Argentine Primera División· Kick-off : Tuesday, October 6, 2026, 01:15 (UK time)
Banfield vs Rosario Central: 1-1 result and AI prediction review
Review: prediction vs result
Final score: Banfield 1-1 Rosario Central. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Rosario Central (50%), while a draw was rated at only 28%. The final score ranked 2nd among the most likely scorelines (12.5%), behind 0-1. On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (41%): missed; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (37%): correct.
Match analysis
Banfield vs Rosario Central was played on Tuesday, October 6, 2026 (Argentine Primera División). Venue: Estadio Florencio Sola, Buenos Aires. Before kick-off, our model gave Banfield a 22% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Rosario Central 50%. The most likely correct score is 0-1 (15.7%), ahead of 1-1 (12.5%) and 0-0 (11.5%).
Banfield have not won any of their last 5 matches (3 draws, 2 defeats), scoring 7 and conceding 10. Over their last 5 matches, Rosario Central have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat, scoring 7 and conceding 4. Recent momentum is clearly with Rosario Central. On average Banfield score 1.40 and concede 2.00 goals per game; Rosario Central score 1.40 and concede 0.80. In the table, Banfield sit 13th with 9 points from 10 games, Rosario Central 4th with 18 points from 10. 9 places separate the two sides.
In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Banfield, 1 for Rosario Central and 0 draws. The most recent ended Rosario Central 2-1 Banfield (Mar 15, 2026). In double chance terms, "Banfield or draw" stands at 50%, "Rosario Central or draw" at 78% and "no draw" at 72%.
In short : Our model backs Rosario Central to edge Banfield (50% probability). On recent form, Banfield have 0 win, 3 draws and 2 losses in 5 while Rosario Central have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss in 5. The model leans towards a tight, low-scoring game.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Banfield – Rosario Central. 0-1 is the single most likely scoreline (15.7%); the 5 scores below add up to 60% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Banfield 0-1 Rosario Central | 15.7% |
| Banfield 1-1 Rosario Central | 12.5% |
| Banfield 0-0 Rosario Central | 11.5% |
| Banfield 0-2 Rosario Central | 10.7% |
| Banfield 1-0 Rosario Central | 9.2% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
The model expects 2.16 goals in total (0.80 for Banfield, 1.36 for Rosario Central): over 2.5 goals has a 37% probability and both teams to score 41%. A tight, low-scoring game is on the cards. Banfield keep a clean sheet in 26% of scenarios, Rosario Central in 45%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Banfield expected goals | 0.80 |
| Rosario Central expected goals | 1.36 |
| Both teams to score | 41% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 64% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 37% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 17% |
| Banfield clean sheet | 26% |
| Rosario Central clean sheet | 45% |
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
Banfield
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 2026 | Gimnasia L.P. · Argentine Primera División | 2-2 | D |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Barracas Central · Argentine Primera División | 1-1 | D |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Deportivo Riestra · Copa Argentina | 1-1 | D |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Aldosivi · Argentine Primera División | 1-3 | L |
| Aug 30, 2026 | River Plate · Argentine Primera División | 2-3 | L |
Rosario Central
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 26, 2026 | Estudiantes L.P. · Super Copa International | 3-1 | W |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Argentinos JRS · Argentine Primera División | 1-0 | W |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Tigre · Argentine Primera División | 1-0 | W |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Newells Old Boys · Argentine Primera División | 1-1 | D |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Gimnasia L.P. · Argentine Primera División | 1-2 | L |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Banfield | 13 | 9 | 10 |
| Rosario Central | 4 | 18 | 10 |
Head-to-head
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2026 | Rosario Central 2-1 Banfield | Argentine Primera División |
Out and doubtful
Banfield
No absences reported.
Rosario Central
No absences reported.
Most regular starters
Banfield
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- A. Machado5/5
- B. Oviedo5/5
- D. Rodriguez5/5
- N. Meriano5/5
- I. Abraham4/5
- S. Lopez4/5
- T. Adoryan4/5
- A. Balboa3/5
- L. Gomez3/5
- S. Daniele3/5
- S. Esquivel3/5
Rosario Central
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- A. Di Maria5/5
- A. Sandez5/5
- F. Ibarra5/5
- G. Avila5/5
- I. Ovando5/5
- E. Copetti4/5
- E. Coronel4/5
- J. Campaz4/5
- V. Pizarro4/5
- A. Rodriguez3/5
- C. Ledesma3/5
Other matches in this competition
- Defensa Y Justicia 3-0 San LorenzoOct 3, 2026
- Newells Old Boys 0-0 LanusOct 3, 2026
- Atletico Tucuman 2-3 Barracas CentralOct 3, 2026
- Huracan 1-0 AldosiviOct 4, 2026
- Talleres Cordoba 0-1 Belgrano CordobaOct 4, 2026
- Argentinos JRS 2-1 TigreOct 4, 2026
- Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto 1-2 Racing ClubOct 5, 2026
- Deportivo Riestra 1-1 Central Cordoba de SantiagoOct 5, 2026
- Velez Sarsfield 2-2 PlatenseOct 5, 2026
- Estudiantes L.P. 3-0 Gimnasia M.Oct 5, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Banfield vs Rosario Central prediction?
Before the match, our AI gave Banfield a 22% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Rosario Central 50%. Rosario Central are therefore favourites. Final score: 1-1.
What is the most likely correct score for Banfield vs Rosario Central?
0-1 (15.7%), followed by 1-1 (12.5%), 0-0 (11.5%), 0-2 (10.7%) and 1-0 (9.2%).
Will both teams score in Banfield vs Rosario Central?
The probability that both Banfield and Rosario Central score is 41%. Banfield have a 26% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Rosario Central 45%.
How many goals should we expect in Banfield vs Rosario Central?
The model expects 2.16 goals (0.80 for Banfield, 1.36 for Rosario Central). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 64%, over 2.5 goals 37%, over 3.5 goals 17%.
When and where is Banfield vs Rosario Central played?
Tuesday, October 6, 2026 at 01:15 (UK time), Argentine Primera División. Venue: Estadio Florencio Sola, Buenos Aires.
What form are Banfield and Rosario Central in?
Banfield: 0 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (7 scored, 10 conceded). Rosario Central: 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (7 scored, 4 conceded).
What is the head-to-head record between Banfield and Rosario Central?
In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Banfield, 1 for Rosario Central and 0 draws. The most recent ended Rosario Central 2-1 Banfield (Mar 15, 2026).
What was the Banfield vs Rosario Central result, and was the prediction right?
Final score: Banfield 1-1 Rosario Central. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Rosario Central (50%), while a draw was rated at only 28%. The final score ranked 2nd among the most likely scorelines (12.5%), behind 0-1. On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (41%): missed; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (37%): correct.
How is the Banfield vs Rosario Central prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (0.80 for Banfield, 1.36 for Rosario Central) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All Banfield predictions
- All Rosario Central predictions
- Argentine Primera División predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology