Liga MX· Kick-off : Monday, November 9, 2026, 00:00 (UK time)
Club Queretaro vs Puebla: 0-2 result and AI prediction review
Review: prediction vs result
Final score: Club Queretaro 0-2 Puebla. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Club Queretaro (71%), while victory for Puebla was rated at only 11%. The model considered this score unlikely (1.4%). On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (45%): correct; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (54%): missed.
Match analysis
Club Queretaro vs Puebla was played on Monday, November 9, 2026 (Liga MX). Venue: Estadio La Corregidora, Santiago Querétaro. Before kick-off, our model gave Club Queretaro a 71% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Puebla 11%. The most likely correct score is 2-0 (13.4%), ahead of 1-0 (12.4%) and 3-0 (9.6%).
Club Queretaro have won just one of their last 5 matches (0 draws, 4 defeats), scoring 5 and conceding 13. Puebla have not won any of their last 5 matches (2 draws, 3 defeats), scoring 6 and conceding 11. On recent form, there is little to separate the two teams. On average Club Queretaro score 1.00 and concede 2.60 goals per game; Puebla score 1.20 and concede 2.20. In the table, Club Queretaro sit 12th with 20 points from 14 games, Puebla 14th with 16 points from 15. The two teams are close in the standings. Over their recent games, Club Queretaro have averaged 1.64 xG (expected goals) per match, against 0.92 for Puebla.
In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 4 wins for Club Queretaro, 1 for Puebla and 0 draws. The most recent ended Puebla 1-2 Club Queretaro (Apr 25, 2026). In double chance terms, "Club Queretaro or draw" stands at 89%, "Puebla or draw" at 29% and "no draw" at 82%.
In short : Our model backs Club Queretaro to edge Puebla (71% probability). On recent form, Club Queretaro are struggling (4 losses in 5) while Puebla have 0 win, 2 draws and 3 losses in 5. Both teams could find the net (BTTS at 45%).
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Club Queretaro – Puebla. 2-0 is the single most likely scoreline (13.4%); the 5 scores below add up to 53% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Club Queretaro 2-0 Puebla | 13.4% |
| Club Queretaro 1-0 Puebla | 12.4% |
| Club Queretaro 3-0 Puebla | 9.6% |
| Club Queretaro 2-1 Puebla | 9.4% |
| Club Queretaro 1-1 Puebla | 8.7% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
The model expects 2.85 goals in total (2.15 for Club Queretaro, 0.70 for Puebla): over 2.5 goals has a 54% probability and both teams to score 45%. Club Queretaro keep a clean sheet in 50% of scenarios, Puebla in 12%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Club Queretaro expected goals | 2.15 |
| Puebla expected goals | 0.70 |
| Both teams to score | 45% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 78% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 54% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 32% |
| Club Queretaro clean sheet | 50% |
| Puebla clean sheet | 12% |
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
Club Queretaro
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | FC Juarez · Liga MX | 1-3 | L |
| Oct 26, 2026 | Cruz Azul · Liga MX | 1-3 | L |
| Oct 21, 2026 | Atletico San Luis · Liga MX | 1-2 | L |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Santos Laguna · Liga MX | 0-5 | L |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Atlante FC · Liga MX | 2-0 | W |
Puebla
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | U.N.A.M. - Pumas · Liga MX | 1-2 | L |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Atlas · Liga MX | 3-4 | L |
| Oct 22, 2026 | Monterrey · Liga MX | 1-4 | L |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Club Tijuana · Liga MX | 0-0 | D |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Leon · Liga MX | 1-1 | D |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Club Queretaro | 12 | 20 | 14 |
| Puebla | 14 | 16 | 15 |
Head-to-head
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Puebla 1-2 Club Queretaro | Liga MX |
| Oct 5, 2025 | Club Queretaro 3-1 Puebla | Liga MX |
| Mar 2, 2025 | Club Queretaro 2-0 Puebla | Liga MX |
| Sep 14, 2024 | Puebla 2-1 Club Queretaro | Liga MX |
| Feb 24, 2024 | Puebla 0-2 Club Queretaro | Liga MX |
Out and doubtful
Club Queretaro
No absences reported.
Puebla
No absences reported.
Most regular starters
Club Queretaro
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- D. Parra5/5
- G. Allison5/5
- M. Coronel5/5
- A. Avila4/5
- C. Garcia4/5
- D. Reyes4/5
- E. Gimenez4/5
- L. Abascia4/5
- B. Parra3/5
- I. Benito3/5
- B. Duarte2/5
Puebla
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- A. Organista5/5
- B. Garnica5/5
- F. Almada5/5
- I. Moreno5/5
- J. Vargas5/5
- A. Ramirez4/5
- D. Gutierrez4/5
- F. Monarrez4/5
- L. Hernandez3/5
- M. Tomas3/5
- O. F. Moreno Villegas3/5
Other matches in this competition
- Atletico San Luis 0-1 FC JuarezNov 7, 2026
- Necaxa 1-0 Club TijuanaNov 7, 2026
- Atlante FC 0-2 Santos LagunaNov 7, 2026
- Atlas 1-4 CF PachucaNov 7, 2026
- Toluca 4-0 MonterreyNov 8, 2026
- Tigres UANL 2-3 Cruz AzulNov 8, 2026
- U.N.A.M. - Pumas 2-2 Club AmericaNov 8, 2026
- Leon 1-1 Guadalajara ChivasNov 9, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Club Queretaro vs Puebla prediction?
Before the match, our AI gave Club Queretaro a 71% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Puebla 11%. Club Queretaro are therefore favourites. Final score: 0-2.
What is the most likely correct score for Club Queretaro vs Puebla?
2-0 (13.4%), followed by 1-0 (12.4%), 3-0 (9.6%), 2-1 (9.4%) and 1-1 (8.7%).
Will both teams score in Club Queretaro vs Puebla?
The probability that both Club Queretaro and Puebla score is 45%. Club Queretaro have a 50% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Puebla 12%.
How many goals should we expect in Club Queretaro vs Puebla?
The model expects 2.85 goals (2.15 for Club Queretaro, 0.70 for Puebla). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 78%, over 2.5 goals 54%, over 3.5 goals 32%.
When and where is Club Queretaro vs Puebla played?
Monday, November 9, 2026 at 00:00 (UK time), Liga MX. Venue: Estadio La Corregidora, Santiago Querétaro.
What form are Club Queretaro and Puebla in?
Club Queretaro: 1 win, 0 draws and 4 defeats in their last 5 matches (5 scored, 13 conceded). Puebla: 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (6 scored, 11 conceded).
What is the head-to-head record between Club Queretaro and Puebla?
In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 4 wins for Club Queretaro, 1 for Puebla and 0 draws. The most recent ended Puebla 1-2 Club Queretaro (Apr 25, 2026).
What was the Club Queretaro vs Puebla result, and was the prediction right?
Final score: Club Queretaro 0-2 Puebla. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Club Queretaro (71%), while victory for Puebla was rated at only 11%. The model considered this score unlikely (1.4%). On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (45%): correct; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (54%): missed.
How is the Club Queretaro vs Puebla prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (2.15 for Club Queretaro, 0.70 for Puebla) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All Club Queretaro predictions
- All Puebla predictions
- Liga MX predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology