Liga MX· Kick-off : Saturday, November 7, 2026, 01:00 (UK time)
Necaxa vs Club Tijuana: 1-0 result and AI prediction review
Review: prediction vs result
Final score: Necaxa 1-0 Club Tijuana. The AI called the outcome correctly: it rated victory for Necaxa at 38%. The final score ranked 2nd among the most likely scorelines (10.0%), behind 1-1. On goals, the model expected both teams to score (52%): missed; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (47%): correct.
Match analysis
Necaxa and Club Tijuana met on Saturday, November 7, 2026, a Liga MX fixture. Venue: Estadio Victoria, Aguascalientes. Before kick-off, our model gave Necaxa a 38% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Club Tijuana 36%. On the correct score, 1-1 comes out on top (12.7%), followed by 1-0 (10.0%) and 0-1 (9.7%).
Necaxa have not won any of their last 5 matches (2 draws, 3 defeats), scoring 4 and conceding 8. Club Tijuana are unbeaten in their last 5 matches (1 win, 4 draws), scoring 10 and conceding 7. Club Tijuana therefore arrive in far better shape than Necaxa. On average Necaxa score 0.80 and concede 1.60 goals per game; Club Tijuana score 2.00 and concede 1.40. In the table, Necaxa sit 17th with 10 points from 15 games, Club Tijuana 6th with 22 points from 15. 11 places separate the two sides. Over their recent games, Necaxa have averaged 2.15 xG (expected goals) per match, against 1.42 for Club Tijuana.
In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 3 wins for Necaxa, 2 for Club Tijuana and 0 draws. The most recent ended Necaxa 3-0 Club Tijuana (Mar 21, 2026). In double chance terms, "Necaxa or draw" stands at 64%, "Club Tijuana or draw" at 62% and "no draw" at 73%.
In short : Necaxa and Club Tijuana meet in a wide-open clash with no clear favourite (draw at 27%). On recent form, Necaxa have 0 win, 2 draws and 3 losses in 5 while Club Tijuana have 1 win, 4 draws and 0 losses in 5. Our model's most likely scoreline: 1-1.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Necaxa – Club Tijuana. 1-1 is the single most likely scoreline (12.7%); the 5 scores below add up to 49% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Necaxa 1-1 Club Tijuana | 12.7% |
| Necaxa 1-0 Club Tijuana | 10.0% |
| Necaxa 0-1 Club Tijuana | 9.7% |
| Necaxa 2-1 Club Tijuana | 8.2% |
| Necaxa 1-2 Club Tijuana | 8.0% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
With 1.30 expected goals for Necaxa and 1.26 for Club Tijuana, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 47% and "both teams to score" at 52%. Necaxa keep a clean sheet in 28% of scenarios, Club Tijuana in 27%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Necaxa expected goals | 1.30 |
| Club Tijuana expected goals | 1.26 |
| Both teams to score | 52% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 73% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 47% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 26% |
| Necaxa clean sheet | 28% |
| Club Tijuana clean sheet | 27% |
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
Necaxa
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Santos Laguna · Liga MX | 0-1 | L |
| Oct 24, 2026 | FC Juarez · Liga MX | 1-1 | D |
| Oct 21, 2026 | Guadalajara Chivas · Liga MX | 0-1 | L |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Atlas · Liga MX | 0-2 | L |
| Oct 12, 2026 | CF Pachuca · Liga MX | 3-3 | D |
Club Tijuana
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Monterrey · Liga MX | 3-3 | D |
| Oct 29, 2026 | Club America · Liga MX | 1-1 | D |
| Oct 26, 2026 | Santos Laguna · Liga MX | 4-1 | W |
| Oct 22, 2026 | Toluca · Liga MX | 2-2 | D |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Puebla · Liga MX | 0-0 | D |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Necaxa | 17 | 10 | 15 |
| Club Tijuana | 6 | 22 | 15 |
Head-to-head
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2026 | Necaxa 3-0 Club Tijuana | Liga MX |
| Sep 1, 2025 | Club Tijuana 3-0 Necaxa | Liga MX |
| Apr 5, 2025 | Club Tijuana 1-2 Necaxa | Liga MX |
| Oct 19, 2024 | Necaxa 1-2 Club Tijuana | Liga MX |
| Apr 6, 2024 | Club Tijuana 2-3 Necaxa | Liga MX |
Out and doubtful
Necaxa
No absences reported.
Club Tijuana
No absences reported.
Most regular starters
Necaxa
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- A. Oliveros5/5
- D. Leyva4/5
- D. Ochoa4/5
- C. Vargas3/5
- E. Martinez3/5
- E. Rodriguez3/5
- J. Carranza3/5
- J. Orantes3/5
- L. Faravelli3/5
- M. Espindola3/5
- O. Gonzalez3/5
Club Tijuana
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- J. Porozo5/5
- A. Rodriguez3/5
- I. Rivero3/5
- I. Tona3/5
- R. Arciga3/5
- R. Fernandez3/5
- A. Gomez2/5
- A. Preciado2/5
- A. Rodríguez2/5
- A. Vega2/5
- Elias Manoel2/5
Other matches in this competition
- Atletico San Luis 0-1 FC JuarezNov 7, 2026
- Atlante FC 0-2 Santos LagunaNov 7, 2026
- Atlas 1-4 CF PachucaNov 7, 2026
- Toluca 4-0 MonterreyNov 8, 2026
- Tigres UANL 2-3 Cruz AzulNov 8, 2026
- U.N.A.M. - Pumas 2-2 Club AmericaNov 8, 2026
- Club Queretaro 0-2 PueblaNov 9, 2026
- Leon 1-1 Guadalajara ChivasNov 9, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Necaxa vs Club Tijuana prediction?
Before the match, our AI gave Necaxa a 38% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Club Tijuana 36%. Necaxa are therefore slight favourites. Final score: 1-0.
What is the most likely correct score for Necaxa vs Club Tijuana?
1-1 (12.7%), followed by 1-0 (10.0%), 0-1 (9.7%), 2-1 (8.2%) and 1-2 (8.0%).
Will both teams score in Necaxa vs Club Tijuana?
The probability that both Necaxa and Club Tijuana score is 52%. Necaxa have a 28% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Club Tijuana 27%.
How many goals should we expect in Necaxa vs Club Tijuana?
The model expects 2.56 goals (1.30 for Necaxa, 1.26 for Club Tijuana). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 73%, over 2.5 goals 47%, over 3.5 goals 26%.
When and where is Necaxa vs Club Tijuana played?
Saturday, November 7, 2026 at 01:00 (UK time), Liga MX. Venue: Estadio Victoria, Aguascalientes.
What form are Necaxa and Club Tijuana in?
Necaxa: 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (4 scored, 8 conceded). Club Tijuana: 1 win, 4 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches (10 scored, 7 conceded).
What is the head-to-head record between Necaxa and Club Tijuana?
In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 3 wins for Necaxa, 2 for Club Tijuana and 0 draws. The most recent ended Necaxa 3-0 Club Tijuana (Mar 21, 2026).
What was the Necaxa vs Club Tijuana result, and was the prediction right?
Final score: Necaxa 1-0 Club Tijuana. The AI called the outcome correctly: it rated victory for Necaxa at 38%. The final score ranked 2nd among the most likely scorelines (10.0%), behind 1-1. On goals, the model expected both teams to score (52%): missed; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (47%): correct.
How is the Necaxa vs Club Tijuana prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.30 for Necaxa, 1.26 for Club Tijuana) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All Necaxa predictions
- All Club Tijuana predictions
- Liga MX predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology