Argentine Primera División· Kick-off : Saturday, October 3, 2026, 21:00 (UK time)
Newells Old Boys vs Lanus prediction: correct score and AI tips
Match analysis
Newells Old Boys take on Lanus on Saturday, October 3, 2026 at 21:00 (UK time), a Argentine Primera División fixture. Venue: Estadio Marcelo Bielsa, Rosario. The edge goes to Newells Old Boys (53%), ahead of the draw (24%) and a Lanus win (23%). The most likely correct score is 1-1 (11.6%), ahead of 1-0 (11.5%) and 2-1 (9.6%).
Newells Old Boys are unbeaten in their last 5 matches (2 wins, 3 draws), scoring 5 and conceding 3. Over their last 5 matches, Lanus have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats, scoring 6 and conceding 5. On recent form, there is little to separate the two teams. On average Newells Old Boys score 1.00 and concede 0.60 goals per game; Lanus score 1.20 and concede 1.00. In the table, Newells Old Boys sit 8th with 16 points from 10 games, Lanus 7th with 16 points from 10. The two teams are close in the standings.
In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Newells Old Boys, 1 for Lanus and 0 draws. The most recent ended Lanus 5-0 Newells Old Boys (Mar 17, 2026). In double chance terms, "Newells Old Boys or draw" stands at 77%, "Lanus or draw" at 47% and "no draw" at 76%.
In short : Newells Old Boys are tipped by our AI model in this Newells Old Boys v Lanus (53%). In the table, Newells Old Boys (8th, 16 pts) host Lanus (7th, 16 pts). Our model's most likely scoreline: 1-1.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Newells Old Boys – Lanus. 1-1 is the single most likely scoreline (11.6%); the 5 scores below add up to 49% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Newells Old Boys 1-1 Lanus | 11.6% |
| Newells Old Boys 1-0 Lanus | 11.5% |
| Newells Old Boys 2-1 Lanus | 9.6% |
| Newells Old Boys 2-0 Lanus | 9.5% |
| Newells Old Boys 0-1 Lanus | 7.0% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
The model expects 2.67 goals in total (1.66 for Newells Old Boys, 1.01 for Lanus): over 2.5 goals has a 50% probability and both teams to score 52%. Newells Old Boys keep a clean sheet in 36% of scenarios, Lanus in 19%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Newells Old Boys expected goals | 1.66 |
| Lanus expected goals | 1.01 |
| Both teams to score | 52% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 75% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 28% |
| Newells Old Boys clean sheet | 36% |
| Lanus clean sheet | 19% |
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
Newells Old Boys
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2026 | Platense · Argentine Primera División | 1-0 | W |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Velez Sarsfield · Argentine Primera División | 1-1 | D |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Rosario Central · Argentine Primera División | 1-1 | D |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Estudiantes L.P. · Argentine Primera División | 0-0 | D |
| Aug 23, 2026 | Banfield · Argentine Primera División | 2-1 | W |
Lanus
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 14, 2026 | Deportivo Riestra · Argentine Primera División | 3-0 | W |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Defensa Y Justicia · Argentine Primera División | 1-0 | W |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Boca Juniors · Argentine Primera División | 0-1 | L |
| Aug 25, 2026 | Argentinos JRS · Argentine Primera División | 1-1 | D |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Independiente · Argentine Primera División | 1-3 | L |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Newells Old Boys | 8 | 16 | 10 |
| Lanus | 7 | 16 | 10 |
Head-to-head
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2026 | Lanus 5-0 Newells Old Boys | Argentine Primera División |
Out and doubtful
Newells Old Boys
No absences reported.
Lanus
No absences reported.
Most regular starters
Newells Old Boys
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- F. Guch4/5
- J. Reinatti4/5
- L. Giannetti4/5
- L. Regiardo4/5
- M. Ortega4/5
- W. Mazzantti4/5
- L. Carrizo3/5
- M. Coccaro3/5
- R. Herrera3/5
- F. Escobar2/5
- J. Russo2/5
Lanus
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- C. Izquierdoz5/5
- E. Salvio5/5
- F. Pena Biafore5/5
- N. Losada5/5
- S. Marcich5/5
- A. Cardozo4/5
- A. Wlk4/5
- T. Guidara4/5
- D. Aquino3/5
- F. N. Watson3/5
- J. Canale3/5
First detailed prediction free, no card required.
See the full prediction (scenario, scorers, half-time)Other matches in this competition
- Independiente – Instituto CordobaOct 2, 2026
- Independ. Rivadavia – Gimnasia L.P.Oct 3, 2026
- Defensa Y Justicia – San LorenzoOct 3, 2026
- Atletico Tucuman – Barracas CentralOct 3, 2026
- Argentinos JRS – TigreOct 3, 2026
- Huracan – AldosiviOct 4, 2026
- Sarmiento Junin – River PlateOct 4, 2026
- Talleres Cordoba – Belgrano CordobaOct 4, 2026
- Boca Juniors – Union Santa FeOct 4, 2026
- Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto – Racing ClubOct 5, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Newells Old Boys vs Lanus prediction?
Our AI gives Newells Old Boys a 53% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Lanus 23%. Newells Old Boys are therefore favourites.
What is the most likely correct score for Newells Old Boys vs Lanus?
1-1 (11.6%), followed by 1-0 (11.5%), 2-1 (9.6%), 2-0 (9.5%) and 0-1 (7.0%).
Will both teams score in Newells Old Boys vs Lanus?
The probability that both Newells Old Boys and Lanus score is 52%. Newells Old Boys have a 36% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Lanus 19%.
How many goals should we expect in Newells Old Boys vs Lanus?
The model expects 2.67 goals (1.66 for Newells Old Boys, 1.01 for Lanus). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 75%, over 2.5 goals 50%, over 3.5 goals 28%.
When and where is Newells Old Boys vs Lanus played?
Saturday, October 3, 2026 at 21:00 (UK time), Argentine Primera División. Venue: Estadio Marcelo Bielsa, Rosario.
What form are Newells Old Boys and Lanus in?
Newells Old Boys: 2 wins, 3 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches (5 scored, 3 conceded). Lanus: 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (6 scored, 5 conceded).
What is the head-to-head record between Newells Old Boys and Lanus?
In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Newells Old Boys, 1 for Lanus and 0 draws. The most recent ended Lanus 5-0 Newells Old Boys (Mar 17, 2026).
How is the Newells Old Boys vs Lanus prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.66 for Newells Old Boys, 1.01 for Lanus) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All Newells Old Boys predictions
- All Lanus predictions
- Argentine Primera División predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology