Argentine Primera División· Kick-off : Saturday, October 3, 2026, 21:00 (UK time)
Atletico Tucuman vs Barracas Central prediction: correct score and AI tips
Match analysis
Argentine Primera División: the Atletico Tucuman vs Barracas Central match is scheduled on Saturday, October 3, 2026 at 21:00 (UK time). Venue: Estadio Monumental Jose Fierro, Tucuman. Atletico Tucuman start as favourites with a 55% chance of victory; Barracas Central are given 21% and the draw 24%. On the correct score, 1-0 comes out on top (11.6%), followed by 1-1 (11.3%) and 2-0 (10.1%).
Atletico Tucuman have won just one of their last 5 matches (2 draws, 2 defeats), scoring 4 and conceding 5. Barracas Central have not won any of their last 5 matches (3 draws, 2 defeats), scoring 2 and conceding 5. Both sides come in with similar form. On average Atletico Tucuman score 0.80 and concede 1.00 goals per game; Barracas Central score 0.40 and concede 1.00. In the table, Atletico Tucuman sit 9th with 13 points from 10 games, Barracas Central 11th with 12 points from 10. The two teams are close in the standings.
In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 2 wins for Atletico Tucuman, 2 for Barracas Central and 1 draw. The most recent ended Barracas Central 2-1 Atletico Tucuman (Mar 16, 2026). In double chance terms, "Atletico Tucuman or draw" stands at 79%, "Barracas Central or draw" at 45% and "no draw" at 76%.
In short : Our model backs Atletico Tucuman to edge Barracas Central (55% probability). On recent form, Atletico Tucuman have 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses in 5 while Barracas Central have 0 win, 3 draws and 2 losses in 5. Both teams could find the net (BTTS at 51%).
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Atletico Tucuman – Barracas Central. 1-0 is the single most likely scoreline (11.6%); the 5 scores below add up to 50% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Atletico Tucuman 1-0 Barracas Central | 11.6% |
| Atletico Tucuman 1-1 Barracas Central | 11.3% |
| Atletico Tucuman 2-0 Barracas Central | 10.1% |
| Atletico Tucuman 2-1 Barracas Central | 9.8% |
| Atletico Tucuman 0-0 Barracas Central | 6.7% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
With 1.73 expected goals for Atletico Tucuman and 0.97 for Barracas Central, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 51% and "both teams to score" at 51%. Atletico Tucuman keep a clean sheet in 38% of scenarios, Barracas Central in 18%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Atletico Tucuman expected goals | 1.73 |
| Barracas Central expected goals | 0.97 |
| Both teams to score | 51% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 75% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 51% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 29% |
| Atletico Tucuman clean sheet | 38% |
| Barracas Central clean sheet | 18% |
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
Atletico Tucuman
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 21, 2026 | Aldosivi · Argentine Primera División | 0-1 | L |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Independ. Rivadavia · Copa Argentina | 1-1 | D |
| Sep 12, 2026 | River Plate · Argentine Primera División | 1-2 | L |
| Sep 7, 2026 | Racing Club · Argentine Primera División | 2-1 | W |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Belgrano Cordoba · Argentine Primera División | 0-0 | D |
Barracas Central
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 21, 2026 | Independ. Rivadavia · Argentine Primera División | 0-1 | L |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Banfield · Argentine Primera División | 1-1 | D |
| Sep 7, 2026 | Argentinos JRS · Argentine Primera División | 0-0 | D |
| Sep 1, 2026 | Tigre · Argentine Primera División | 0-0 | D |
| Aug 27, 2026 | Estudiantes L.P. · Copa Argentina | 1-3 | L |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Atletico Tucuman | 9 | 13 | 10 |
| Barracas Central | 11 | 12 | 10 |
Head-to-head
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2026 | Barracas Central 2-1 Atletico Tucuman | Argentine Primera División |
| Jul 29, 2024 | Barracas Central 0-2 Atletico Tucuman | Argentine Primera División |
| Feb 12, 2024 | Barracas Central 2-0 Atletico Tucuman | Copa de la Liga Profesional |
| Sep 16, 2023 | Atletico Tucuman 1-0 Barracas Central | Copa de la Liga Profesional |
| Mar 19, 2023 | Atletico Tucuman 1-1 Barracas Central | Argentine Primera División |
Out and doubtful
Atletico Tucuman
No absences reported.
Barracas Central
No absences reported.
Most regular starters
Atletico Tucuman
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- L. Godoy5/5
- L. Ingolotti5/5
- L. Vega5/5
- R. Tesuri5/5
- C. D. Ferreira Namandu4/5
- I. Galvan4/5
- L. Di Placido4/5
- L. Diaz4/5
- L. Vallejo4/5
- N. Franco4/5
- N. Lamendola4/5
Barracas Central
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- D. Miloc5/5
- I. Tapia5/5
- N. Briasco5/5
- N. Demartini5/5
- Y. Rak5/5
- D. Martinez4/5
- E. Pereyra4/5
- K. Jappert4/5
- M. Mino4/5
- T. Porra4/5
- F. Bruera2/5
First detailed prediction free, no card required.
See the full prediction (scenario, scorers, half-time)Other matches in this competition
- Independiente – Instituto CordobaOct 2, 2026
- Independ. Rivadavia – Gimnasia L.P.Oct 3, 2026
- Defensa Y Justicia – San LorenzoOct 3, 2026
- Newells Old Boys – LanusOct 3, 2026
- Argentinos JRS – TigreOct 3, 2026
- Huracan – AldosiviOct 4, 2026
- Sarmiento Junin – River PlateOct 4, 2026
- Talleres Cordoba – Belgrano CordobaOct 4, 2026
- Boca Juniors – Union Santa FeOct 4, 2026
- Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto – Racing ClubOct 5, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Atletico Tucuman vs Barracas Central prediction?
Our AI gives Atletico Tucuman a 55% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Barracas Central 21%. Atletico Tucuman are therefore favourites.
What is the most likely correct score for Atletico Tucuman vs Barracas Central?
1-0 (11.6%), followed by 1-1 (11.3%), 2-0 (10.1%), 2-1 (9.8%) and 0-0 (6.7%).
Will both teams score in Atletico Tucuman vs Barracas Central?
The probability that both Atletico Tucuman and Barracas Central score is 51%. Atletico Tucuman have a 38% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Barracas Central 18%.
How many goals should we expect in Atletico Tucuman vs Barracas Central?
The model expects 2.70 goals (1.73 for Atletico Tucuman, 0.97 for Barracas Central). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 75%, over 2.5 goals 51%, over 3.5 goals 29%.
When and where is Atletico Tucuman vs Barracas Central played?
Saturday, October 3, 2026 at 21:00 (UK time), Argentine Primera División. Venue: Estadio Monumental Jose Fierro, Tucuman.
What form are Atletico Tucuman and Barracas Central in?
Atletico Tucuman: 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (4 scored, 5 conceded). Barracas Central: 0 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (2 scored, 5 conceded).
What is the head-to-head record between Atletico Tucuman and Barracas Central?
In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 2 wins for Atletico Tucuman, 2 for Barracas Central and 1 draw. The most recent ended Barracas Central 2-1 Atletico Tucuman (Mar 16, 2026).
How is the Atletico Tucuman vs Barracas Central prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.73 for Atletico Tucuman, 0.97 for Barracas Central) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All Atletico Tucuman predictions
- All Barracas Central predictions
- Argentine Primera División predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology