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Liga MXLiga MX· Kick-off : Sunday, October 18, 2026, 02:00 (UK time)

Toluca vs Atletico San Luis prediction: correct score and AI tips

TolucaToluca–Atletico San LuisAtletico San Luis

Match analysis

Liga MX: the Toluca vs Atletico San Luis match is scheduled on Sunday, October 18, 2026 at 02:00 (UK time). Venue: Estadio Nemesio Diez, Toluca. Our model makes Toluca clear favourites: a 68% chance of winning, against 22% for the draw and 10% for Atletico San Luis.

Toluca have won just one of their last 5 matches (1 draw, 3 defeats), scoring 9 and conceding 11. Over their last 5 matches, Atletico San Luis have 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats, scoring 7 and conceding 10. Both sides come in with similar form. On average Toluca score 1.80 and concede 2.20 goals per game; Atletico San Luis score 1.40 and concede 2.00. In the table, Toluca sit 3rd with 20 points from 11 games, Atletico San Luis 15th with 12 points from 11. 12 places separate the two sides. Over their recent games, Toluca have averaged 1.24 xG (expected goals) per match, against 0.70 for Atletico San Luis.

In the last 2 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Toluca, 0 for Atletico San Luis and 1 draw. The most recent ended Toluca 1-1 Atletico San Luis (Apr 13, 2026). In double chance terms, "Toluca or draw" stands at 90%, "Atletico San Luis or draw" at 32% and "no draw" at 78%.

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

68%
Toluca (Win)
22%
Draw
10%
Atletico San Luis (Win)

Double chance

90%
Toluca or draw
32%
Atletico San Luis or draw
78%
No draw

Exact score and goal markets 🔒

The most likely exact score, the top 5 scorelines, expected goals and the both-teams-to-score and over/under probabilities are part of the full prediction. They will be published here as a review once the match is over.

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Recent form

Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.

Toluca

DateOpponentScore
Oct 10, 2026Tigres UANL · Liga MX2-3L
Oct 4, 2026Monterrey · Club Friendlies1-2L
Sep 26, 2026Cruz Azul · Liga MX3-3D
Sep 21, 2026Santos Laguna · Liga MX2-3L
Sep 16, 2026Puebla · Liga MX1-0W

Atletico San Luis

DateOpponentScore
Oct 12, 2026Santos Laguna · Liga MX1-2L
Sep 27, 2026U.N.A.M. - Pumas · Liga MX3-2W
Sep 20, 2026Necaxa · Liga MX3-1W
Sep 15, 2026Leon · Liga MX0-2L
Sep 6, 2026Guadalajara Chivas · Liga MX0-3L

Standings before the match

Pos.PointsPlayed
Toluca32011
Atletico San Luis151211

Head-to-head

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 13, 2026Toluca 1-1 Atletico San LuisLiga MX
Aug 30, 2025Atletico San Luis 1-3 TolucaLiga MX

Out and doubtful

Toluca

No absences reported.

Atletico San Luis

No absences reported.

Most regular starters

Toluca

Starts over the last 4 matches (official line-ups).

  • Bruno Mendez4/4
  • F. Pereira4/4
  • L. Garcia4/4
  • N. Castro4/4
  • Paulinho4/4
  • A. Vega3/4
  • D. Barbosa3/4
  • J. Gallardo3/4
  • B. A. Garcia Caprizo2/4
  • E. del Villar2/4
  • F. Romero2/4

Atletico San Luis

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

  • A. Duarte5/5
  • D. Rodriguez5/5
  • E. Aguila5/5
  • O. Macias5/5
  • R. Llorente5/5
  • R. Torres5/5
  • S. Salles-Lamonge5/5
  • A. Cruz4/5
  • B. Galindo4/5
  • M. G. Lajud4/5
  • F. Mora3/5

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See the full prediction (scenario, scorers, half-time)

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Frequently asked questions

What is the Toluca vs Atletico San Luis prediction?

Our AI gives Toluca a 68% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Atletico San Luis 10%. Toluca are therefore favourites.

When and where is Toluca vs Atletico San Luis played?

Sunday, October 18, 2026 at 02:00 (UK time), Liga MX. Venue: Estadio Nemesio Diez, Toluca.

What form are Toluca and Atletico San Luis in?

Toluca: 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (9 scored, 11 conceded). Atletico San Luis: 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (7 scored, 10 conceded).

What is the head-to-head record between Toluca and Atletico San Luis?

In the last 2 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Toluca, 0 for Atletico San Luis and 1 draw. The most recent ended Toluca 1-1 Atletico San Luis (Apr 13, 2026).

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Key terms explained