Ecuadorian Liga Pro· Kick-off : Sunday, November 8, 2026, 21:30 (UK time)
Barcelona SC vs LDU de Quito: 1-1 result and AI prediction review
Review: prediction vs result
Final score: Barcelona SC 1-1 LDU de Quito. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for LDU de Quito (52%), while a draw was rated at only 31%. The final score ranked 4th among the most likely scorelines (11.6%), behind 0-1. On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (30%): missed; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (26%): correct.
Match analysis
Barcelona SC and LDU de Quito met on Sunday, November 8, 2026, a Ecuadorian Liga Pro fixture. Venue: Estadio Monumental Isidro Romero Carbo, Guayaquil. Before kick-off, our model gave Barcelona SC a 17% chance of winning, the draw 31% and LDU de Quito 52%. On the correct score, 0-1 comes out on top (20.7%), followed by 0-0 (17.4%) and 0-2 (12.3%).
Barcelona SC have won just one of their last 5 matches (2 draws, 2 defeats), scoring 7 and conceding 7. LDU de Quito have not won any of their last 5 matches (2 draws, 3 defeats), scoring 5 and conceding 9. Both sides come in with similar form. On average Barcelona SC score 1.40 and concede 1.40 goals per game; LDU de Quito score 1.00 and concede 1.80. In the table, Barcelona SC sit 6th with 48 points from 34 games, LDU de Quito 5th with 53 points from 35. The two teams are close in the standings. Over their recent games, Barcelona SC have averaged 0.50 xG (expected goals) per match, against 1.33 for LDU de Quito.
In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Barcelona SC, 3 for LDU de Quito and 1 draw. The most recent ended Barcelona SC 0-1 LDU de Quito (Jul 27, 2026). In double chance terms, "Barcelona SC or draw" stands at 48%, "LDU de Quito or draw" at 83% and "no draw" at 69%.
In short : LDU de Quito are tipped by our AI model in this Barcelona SC v LDU de Quito (52%). In the table, Barcelona SC (6th, 48 pts) host LDU de Quito (5th, 53 pts). Our model's most likely scoreline: 0-1.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Barcelona SC – LDU de Quito. 0-1 is the single most likely scoreline (20.7%); the 5 scores below add up to 72% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Barcelona SC 0-1 LDU de Quito | 20.7% |
| Barcelona SC 0-0 LDU de Quito | 17.4% |
| Barcelona SC 0-2 LDU de Quito | 12.3% |
| Barcelona SC 1-1 LDU de Quito | 11.6% |
| Barcelona SC 1-0 LDU de Quito | 9.7% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
With 0.56 expected goals for Barcelona SC and 1.19 for LDU de Quito, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 26% and "both teams to score" at 30%. Few goals are expected here. Barcelona SC keep a clean sheet in 30% of scenarios, LDU de Quito in 57%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Barcelona SC expected goals | 0.56 |
| LDU de Quito expected goals | 1.19 |
| Both teams to score | 30% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 52% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 26% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 10% |
| Barcelona SC clean sheet | 30% |
| LDU de Quito clean sheet | 57% |
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
Barcelona SC
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Macara · Ecuadorian Liga Pro | 0-3 | L |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Aucas · Ecuadorian Liga Pro | 4-0 | W |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Universidad Catolica · Ecuadorian Liga Pro | 1-1 | D |
| Oct 11, 2026 | LDU de Quito · Ecuadorian Liga Pro | 1-2 | L |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Delfin SC · Ecuadorian Liga Pro | 1-1 | D |
LDU de Quito
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 5, 2026 | Universidad Catolica · Copa Ecuador | 1-2 | L |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Independiente del Valle · Ecuadorian Liga Pro | 0-2 | L |
| Oct 30, 2026 | Universidad Catolica · Copa Ecuador | 2-2 | D |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Macara · Ecuadorian Liga Pro | 1-2 | L |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Aucas · Ecuadorian Liga Pro | 1-1 | D |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Barcelona SC | 6 | 48 | 34 |
| LDU de Quito | 5 | 53 | 35 |
Head-to-head
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 27, 2026 | Barcelona SC 0-1 LDU de Quito | Liga Pro |
| Apr 4, 2026 | LDU de Quito 0-2 Barcelona SC | Liga Pro |
| Nov 23, 2025 | Barcelona SC 2-2 LDU de Quito | Liga Pro |
| Oct 18, 2025 | LDU de Quito 3-0 Barcelona SC | Liga Pro |
| Jul 25, 2025 | Barcelona SC 0-1 LDU de Quito | Liga Pro |
Out and doubtful
Barcelona SC
No absences reported.
LDU de Quito
No absences reported.
Most regular starters
Barcelona SC
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- Jefferson Wila5/5
- B. Carabalí4/5
- G. Vallecilla4/5
- J. Báez4/5
- J. Contreras4/5
- J. García4/5
- M. Lugo4/5
- D. Benedetto3/5
- W. Vargas3/5
- B. Castillo2/5
- D. Díaz2/5
LDU de Quito
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- F. Cornejo5/5
- G. Valle5/5
- J. Pretell5/5
- M. Weigandt5/5
- J. Corozo4/5
- M. Estrada4/5
- G. Allala3/5
- Yerlin Quinonez3/5
- G. F. Allala Menendez2/5
- L. Quinonez2/5
- L. Rodríguez2/5
Other matches in this competition
- Libertad 0-1 EmelecNov 7, 2026
- Leones del Norte 1-1 Guayaquil City FCNov 7, 2026
- Macara 2-2 Universidad CatolicaNov 8, 2026
- Deportivo Cuenca 2-0 Orense SCNov 8, 2026
- Aucas 2-4 Independiente del ValleNov 8, 2026
- Mushuc Runa SC 2-1 Delfin SCNov 9, 2026
- Tecnico Universitario – Manta FCNov 9, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Barcelona SC vs LDU de Quito prediction?
Before the match, our AI gave Barcelona SC a 17% chance of winning, the draw 31% and LDU de Quito 52%. LDU de Quito are therefore favourites. Final score: 1-1.
What is the most likely correct score for Barcelona SC vs LDU de Quito?
0-1 (20.7%), followed by 0-0 (17.4%), 0-2 (12.3%), 1-1 (11.6%) and 1-0 (9.7%).
Will both teams score in Barcelona SC vs LDU de Quito?
The probability that both Barcelona SC and LDU de Quito score is 30%. Barcelona SC have a 30% chance of keeping a clean sheet, LDU de Quito 57%.
How many goals should we expect in Barcelona SC vs LDU de Quito?
The model expects 1.75 goals (0.56 for Barcelona SC, 1.19 for LDU de Quito). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 52%, over 2.5 goals 26%, over 3.5 goals 10%.
When and where is Barcelona SC vs LDU de Quito played?
Sunday, November 8, 2026 at 21:30 (UK time), Ecuadorian Liga Pro. Venue: Estadio Monumental Isidro Romero Carbo, Guayaquil.
What form are Barcelona SC and LDU de Quito in?
Barcelona SC: 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (7 scored, 7 conceded). LDU de Quito: 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (5 scored, 9 conceded).
What is the head-to-head record between Barcelona SC and LDU de Quito?
In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Barcelona SC, 3 for LDU de Quito and 1 draw. The most recent ended Barcelona SC 0-1 LDU de Quito (Jul 27, 2026).
What was the Barcelona SC vs LDU de Quito result, and was the prediction right?
Final score: Barcelona SC 1-1 LDU de Quito. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for LDU de Quito (52%), while a draw was rated at only 31%. The final score ranked 4th among the most likely scorelines (11.6%), behind 0-1. On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (30%): missed; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (26%): correct.
How is the Barcelona SC vs LDU de Quito prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (0.56 for Barcelona SC, 1.19 for LDU de Quito) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All Barcelona SC predictions
- All LDU de Quito predictions
- Ecuadorian Liga Pro predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology