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Argentine Primera DivisiónArgentine Primera División· Kick-off : Saturday, November 7, 2026, 20:30 (UK time)

Boca Juniors vs Defensa Y Justicia: 1-0 result and AI prediction review

Boca JuniorsBoca Juniors1 – 0Defensa Y JusticiaDefensa Y Justicia

Review: prediction vs result

1X2 outcome correctExact score missedMost likely score before kick-off : 1-1

Final score: Boca Juniors 1-0 Defensa Y Justicia. The AI called the outcome correctly: it rated victory for Boca Juniors at 43%. The final score ranked 2nd among the most likely scorelines (10.5%), behind 1-1. On goals, the model expected both teams to score (53%): missed; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (48%): correct.

Match analysis

Boca Juniors and Defensa Y Justicia met on Saturday, November 7, 2026, a Argentine Primera División fixture. Venue: Alberto J. Armando, Buenos Aires. Before kick-off, our model gave Boca Juniors a 43% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Defensa Y Justicia 31%. On the correct score, 1-1 comes out on top (12.4%), followed by 1-0 (10.5%) and 2-1 (8.8%).

Over their last 5 matches, Boca Juniors have 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat, scoring 7 and conceding 3. Over their last 5 matches, Defensa Y Justicia have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat, scoring 8 and conceding 3. Both sides come in with similar form. On average Boca Juniors score 1.40 and concede 0.60 goals per game; Defensa Y Justicia score 1.60 and concede 0.60. In the table, Boca Juniors sit 2nd with 30 points from 15 games, Defensa Y Justicia 4th with 28 points from 15. The two teams are close in the standings. Over their recent games, Boca Juniors have averaged 1.20 xG (expected goals) per match, against 1.39 for Defensa Y Justicia.

In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 2 wins for Boca Juniors, 1 for Defensa Y Justicia and 2 draws. The most recent ended Defensa Y Justicia 0-4 Boca Juniors (Apr 24, 2026). In double chance terms, "Boca Juniors or draw" stands at 69%, "Defensa Y Justicia or draw" at 57% and "no draw" at 74%.

In short : Boca Juniors are tipped by our AI model in this Boca Juniors v Defensa Y Justicia (43%). On recent form, Boca Juniors are in good shape (4 wins in 5) while Defensa Y Justicia have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss in 5. Our model's most likely scoreline: 1-1.

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

43%
Boca Juniors (Win)
26%
Draw
31%
Defensa Y Justicia (Win)

Double chance

69%
Boca Juniors or draw
57%
Defensa Y Justicia or draw
74%
No draw

Most likely correct scores

Scores shown as Boca Juniors – Defensa Y Justicia. 1-1 is the single most likely scoreline (12.4%); the 5 scores below add up to 48% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.

ScoreProbability
Boca Juniors 1-1 Defensa Y Justicia12.4%
Boca Juniors 1-0 Defensa Y Justicia10.5%
Boca Juniors 2-1 Defensa Y Justicia8.8%
Boca Juniors 0-1 Defensa Y Justicia8.8%
Boca Juniors 2-0 Defensa Y Justicia7.5%

Goals: both teams to score, over/under

With 1.42 expected goals for Boca Juniors and 1.18 for Defensa Y Justicia, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 48% and "both teams to score" at 53%. Boca Juniors keep a clean sheet in 31% of scenarios, Defensa Y Justicia in 24%.

Probability
Boca Juniors expected goals1.42
Defensa Y Justicia expected goals1.18
Both teams to score53%
Over 1.5 goals73%
Over 2.5 goals48%
Over 3.5 goals26%
Boca Juniors clean sheet31%
Defensa Y Justicia clean sheet24%

Recent form

Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.

Boca Juniors

DateOpponentScore
Nov 1, 2026River Plate · Argentine Primera División1-0W
Oct 25, 2026Independiente · Argentine Primera División1-0W
Oct 21, 2026Vasco DA Gama · CONMEBOL Sudamericana3-1W
Oct 17, 2026Talleres Cordoba · Argentine Primera División2-1W
Oct 14, 2026Vasco DA Gama · CONMEBOL Sudamericana0-1L

Defensa Y Justicia

DateOpponentScore
Nov 2, 2026Independiente · Argentine Primera División1-1D
Oct 24, 2026Talleres Cordoba · Argentine Primera División2-1W
Oct 16, 2026Instituto Cordoba · Argentine Primera División0-1L
Oct 10, 2026Union Santa Fe · Argentine Primera División2-0W
Oct 3, 2026San Lorenzo · Argentine Primera División3-0W

Standings before the match

Pos.PointsPlayed
Boca Juniors23015
Defensa Y Justicia42815

Head-to-head

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 24, 2026Defensa Y Justicia 0-4 Boca JuniorsArgentine Primera División
Sep 27, 2025Defensa Y Justicia 2-1 Boca JuniorsArgentine Primera División
Mar 16, 2025Boca Juniors 4-0 Defensa Y JusticiaArgentine Primera División
Jul 22, 2024Defensa Y Justicia 2-2 Boca JuniorsArgentine Primera División
Feb 10, 2024Boca Juniors 0-0 Defensa Y JusticiaCopa de la Liga Profesional

Out and doubtful

Boca Juniors

No absences reported.

Defensa Y Justicia

No absences reported.

Most regular starters

Boca Juniors

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

  • L. Di Lollo5/5
  • L. Flores5/5
  • L. Lozano5/5
  • M. Delgado5/5
  • F. Herrera4/5
  • L. Blanco4/5
  • Á. Montero3/5
  • S. Ascacíbar3/5
  • A. Montero2/5
  • L. Paredes2/5
  • M. Merentiel2/5

Defensa Y Justicia

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

  • D. Barbona5/5
  • J. Lucco5/5
  • M. Borgogno5/5
  • V. Loza5/5
  • D. Fernandez4/5
  • D. Martinez4/5
  • J. Gutierrez4/5
  • L. Fernandez4/5
  • S. Sosa4/5
  • C. Perez3/5
  • D. Dominguez3/5

Other matches in this competition

Frequently asked questions

What is the Boca Juniors vs Defensa Y Justicia prediction?

Before the match, our AI gave Boca Juniors a 43% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Defensa Y Justicia 31%. Boca Juniors are therefore slight favourites. Final score: 1-0.

What is the most likely correct score for Boca Juniors vs Defensa Y Justicia?

1-1 (12.4%), followed by 1-0 (10.5%), 2-1 (8.8%), 0-1 (8.8%) and 2-0 (7.5%).

Will both teams score in Boca Juniors vs Defensa Y Justicia?

The probability that both Boca Juniors and Defensa Y Justicia score is 53%. Boca Juniors have a 31% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Defensa Y Justicia 24%.

How many goals should we expect in Boca Juniors vs Defensa Y Justicia?

The model expects 2.60 goals (1.42 for Boca Juniors, 1.18 for Defensa Y Justicia). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 73%, over 2.5 goals 48%, over 3.5 goals 26%.

When and where is Boca Juniors vs Defensa Y Justicia played?

Saturday, November 7, 2026 at 20:30 (UK time), Argentine Primera División. Venue: Alberto J. Armando, Buenos Aires.

What form are Boca Juniors and Defensa Y Justicia in?

Boca Juniors: 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (7 scored, 3 conceded). Defensa Y Justicia: 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (8 scored, 3 conceded).

What is the head-to-head record between Boca Juniors and Defensa Y Justicia?

In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 2 wins for Boca Juniors, 1 for Defensa Y Justicia and 2 draws. The most recent ended Defensa Y Justicia 0-4 Boca Juniors (Apr 24, 2026).

What was the Boca Juniors vs Defensa Y Justicia result, and was the prediction right?

Final score: Boca Juniors 1-0 Defensa Y Justicia. The AI called the outcome correctly: it rated victory for Boca Juniors at 43%. The final score ranked 2nd among the most likely scorelines (10.5%), behind 1-1. On goals, the model expected both teams to score (53%): missed; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (48%): correct.

How is the Boca Juniors vs Defensa Y Justicia prediction calculated?

The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.42 for Boca Juniors, 1.18 for Defensa Y Justicia) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.

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Key terms explained