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Ecuadorian Liga ProEcuadorian Liga Pro· Kick-off : Sunday, November 8, 2026, 16:30 (UK time)

Deportivo Cuenca vs Orense SC: 2-0 result and AI prediction review

Deportivo CuencaDeportivo Cuenca2 – 0Orense SCOrense SC

Review: prediction vs result

1X2 outcome correctExact score missedMost likely score before kick-off : 0-0

Final score: Deportivo Cuenca 2-0 Orense SC. The 1X2 prediction came good: victory for Deportivo Cuenca was the model's favourite outcome (36%). The final score ranked 5th among the most likely scorelines (7.3%), behind 0-0. On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (34%): correct; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (26%): correct.

Match analysis

Deportivo Cuenca vs Orense SC was played on Sunday, November 8, 2026 (Ecuadorian Liga Pro). Venue: Alejandro Serrano Aguilar, Cuenca. Before kick-off, our model gave Deportivo Cuenca a 36% chance of winning, the draw 33% and Orense SC 31%. The most likely correct score is 0-0 (17.2%), ahead of 1-0 (15.8%) and 0-1 (14.5%).

Over their last 5 matches, Deportivo Cuenca have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat, scoring 6 and conceding 5. Orense SC have won just one of their last 5 matches (3 draws, 1 defeat), scoring 7 and conceding 4. On recent form, there is little to separate the two teams. On average Deportivo Cuenca score 1.20 and concede 1.00 goals per game; Orense SC score 1.40 and concede 0.80. In the table, Deportivo Cuenca sit 11th with 44 points from 35 games, Orense SC 13th with 39 points from 35. The two teams are close in the standings. Over their recent games, Deportivo Cuenca have averaged 0.76 xG (expected goals) per match, against 1.02 for Orense SC.

In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Deportivo Cuenca, 4 for Orense SC and 1 draw. The most recent ended Orense SC 2-0 Deportivo Cuenca (Aug 16, 2026). In double chance terms, "Deportivo Cuenca or draw" stands at 69%, "Orense SC or draw" at 64% and "no draw" at 67%.

In short : Deportivo Cuenca and Orense SC meet in a wide-open clash with no clear favourite (draw at 33%). In the table, Deportivo Cuenca (11th, 44 pts) host Orense SC (13th, 39 pts). Our model's most likely scoreline: 0-0.

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

36%
Deportivo Cuenca (Win)
33%
Draw
31%
Orense SC (Win)

Double chance

69%
Deportivo Cuenca or draw
64%
Orense SC or draw
67%
No draw

Most likely correct scores

Scores shown as Deportivo Cuenca – Orense SC. 0-0 is the single most likely scoreline (17.2%); the 5 scores below add up to 68% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.

ScoreProbability
Deportivo Cuenca 0-0 Orense SC17.2%
Deportivo Cuenca 1-0 Orense SC15.8%
Deportivo Cuenca 0-1 Orense SC14.5%
Deportivo Cuenca 1-1 Orense SC13.3%
Deportivo Cuenca 2-0 Orense SC7.3%

Goals: both teams to score, over/under

The model expects 1.76 goals in total (0.92 for Deportivo Cuenca, 0.84 for Orense SC): over 2.5 goals has a 26% probability and both teams to score 34%. A tight, low-scoring game is on the cards. Deportivo Cuenca keep a clean sheet in 43% of scenarios, Orense SC in 40%.

Probability
Deportivo Cuenca expected goals0.92
Orense SC expected goals0.84
Both teams to score34%
Over 1.5 goals53%
Over 2.5 goals26%
Over 3.5 goals10%
Deportivo Cuenca clean sheet43%
Orense SC clean sheet40%

Recent form

Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.

Deportivo Cuenca

DateOpponentScore
Oct 31, 2026Delfin SC · Ecuadorian Liga Pro1-3L
Oct 24, 2026Manta FC · Ecuadorian Liga Pro2-0W
Oct 16, 2026Tecnico Universitario · Ecuadorian Liga Pro2-1W
Oct 11, 2026Orense SC · Ecuadorian Liga Pro0-0D
Sep 20, 2026Mushuc Runa SC · Ecuadorian Liga Pro1-1D

Orense SC

DateOpponentScore
Nov 2, 2026Tecnico Universitario · Ecuadorian Liga Pro1-1D
Oct 24, 2026Delfin SC · Ecuadorian Liga Pro4-0W
Oct 19, 2026Mushuc Runa SC · Ecuadorian Liga Pro1-1D
Oct 11, 2026Deportivo Cuenca · Ecuadorian Liga Pro0-0D
Sep 21, 2026Manta FC · Ecuadorian Liga Pro1-2L

Standings before the match

Pos.PointsPlayed
Deportivo Cuenca114435
Orense SC133935

Head-to-head

DateScoreCompetition
Aug 16, 2026Orense SC 2-0 Deportivo CuencaLiga Pro
Apr 22, 2026Deportivo Cuenca 1-3 Orense SCLiga Pro
Aug 31, 2025Deportivo Cuenca 1-1 Orense SCLiga Pro
May 10, 2025Orense SC 1-0 Deportivo CuencaLiga Pro
Aug 10, 2024Deportivo Cuenca 1-2 Orense SCLiga Pro

Out and doubtful

Deportivo Cuenca

No absences reported.

Orense SC

No absences reported.

Most regular starters

Deportivo Cuenca

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

  • C. Arboleda3/5
  • F. Ferrero3/5
  • J. Mejia3/5
  • Lucas Eduardo Mancinelli3/5
  • M. Maccari3/5
  • Melvin Fabricio Díaz Canencia3/5
  • P. Boolsen3/5
  • S. Postel3/5
  • C. Benalcazar2/5
  • Carlos Arboleda2/5
  • Eddie Guevara2/5

Orense SC

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

  • Agustin Herrera3/5
  • Beder Caicedo3/5
  • Gabriel Achilier3/5
  • Pedro Velasco3/5
  • Rolando Silva3/5
  • A. Herrera2/5
  • B. Caicedo2/5
  • G. Achilier2/5
  • G. Rostagno2/5
  • M. Quiñonez2/5
  • Michael Alessandro Bermúdez Reyes2/5

Other matches in this competition

Frequently asked questions

What is the Deportivo Cuenca vs Orense SC prediction?

Before the match, our AI gave Deportivo Cuenca a 36% chance of winning, the draw 33% and Orense SC 31%. Deportivo Cuenca are therefore slight favourites. Final score: 2-0.

What is the most likely correct score for Deportivo Cuenca vs Orense SC?

0-0 (17.2%), followed by 1-0 (15.8%), 0-1 (14.5%), 1-1 (13.3%) and 2-0 (7.3%).

Will both teams score in Deportivo Cuenca vs Orense SC?

The probability that both Deportivo Cuenca and Orense SC score is 34%. Deportivo Cuenca have a 43% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Orense SC 40%.

How many goals should we expect in Deportivo Cuenca vs Orense SC?

The model expects 1.76 goals (0.92 for Deportivo Cuenca, 0.84 for Orense SC). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 53%, over 2.5 goals 26%, over 3.5 goals 10%.

When and where is Deportivo Cuenca vs Orense SC played?

Sunday, November 8, 2026 at 16:30 (UK time), Ecuadorian Liga Pro. Venue: Alejandro Serrano Aguilar, Cuenca.

What form are Deportivo Cuenca and Orense SC in?

Deportivo Cuenca: 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (6 scored, 5 conceded). Orense SC: 1 win, 3 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (7 scored, 4 conceded).

What is the head-to-head record between Deportivo Cuenca and Orense SC?

In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Deportivo Cuenca, 4 for Orense SC and 1 draw. The most recent ended Orense SC 2-0 Deportivo Cuenca (Aug 16, 2026).

What was the Deportivo Cuenca vs Orense SC result, and was the prediction right?

Final score: Deportivo Cuenca 2-0 Orense SC. The 1X2 prediction came good: victory for Deportivo Cuenca was the model's favourite outcome (36%). The final score ranked 5th among the most likely scorelines (7.3%), behind 0-0. On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (34%): correct; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (26%): correct.

How is the Deportivo Cuenca vs Orense SC prediction calculated?

The model estimates each team's expected goals (0.92 for Deportivo Cuenca, 0.84 for Orense SC) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.

Go further

Key terms explained