Argentine Primera División· Kick-off : Sunday, October 4, 2026, 23:15 (UK time)
Argentinos JRS vs Tigre: 2-1 result and AI prediction review
Review: prediction vs result
Final score: Argentinos JRS 2-1 Tigre. The AI called the outcome correctly: it rated victory for Argentinos JRS at 66%. The final score ranked 3rd among the most likely scorelines (9.8%), behind 2-0. On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (49%): missed; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (54%): correct.
Match analysis
Argentinos JRS and Tigre met on Sunday, October 4, 2026, a Argentine Primera División fixture. Venue: Estadio Diego Armando Maradona, Buenos Aires. Before kick-off, our model gave Argentinos JRS a 66% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Tigre 14%. On the correct score, 2-0 comes out on top (11.9%), followed by 1-0 (11.7%) and 2-1 (9.8%).
Argentinos JRS have won just one of their last 5 matches (3 draws, 1 defeat), scoring 4 and conceding 4. Tigre have won just one of their last 5 matches (1 draw, 3 defeats), scoring 5 and conceding 7. Both sides come in with similar form. On average Argentinos JRS score 0.80 and concede 0.80 goals per game; Tigre score 1.00 and concede 1.40. In the table, Argentinos JRS sit 1st with 18 points from 10 games, Tigre 11th with 12 points from 10. 10 places separate the two sides.
In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 2 wins for Argentinos JRS, 2 for Tigre and 1 draw. The most recent ended Tigre 1-1 Argentinos JRS (Mar 16, 2026). In double chance terms, "Argentinos JRS or draw" stands at 86%, "Tigre or draw" at 34% and "no draw" at 80%.
In short : Argentinos JRS are tipped by our AI model in this Argentinos JRS v Tigre (66%). In the table, Argentinos JRS (1st, 18 pts) host Tigre (11th, 12 pts). Our model's most likely scoreline: 2-0.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Argentinos JRS – Tigre. 2-0 is the single most likely scoreline (11.9%); the 5 scores below add up to 51% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Argentinos JRS 2-0 Tigre | 11.9% |
| Argentinos JRS 1-0 Tigre | 11.7% |
| Argentinos JRS 2-1 Tigre | 9.8% |
| Argentinos JRS 1-1 Tigre | 9.6% |
| Argentinos JRS 3-0 Tigre | 8.1% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
With 2.03 expected goals for Argentinos JRS and 0.82 for Tigre, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 54% and "both teams to score" at 49%. Argentinos JRS keep a clean sheet in 44% of scenarios, Tigre in 13%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Argentinos JRS expected goals | 2.03 |
| Tigre expected goals | 0.82 |
| Both teams to score | 49% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 78% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 54% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 32% |
| Argentinos JRS clean sheet | 44% |
| Tigre clean sheet | 13% |
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
Argentinos JRS
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2026 | Rosario Central · Argentine Primera División | 0-1 | L |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Gimnasia L.P. · Argentine Primera División | 1-1 | D |
| Sep 7, 2026 | Barracas Central · Argentine Primera División | 0-0 | D |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Aldosivi · Argentine Primera División | 2-1 | W |
| Aug 25, 2026 | Lanus · Argentine Primera División | 1-1 | D |
Tigre
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 21, 2026 | Velez Sarsfield · Argentine Primera División | 2-3 | L |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Rosario Central · Argentine Primera División | 0-1 | L |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Gimnasia L.P. · Argentine Primera División | 1-2 | L |
| Sep 1, 2026 | Barracas Central · Argentine Primera División | 0-0 | D |
| Aug 24, 2026 | Central Cordoba de Santiago · Argentine Primera División | 2-1 | W |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Argentinos JRS | 1 | 18 | 10 |
| Tigre | 11 | 12 | 10 |
Head-to-head
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2026 | Tigre 1-1 Argentinos JRS | Argentine Primera División |
| Jul 20, 2025 | Tigre 2-1 Argentinos JRS | Argentine Primera División |
| Jan 31, 2025 | Argentinos JRS 1-0 Tigre | Argentine Primera División |
| Jul 18, 2024 | Argentinos JRS 0-2 Tigre | Argentine Primera División |
| Mar 6, 2023 | Tigre 0-1 Argentinos JRS | Argentine Primera División |
Out and doubtful
Argentinos JRS
No absences reported.
Tigre
No absences reported.
Most regular starters
Argentinos JRS
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- B. Cortes4/5
- F. Alvarez4/5
- F. Vazquez4/5
- H. Lopez4/5
- K. Coronel4/5
- K. Gutierrez4/5
- N. Oroz4/5
- T. Molina4/5
- G. Veron3/5
- S. Prieto3/5
- A. Lescano2/5
Tigre
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- A. Barrionuevo5/5
- F. T. Zenobio5/5
- I. Russo5/5
- J. Saralegui5/5
- J. Villalba5/5
- N. Banegas5/5
- S. Lopez5/5
- V. Moreno5/5
- S. Gonzalez4/5
- M. Garay3/5
- M. Mendez3/5
Other matches in this competition
- Defensa Y Justicia 3-0 San LorenzoOct 3, 2026
- Newells Old Boys 0-0 LanusOct 3, 2026
- Atletico Tucuman 2-3 Barracas CentralOct 3, 2026
- Huracan 1-0 AldosiviOct 4, 2026
- Talleres Cordoba 0-1 Belgrano CordobaOct 4, 2026
- Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto 1-2 Racing ClubOct 5, 2026
- Deportivo Riestra 1-1 Central Cordoba de SantiagoOct 5, 2026
- Velez Sarsfield 2-2 PlatenseOct 5, 2026
- Estudiantes L.P. 3-0 Gimnasia M.Oct 5, 2026
- Banfield 1-1 Rosario CentralOct 6, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Argentinos JRS vs Tigre prediction?
Before the match, our AI gave Argentinos JRS a 66% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Tigre 14%. Argentinos JRS are therefore favourites. Final score: 2-1.
What is the most likely correct score for Argentinos JRS vs Tigre?
2-0 (11.9%), followed by 1-0 (11.7%), 2-1 (9.8%), 1-1 (9.6%) and 3-0 (8.1%).
Will both teams score in Argentinos JRS vs Tigre?
The probability that both Argentinos JRS and Tigre score is 49%. Argentinos JRS have a 44% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Tigre 13%.
How many goals should we expect in Argentinos JRS vs Tigre?
The model expects 2.85 goals (2.03 for Argentinos JRS, 0.82 for Tigre). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 78%, over 2.5 goals 54%, over 3.5 goals 32%.
When and where is Argentinos JRS vs Tigre played?
Sunday, October 4, 2026 at 23:15 (UK time), Argentine Primera División. Venue: Estadio Diego Armando Maradona, Buenos Aires.
What form are Argentinos JRS and Tigre in?
Argentinos JRS: 1 win, 3 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (4 scored, 4 conceded). Tigre: 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (5 scored, 7 conceded).
What is the head-to-head record between Argentinos JRS and Tigre?
In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 2 wins for Argentinos JRS, 2 for Tigre and 1 draw. The most recent ended Tigre 1-1 Argentinos JRS (Mar 16, 2026).
What was the Argentinos JRS vs Tigre result, and was the prediction right?
Final score: Argentinos JRS 2-1 Tigre. The AI called the outcome correctly: it rated victory for Argentinos JRS at 66%. The final score ranked 3rd among the most likely scorelines (9.8%), behind 2-0. On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (49%): missed; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (54%): correct.
How is the Argentinos JRS vs Tigre prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (2.03 for Argentinos JRS, 0.82 for Tigre) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All Argentinos JRS predictions
- All Tigre predictions
- Argentine Primera División predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology