Liga MX· Kick-off : Saturday, November 7, 2026, 23:00 (UK time)
Atlas vs CF Pachuca: 1-4 result and AI prediction review
Review: prediction vs result
Final score: Atlas 1-4 CF Pachuca. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Atlas (39%), while victory for CF Pachuca was rated at only 34%. The model considered this score unlikely (1.0%). On goals, the model expected both teams to score (53%): correct; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (48%): missed.
Match analysis
Atlas vs CF Pachuca was played on Saturday, November 7, 2026 (Liga MX). Venue: Estadio Jalisco, Guadalajara. Before kick-off, our model gave Atlas a 39% chance of winning, the draw 26% and CF Pachuca 34%. The most likely correct score is 1-1 (12.5%), ahead of 1-0 (10.0%) and 0-1 (9.2%).
Over their last 5 matches, Atlas have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat, scoring 10 and conceding 9. Over their last 5 matches, CF Pachuca have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats, scoring 10 and conceding 8. Recent momentum is clearly with Atlas. On average Atlas score 2.00 and concede 1.80 goals per game; CF Pachuca score 2.00 and concede 1.60. In the table, Atlas sit 4th with 27 points from 15 games, CF Pachuca 12th with 19 points from 15. 8 places separate the two sides. Over their recent games, Atlas have averaged 1.70 xG (expected goals) per match, against 1.30 for CF Pachuca.
In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Atlas, 3 for CF Pachuca and 1 draw. The most recent ended CF Pachuca 3-1 Atlas (Feb 14, 2026). In double chance terms, "Atlas or draw" stands at 66%, "CF Pachuca or draw" at 61% and "no draw" at 74%.
In short : An evenly-matched game between Atlas and CF Pachuca: our model sees no clear favourite. In the table, Atlas (4th, 27 pts) host CF Pachuca (12th, 19 pts). Both teams could find the net (BTTS at 53%).
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Atlas – CF Pachuca. 1-1 is the single most likely scoreline (12.5%); the 5 scores below add up to 48% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Atlas 1-1 CF Pachuca | 12.5% |
| Atlas 1-0 CF Pachuca | 10.0% |
| Atlas 0-1 CF Pachuca | 9.2% |
| Atlas 2-1 CF Pachuca | 8.5% |
| Atlas 1-2 CF Pachuca | 7.8% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
The model expects 2.61 goals in total (1.36 for Atlas, 1.25 for CF Pachuca): over 2.5 goals has a 48% probability and both teams to score 53%. Atlas keep a clean sheet in 29% of scenarios, CF Pachuca in 26%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Atlas expected goals | 1.36 |
| CF Pachuca expected goals | 1.25 |
| Both teams to score | 53% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 74% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 48% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 27% |
| Atlas clean sheet | 29% |
| CF Pachuca clean sheet | 26% |
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
Atlas
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Atletico San Luis · Liga MX | 1-0 | W |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Puebla · Liga MX | 4-3 | W |
| Oct 22, 2026 | Club America · Liga MX | 2-5 | L |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Necaxa · Liga MX | 2-0 | W |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Guadalajara Chivas · Liga MX | 1-1 | D |
CF Pachuca
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Tigres UANL · Liga MX | 3-0 | W |
| Oct 26, 2026 | Club America · Liga MX | 2-1 | W |
| Oct 22, 2026 | Cruz Azul · Liga MX | 1-2 | L |
| Oct 19, 2026 | Monterrey · Liga MX | 1-2 | L |
| Oct 12, 2026 | Necaxa · Liga MX | 3-3 | D |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Atlas | 4 | 27 | 15 |
| CF Pachuca | 12 | 19 | 15 |
Head-to-head
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 14, 2026 | CF Pachuca 3-1 Atlas | Liga MX |
| Aug 10, 2025 | Atlas 0-3 CF Pachuca | Liga MX |
| Feb 2, 2025 | CF Pachuca 0-0 Atlas | Liga MX |
| Sep 14, 2024 | Atlas 2-0 CF Pachuca | Liga MX |
| Feb 1, 2024 | CF Pachuca 4-3 Atlas | Liga MX |
Out and doubtful
Atlas
No absences reported.
CF Pachuca
No absences reported.
Most regular starters
Atlas
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- J. Sanchez7/5
- C. Vargas5/5
- A. Frias4/5
- E. Montiel4/5
- F. Monzon4/5
- L. Esteves4/5
- P. Ramirez4/5
- R. Mmaee4/5
- K. Zenon3/5
- M. Valenzuela3/5
- M. Capasso2/5
CF Pachuca
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- C. Moreno5/5
- C. Rivera5/5
- Eduardo Bauermann5/5
- O. Idrissi5/5
- R. Pizarro5/5
- F. Venegas4/5
- J. Berlanga4/5
- N. Vallejo4/5
- S. Rondon4/5
- A. Bautista3/5
- S. D. Barreto3/5
Other matches in this competition
- Atletico San Luis 0-1 FC JuarezNov 7, 2026
- Necaxa 1-0 Club TijuanaNov 7, 2026
- Atlante FC 0-2 Santos LagunaNov 7, 2026
- Toluca 4-0 MonterreyNov 8, 2026
- Tigres UANL 2-3 Cruz AzulNov 8, 2026
- U.N.A.M. - Pumas 2-2 Club AmericaNov 8, 2026
- Club Queretaro 0-2 PueblaNov 9, 2026
- Leon 1-1 Guadalajara ChivasNov 9, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Atlas vs CF Pachuca prediction?
Before the match, our AI gave Atlas a 39% chance of winning, the draw 26% and CF Pachuca 34%. Atlas are therefore slight favourites. Final score: 1-4.
What is the most likely correct score for Atlas vs CF Pachuca?
1-1 (12.5%), followed by 1-0 (10.0%), 0-1 (9.2%), 2-1 (8.5%) and 1-2 (7.8%).
Will both teams score in Atlas vs CF Pachuca?
The probability that both Atlas and CF Pachuca score is 53%. Atlas have a 29% chance of keeping a clean sheet, CF Pachuca 26%.
How many goals should we expect in Atlas vs CF Pachuca?
The model expects 2.61 goals (1.36 for Atlas, 1.25 for CF Pachuca). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 74%, over 2.5 goals 48%, over 3.5 goals 27%.
When and where is Atlas vs CF Pachuca played?
Saturday, November 7, 2026 at 23:00 (UK time), Liga MX. Venue: Estadio Jalisco, Guadalajara.
What form are Atlas and CF Pachuca in?
Atlas: 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (10 scored, 9 conceded). CF Pachuca: 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (10 scored, 8 conceded).
What is the head-to-head record between Atlas and CF Pachuca?
In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Atlas, 3 for CF Pachuca and 1 draw. The most recent ended CF Pachuca 3-1 Atlas (Feb 14, 2026).
What was the Atlas vs CF Pachuca result, and was the prediction right?
Final score: Atlas 1-4 CF Pachuca. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Atlas (39%), while victory for CF Pachuca was rated at only 34%. The model considered this score unlikely (1.0%). On goals, the model expected both teams to score (53%): correct; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (48%): missed.
How is the Atlas vs CF Pachuca prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.36 for Atlas, 1.25 for CF Pachuca) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All Atlas predictions
- All CF Pachuca predictions
- Liga MX predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology