | 11.8% |
| Club Tijuana 2-0 Puebla | 10.1% |
| Club Tijuana 2-1 Puebla | 9.5% |
| Club Tijuana 0-0 Puebla | 7.8% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
The model expects 2.55 goals in total (1.61 for Club Tijuana, 0.94 for Puebla): over 2.5 goals has a 47% probability and both teams to score 49%. Club Tijuana keep a clean sheet in 39% of scenarios, Puebla in 20%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Club Tijuana expected goals | 1.61 |
| Puebla expected goals | 0.94 |
| Both teams to score | 49% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 72% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 47% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 25% |
| Club Tijuana clean sheet | 39% |
| Puebla clean sheet | 20% |
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
Club Tijuana
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | FC Juarez · Liga MX | 1-1 | D |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Atlas · Liga MX | 2-3 | L |
| Sep 21, 2026 | CF Pachuca · Liga MX | 2-2 | D |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Club Queretaro · Liga MX | 0-1 | L |
| Aug 29, 2026 | U.N.A.M. - Pumas · Liga MX | 2-0 | W |
Puebla
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Leon · Liga MX | 1-1 | D |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Tigres UANL · Liga MX | 0-1 | L |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Atlante FC · Liga MX | 1-1 | D |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Toluca · Liga MX | 0-1 | L |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Necaxa · Liga MX | 1-0 | W |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Club Tijuana | 8 | 15 | 10 |
| Puebla | 9 | 15 | 11 |
Head-to-head
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 7, 2026 | Club Tijuana 0-0 Puebla | Liga MX |
| Oct 18, 2025 | Puebla 4-3 Club Tijuana | Liga MX |
Out and doubtful
Club Tijuana
No absences reported.
Puebla
No absences reported.
Most regular starters
Club Tijuana
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- A. Gomez5/5
- A. Preciado5/5
- A. Rodriguez5/5
- A. Vega5/5
- I. Tona5/5
- M. El Ghezouani5/5
- J. Porozo4/5
- R. Arciga4/5
- F. Gonzalez3/5
- G. Mora3/5
- Y. Padilla3/5
Puebla
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- A. Organista5/5
- B. Garnica5/5
- D. Gutierrez5/5
- F. Almada5/5
- F. Monarrez5/5
- J. Vargas5/5
- C. Baltazar4/5
- M. Tomas4/5
- S. Sanabria4/5
- I. Maestro3/5
- J. R. Pachuca Martinez3/5
Other matches in this competition
- Necaxa 0-2 AtlasOct 17, 2026
- Atlante FC 1-2 U.N.A.M. - PumasOct 17, 2026
- Santos Laguna – Club QueretaroOct 18, 2026
- Guadalajara Chivas – Tigres UANLOct 18, 2026
- Leon – Club AmericaOct 18, 2026
- Toluca – Atletico San LuisOct 18, 2026
- Cruz Azul – FC JuarezOct 18, 2026
- Monterrey – CF PachucaOct 19, 2026
- Guadalajara Chivas – NecaxaOct 21, 2026
- FC Juarez – Atlante FCOct 21, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Club Tijuana vs Puebla prediction?
Before the match, our AI gave Club Tijuana a 53% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Puebla 22%. Club Tijuana are therefore favourites. Final score: 0-0.
What is the most likely correct score for Club Tijuana vs Puebla?
1-0 (12.6%), followed by 1-1 (11.8%), 2-0 (10.1%), 2-1 (9.5%) and 0-0 (7.8%).
Will both teams score in Club Tijuana vs Puebla?
The probability that both Club Tijuana and Puebla score is 49%. Club Tijuana have a 39% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Puebla 20%.
How many goals should we expect in Club Tijuana vs Puebla?
The model expects 2.55 goals (1.61 for Club Tijuana, 0.94 for Puebla). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 72%, over 2.5 goals 47%, over 3.5 goals 25%.
When and where is Club Tijuana vs Puebla played?
Saturday, October 17, 2026 at 04:05 (UK time), Liga MX. Venue: Estadio Caliente , Tijuana.
What form are Club Tijuana and Puebla in?
Club Tijuana: 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (7 scored, 7 conceded). Puebla: 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (3 scored, 4 conceded).
What is the head-to-head record between Club Tijuana and Puebla?
In the last 2 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Club Tijuana, 1 for Puebla and 1 draw. The most recent ended Club Tijuana 0-0 Puebla (Feb 7, 2026).
What was the Club Tijuana vs Puebla result, and was the prediction right?
Final score: Club Tijuana 0-0 Puebla. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Club Tijuana (53%), while a draw was rated at only 25%. The final score ranked 5th among the most likely scorelines (7.8%), behind 1-0. On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (49%): correct; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (47%): correct.
How is the Club Tijuana vs Puebla prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.61 for Club Tijuana, 0.94 for Puebla) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All Club Tijuana predictions
- All Puebla predictions
- Liga MX predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology