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Argentine Primera DivisiónArgentine Primera División· Kick-off : Saturday, November 7, 2026, 20:30 (UK time)

Rosario Central vs Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto: 2-0 result and AI prediction review

Review: prediction vs result

1X2 outcome correctExact score missedMost likely score before kick-off : 3-0

Final score: Rosario Central 2-0 Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto. The 1X2 prediction came good: victory for Rosario Central was the model's favourite outcome (93%). The final score ranked 4th among the most likely scorelines (8.7%), behind 3-0. On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (42%): correct; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (83%): missed.

Match analysis

Rosario Central vs Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto was played on Saturday, November 7, 2026 (Argentine Primera División). Venue: Estadio Dr. Lisandro de la Torre, Rosario. Before kick-off, our model gave Rosario Central a 93% chance of winning, the draw 5% and Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto 2%. The most likely correct score is 3-0 (11.4%), ahead of 4-0 (11.2%) and 5-0 (8.8%).

Rosario Central are unbeaten in their last 5 matches (4 wins, 1 draw), scoring 13 and conceding 4. Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto have won just one of their last 5 matches (0 draws, 4 defeats), scoring 5 and conceding 8. Recent momentum is clearly with Rosario Central. On average Rosario Central score 2.60 and concede 0.80 goals per game; Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto score 1.00 and concede 1.60. In the table, Rosario Central sit 1st with 31 points from 15 games, Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto 15th with 9 points from 15. 14 places separate the two sides. Over their recent games, Rosario Central have averaged 1.94 xG (expected goals) per match, against 1.14 for Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto.

In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Rosario Central, 0 for Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto and 0 draws. The most recent ended Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto 1-2 Rosario Central (Apr 24, 2026). In double chance terms, "Rosario Central or draw" stands at 98%, "Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto or draw" at 7% and "no draw" at 95%.

In short : Our model backs Rosario Central to edge Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto (93% probability). On recent form, Rosario Central are in good shape (4 wins in 5) while Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto are struggling (4 losses in 5). The model expects goals (over 2.5 at 83%).

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

93%
Rosario Central (Win)
5%
Draw
2%
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto (Win)

Double chance

98%
Rosario Central or draw
7%
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto or draw
95%
No draw

Most likely correct scores

Scores shown as Rosario Central – Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto. 3-0 is the single most likely scoreline (11.4%); the 5 scores below add up to 47% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.

ScoreProbability
Rosario Central 3-0 Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto11.4%
Rosario Central 4-0 Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto11.2%
Rosario Central 5-0 Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto8.8%
Rosario Central 2-0 Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto8.7%
Rosario Central 3-1 Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto6.4%

Goals: both teams to score, over/under

The model expects 4.49 goals in total (3.93 for Rosario Central, 0.56 for Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto): over 2.5 goals has a 83% probability and both teams to score 42%. Everything points to an open game. Rosario Central keep a clean sheet in 57% of scenarios, Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto in 2%.

Probability
Rosario Central expected goals3.93
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto expected goals0.56
Both teams to score42%
Over 1.5 goals94%
Over 2.5 goals83%
Over 3.5 goals66%
Rosario Central clean sheet57%
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto clean sheet2%

Recent form

Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.

Rosario Central

DateOpponentScore
Oct 31, 2026Sarmiento Junin · Argentine Primera División2-1W
Oct 25, 2026Huracan · Argentine Primera División2-0W
Oct 18, 2026Atletico Tucuman · Argentine Primera División3-2W
Oct 11, 2026Independ. Rivadavia · Argentine Primera División5-0W
Oct 6, 2026Banfield · Argentine Primera División1-1D

Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto

DateOpponentScore
Oct 30, 2026Gimnasia L.P. · Argentine Primera División1-2L
Oct 26, 2026Barracas Central · Argentine Primera División1-2L
Oct 18, 2026Aldosivi · Argentine Primera División2-1W
Oct 11, 2026River Plate · Argentine Primera División0-1L
Oct 5, 2026Racing Club · Argentine Primera División1-2L

Standings before the match

Pos.PointsPlayed
Rosario Central13115
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto15915

Head-to-head

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 24, 2026Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto 1-2 Rosario CentralArgentine Primera División

Out and doubtful

Rosario Central

No absences reported.

Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto

No absences reported.

Most regular starters

Rosario Central

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

  • E. Copetti5/5
  • E. Coronel5/5
  • A. Di Maria4/5
  • A. Sandez4/5
  • C. Ledesma4/5
  • G. Avila4/5
  • I. Ovando4/5
  • J. Campaz4/5
  • V. Pizarro4/5
  • F. Ibarra3/5
  • A. Rodriguez2/5

Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

  • A. Cabrera5/5
  • I. Hesar5/5
  • J. Antonini5/5
  • G. Alanis4/5
  • G. Maffini4/5
  • L. Herrera4/5
  • S. Ojeda4/5
  • T. Gonzalez4/5
  • A. Quiroga3/5
  • F. Rodriguez3/5
  • M. Valiente3/5

Other matches in this competition

Frequently asked questions

What is the Rosario Central vs Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto prediction?

Before the match, our AI gave Rosario Central a 93% chance of winning, the draw 5% and Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto 2%. Rosario Central are therefore favourites. Final score: 2-0.

What is the most likely correct score for Rosario Central vs Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto?

3-0 (11.4%), followed by 4-0 (11.2%), 5-0 (8.8%), 2-0 (8.7%) and 3-1 (6.4%).

Will both teams score in Rosario Central vs Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto?

The probability that both Rosario Central and Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto score is 42%. Rosario Central have a 57% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto 2%.

How many goals should we expect in Rosario Central vs Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto?

The model expects 4.49 goals (3.93 for Rosario Central, 0.56 for Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 94%, over 2.5 goals 83%, over 3.5 goals 66%.

When and where is Rosario Central vs Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto played?

Saturday, November 7, 2026 at 20:30 (UK time), Argentine Primera División. Venue: Estadio Dr. Lisandro de la Torre, Rosario.

What form are Rosario Central and Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto in?

Rosario Central: 4 wins, 1 draw and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches (13 scored, 4 conceded). Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto: 1 win, 0 draws and 4 defeats in their last 5 matches (5 scored, 8 conceded).

What is the head-to-head record between Rosario Central and Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto?

In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Rosario Central, 0 for Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto and 0 draws. The most recent ended Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto 1-2 Rosario Central (Apr 24, 2026).

What was the Rosario Central vs Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto result, and was the prediction right?

Final score: Rosario Central 2-0 Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto. The 1X2 prediction came good: victory for Rosario Central was the model's favourite outcome (93%). The final score ranked 4th among the most likely scorelines (8.7%), behind 3-0. On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (42%): correct; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (83%): missed.

How is the Rosario Central vs Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto prediction calculated?

The model estimates each team's expected goals (3.93 for Rosario Central, 0.56 for Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.

Go further

Key terms explained