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Argentine Primera DivisiónArgentine Primera División· Kick-off : Sunday, November 8, 2026, 01:00 (UK time)

Instituto Cordoba vs Newells Old Boys: 2-2 result and AI prediction review

Instituto CordobaInstituto Cordoba2 – 2Newells Old BoysNewells Old Boys

Review: prediction vs result

1X2 outcome missedExact score missedMost likely score before kick-off : 1-0

Final score: Instituto Cordoba 2-2 Newells Old Boys. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Instituto Cordoba (55%), while a draw was rated at only 25%. The final score ranked 10th among the most likely scorelines (4.2%), behind 1-0. On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (47%): missed; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (46%): missed.

Match analysis

Instituto Cordoba and Newells Old Boys met on Sunday, November 8, 2026, a Argentine Primera División fixture. Venue: Estadio Presidente Peron, Avellaneda. Before kick-off, our model gave Instituto Cordoba a 55% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Newells Old Boys 20%. On the correct score, 1-0 comes out on top (13.2%), followed by 1-1 (11.6%) and 2-0 (10.8%).

Instituto Cordoba are unbeaten in their last 5 matches (3 wins, 2 draws), scoring 11 and conceding 6. Newells Old Boys have won just one of their last 5 matches (3 draws, 1 defeat), scoring 3 and conceding 3. Instituto Cordoba therefore arrive in far better shape than Newells Old Boys. On average Instituto Cordoba score 2.20 and concede 1.20 goals per game; Newells Old Boys score 0.60 and concede 0.60. In the table, Instituto Cordoba sit 1st with 33 points from 15 games, Newells Old Boys 7th with 22 points from 15. 6 places separate the two sides. Over their recent games, Instituto Cordoba have averaged 1.14 xG (expected goals) per match, against 1.27 for Newells Old Boys.

In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Instituto Cordoba, 0 for Newells Old Boys and 1 draw. The most recent ended Newells Old Boys 1-1 Instituto Cordoba (Apr 26, 2026). In double chance terms, "Instituto Cordoba or draw" stands at 80%, "Newells Old Boys or draw" at 45% and "no draw" at 75%.

In short : Instituto Cordoba are favourites for this Instituto Cordoba v Newells Old Boys, with a 55% win probability from our model. On recent form, Instituto Cordoba have 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses in 5 while Newells Old Boys have 1 win, 3 draws and 1 loss in 5. Our model's most likely scoreline: 1-0.

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

55%
Instituto Cordoba (Win)
25%
Draw
20%
Newells Old Boys (Win)

Double chance

80%
Instituto Cordoba or draw
45%
Newells Old Boys or draw
75%
No draw

Most likely correct scores

Scores shown as Instituto Cordoba – Newells Old Boys. 1-0 is the single most likely scoreline (13.2%); the 5 scores below add up to 53% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.

ScoreProbability
Instituto Cordoba 1-0 Newells Old Boys13.2%
Instituto Cordoba 1-1 Newells Old Boys11.6%
Instituto Cordoba 2-0 Newells Old Boys10.8%
Instituto Cordoba 2-1 Newells Old Boys9.5%
Instituto Cordoba 0-0 Newells Old Boys8.0%

Goals: both teams to score, over/under

With 1.64 expected goals for Instituto Cordoba and 0.88 for Newells Old Boys, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 46% and "both teams to score" at 47%. Instituto Cordoba keep a clean sheet in 42% of scenarios, Newells Old Boys in 19%.

Probability
Instituto Cordoba expected goals1.64
Newells Old Boys expected goals0.88
Both teams to score47%
Over 1.5 goals72%
Over 2.5 goals46%
Over 3.5 goals25%
Instituto Cordoba clean sheet42%
Newells Old Boys clean sheet19%

Recent form

Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.

Instituto Cordoba

DateOpponentScore
Nov 1, 2026Estudiantes L.P. · Argentine Primera División3-3D
Oct 27, 2026Deportivo Riestra · Argentine Primera División1-0W
Oct 16, 2026Defensa Y Justicia · Argentine Primera División1-0W
Oct 9, 2026Boca Juniors · Argentine Primera División2-2D
Oct 2, 2026Independiente · Argentine Primera División4-1W

Newells Old Boys

DateOpponentScore
Nov 1, 2026Union Santa Fe · Argentine Primera División1-1D
Oct 24, 2026San Lorenzo · Argentine Primera División0-0D
Oct 19, 2026Central Cordoba de Santiago · Argentine Primera División2-1W
Oct 12, 2026Gimnasia M. · Argentine Primera División0-1L
Oct 3, 2026Lanus · Argentine Primera División0-0D

Standings before the match

Pos.PointsPlayed
Instituto Cordoba13315
Newells Old Boys72215

Head-to-head

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 26, 2026Newells Old Boys 1-1 Instituto CordobaArgentine Primera División

Out and doubtful

Instituto Cordoba

No absences reported.

Newells Old Boys

No absences reported.

Most regular starters

Instituto Cordoba

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

  • A. Luna5/5
  • D. Sosa5/5
  • L. Mosevich5/5
  • M. Gallardo5/5
  • M. Ledesma5/5
  • M. Tissera4/5
  • G. Abregu3/5
  • G. Cerato3/5
  • J. Galvan3/5
  • J. Lazaro3/5
  • F. Alarcón2/5

Newells Old Boys

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

  • J. Reinatti5/5
  • L. Carrizo5/5
  • M. Ortega5/5
  • S. Solari5/5
  • W. Mazzantti5/5
  • F. Guch4/5
  • L. Regiardo4/5
  • M. Coccaro4/5
  • B. Cabrera3/5
  • J. Russo3/5
  • R. Herrera3/5

Other matches in this competition

Frequently asked questions

What is the Instituto Cordoba vs Newells Old Boys prediction?

Before the match, our AI gave Instituto Cordoba a 55% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Newells Old Boys 20%. Instituto Cordoba are therefore favourites. Final score: 2-2.

What is the most likely correct score for Instituto Cordoba vs Newells Old Boys?

1-0 (13.2%), followed by 1-1 (11.6%), 2-0 (10.8%), 2-1 (9.5%) and 0-0 (8.0%).

Will both teams score in Instituto Cordoba vs Newells Old Boys?

The probability that both Instituto Cordoba and Newells Old Boys score is 47%. Instituto Cordoba have a 42% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Newells Old Boys 19%.

How many goals should we expect in Instituto Cordoba vs Newells Old Boys?

The model expects 2.52 goals (1.64 for Instituto Cordoba, 0.88 for Newells Old Boys). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 72%, over 2.5 goals 46%, over 3.5 goals 25%.

When and where is Instituto Cordoba vs Newells Old Boys played?

Sunday, November 8, 2026 at 01:00 (UK time), Argentine Primera División. Venue: Estadio Presidente Peron, Avellaneda.

What form are Instituto Cordoba and Newells Old Boys in?

Instituto Cordoba: 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches (11 scored, 6 conceded). Newells Old Boys: 1 win, 3 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (3 scored, 3 conceded).

What is the head-to-head record between Instituto Cordoba and Newells Old Boys?

In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Instituto Cordoba, 0 for Newells Old Boys and 1 draw. The most recent ended Newells Old Boys 1-1 Instituto Cordoba (Apr 26, 2026).

What was the Instituto Cordoba vs Newells Old Boys result, and was the prediction right?

Final score: Instituto Cordoba 2-2 Newells Old Boys. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Instituto Cordoba (55%), while a draw was rated at only 25%. The final score ranked 10th among the most likely scorelines (4.2%), behind 1-0. On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (47%): missed; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (46%): missed.

How is the Instituto Cordoba vs Newells Old Boys prediction calculated?

The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.64 for Instituto Cordoba, 0.88 for Newells Old Boys) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.

Go further

Key terms explained