Argentine Primera División· Kick-off : Tuesday, October 6, 2026, 01:15 (UK time)
Banfield vs Rosario Central prediction: correct score and AI tips
Match analysis
Argentine Primera División: Banfield vs Rosario Central kicks off on Tuesday, October 6, 2026 at 01:15 (UK time). Venue: Estadio Florencio Sola, Buenos Aires. The edge goes to Rosario Central (48%), ahead of the draw (25%) and a Banfield win (27%). The most likely correct score is 1-1 (12.1%), ahead of 0-1 (11.2%) and 1-2 (9.4%).
Banfield have not won any of their last 5 matches (2 draws, 3 defeats), scoring 6 and conceding 10. Over their last 5 matches, Rosario Central have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat, scoring 6 and conceding 5. Recent momentum is clearly with Rosario Central. On average Banfield score 1.20 and concede 2.00 goals per game; Rosario Central score 1.20 and concede 1.00. In the table, Banfield sit 12th with 9 points from 10 games, Rosario Central 2nd with 18 points from 10. 10 places separate the two sides.
In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Banfield, 1 for Rosario Central and 0 draws. The most recent ended Rosario Central 2-1 Banfield (Mar 15, 2026). In double chance terms, "Banfield or draw" stands at 52%, "Rosario Central or draw" at 73% and "no draw" at 75%.
In short : Our model backs Rosario Central to edge Banfield (48% probability). On recent form, Banfield have 0 win, 2 draws and 3 losses in 5 while Rosario Central have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss in 5. Both teams could find the net (BTTS at 52%).
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Banfield – Rosario Central. 1-1 is the single most likely scoreline (12.1%); the 5 scores below add up to 49% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Banfield 1-1 Rosario Central | 12.1% |
| Banfield 0-1 Rosario Central | 11.2% |
| Banfield 1-2 Rosario Central | 9.4% |
| Banfield 0-2 Rosario Central | 8.7% |
| Banfield 1-0 Rosario Central | 7.8% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
The model expects 2.63 goals in total (1.08 for Banfield, 1.55 for Rosario Central): over 2.5 goals has a 49% probability and both teams to score 52%. Banfield keep a clean sheet in 21% of scenarios, Rosario Central in 34%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Banfield expected goals | 1.08 |
| Rosario Central expected goals | 1.55 |
| Both teams to score | 52% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 74% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 49% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 27% |
| Banfield clean sheet | 21% |
| Rosario Central clean sheet | 34% |
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
Banfield
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 14, 2026 | Barracas Central · Argentine Primera División | 1-1 | D |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Deportivo Riestra · Copa Argentina | 1-1 | D |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Aldosivi · Argentine Primera División | 1-3 | L |
| Aug 30, 2026 | River Plate · Argentine Primera División | 2-3 | L |
| Aug 23, 2026 | Newells Old Boys · Argentine Primera División | 1-2 | L |
Rosario Central
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2026 | Argentinos JRS · Argentine Primera División | 1-0 | W |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Tigre · Argentine Primera División | 1-0 | W |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Newells Old Boys · Argentine Primera División | 1-1 | D |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Gimnasia L.P. · Argentine Primera División | 1-2 | L |
| Aug 25, 2026 | Talleres Cordoba · Argentine Primera División | 2-2 | D |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Banfield | 12 | 9 | 10 |
| Rosario Central | 2 | 18 | 10 |
Head-to-head
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2026 | Rosario Central 2-1 Banfield | Argentine Primera División |
Out and doubtful
Banfield
No absences reported.
Rosario Central
No absences reported.
Most regular starters
Banfield
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- A. Machado5/5
- B. Oviedo5/5
- N. Meriano5/5
- S. Lopez5/5
- T. Adoryan5/5
- D. Rodriguez4/5
- I. Abraham4/5
- S. Daniele3/5
- A. Balboa2/5
- F. Medina2/5
- L. Cano2/5
Rosario Central
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- A. Di Maria4/5
- C. Ledesma4/5
- E. Coronel4/5
- F. Ibarra4/5
- G. Avila4/5
- I. Ovando4/5
- V. Pizarro4/5
- A. Rodriguez3/5
- A. Sandez3/5
- E. Copetti3/5
- J. Campaz3/5
First detailed prediction free, no card required.
See the full prediction (scenario, scorers, half-time)Other matches in this competition
- Newells Old Boys – LanusOct 3, 2026
- Argentinos JRS – TigreOct 3, 2026
- Huracan – AldosiviOct 4, 2026
- Sarmiento Junin – River PlateOct 4, 2026
- Talleres Cordoba – Belgrano CordobaOct 4, 2026
- Boca Juniors – Union Santa FeOct 4, 2026
- Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto – Racing ClubOct 5, 2026
- Deportivo Riestra – Central Cordoba de SantiagoOct 5, 2026
- Velez Sarsfield – PlatenseOct 5, 2026
- Estudiantes L.P. – Gimnasia M.Oct 5, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Banfield vs Rosario Central prediction?
Our AI gives Banfield a 27% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Rosario Central 48%. Rosario Central are therefore favourites.
What is the most likely correct score for Banfield vs Rosario Central?
1-1 (12.1%), followed by 0-1 (11.2%), 1-2 (9.4%), 0-2 (8.7%) and 1-0 (7.8%).
Will both teams score in Banfield vs Rosario Central?
The probability that both Banfield and Rosario Central score is 52%. Banfield have a 21% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Rosario Central 34%.
How many goals should we expect in Banfield vs Rosario Central?
The model expects 2.63 goals (1.08 for Banfield, 1.55 for Rosario Central). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 74%, over 2.5 goals 49%, over 3.5 goals 27%.
When and where is Banfield vs Rosario Central played?
Tuesday, October 6, 2026 at 01:15 (UK time), Argentine Primera División. Venue: Estadio Florencio Sola, Buenos Aires.
What form are Banfield and Rosario Central in?
Banfield: 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (6 scored, 10 conceded). Rosario Central: 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (6 scored, 5 conceded).
What is the head-to-head record between Banfield and Rosario Central?
In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Banfield, 1 for Rosario Central and 0 draws. The most recent ended Rosario Central 2-1 Banfield (Mar 15, 2026).
How is the Banfield vs Rosario Central prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.08 for Banfield, 1.55 for Rosario Central) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All Banfield predictions
- All Rosario Central predictions
- Argentine Primera División predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology