Ligue 2· Kick-off : Friday, October 16, 2026, 19:00 (UK time)
Grenoble vs Boulogne: 0-2 result and AI prediction review
Review: prediction vs result
Final score: Grenoble 0-2 Boulogne. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Grenoble (35%), while victory for Boulogne was rated at only 34%. The final score ranked 7th among the most likely scorelines (6.6%), behind 0-0. On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (40%): correct; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (32%): correct.
Match analysis
Grenoble vs Boulogne was played on Friday, October 16, 2026 (Ligue 2, matchday 9). Venue: Stade des Alpes, Grenoble. Before kick-off, our model gave Grenoble a 35% chance of winning, the draw 31% and Boulogne 34%. The most likely correct score is 0-0 (13.8%), ahead of 1-0 (13.8%) and 0-1 (13.5%).
Grenoble have won just one of their last 5 matches (2 draws, 2 defeats), scoring 3 and conceding 5. Boulogne have not won any of their last 5 matches (3 draws, 2 defeats), scoring 4 and conceding 10. On recent form, there is little to separate the two teams. On average Grenoble score 0.60 and concede 1.00 goals per game; Boulogne score 0.80 and concede 2.00. In the table, Grenoble sit 14th with 8 points from 8 games, Boulogne 16th with 6 points from 8. The two teams are close in the standings.
In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Grenoble, 3 for Boulogne and 1 draw. The most recent ended Grenoble 0-0 Boulogne (Feb 27, 2026). In double chance terms, "Grenoble or draw" stands at 66%, "Boulogne or draw" at 65% and "no draw" at 69%.
In short : Grenoble host Boulogne in a tight contest where a draw stays on the table (31%). On recent form, Grenoble have 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses in 5 while Boulogne have 0 win, 3 draws and 2 losses in 5. Our model's most likely scoreline: 0-0.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Grenoble – Boulogne. 0-0 is the single most likely scoreline (13.8%); the 5 scores below add up to 62% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Grenoble 0-0 Boulogne | 13.8% |
| Grenoble 1-0 Boulogne | 13.8% |
| Grenoble 0-1 Boulogne | 13.5% |
| Grenoble 1-1 Boulogne | 13.5% |
| Grenoble 2-0 Boulogne | 6.9% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
The model expects 1.98 goals in total (1.00 for Grenoble, 0.98 for Boulogne): over 2.5 goals has a 32% probability and both teams to score 40%. A tight, low-scoring game is on the cards. Grenoble keep a clean sheet in 38% of scenarios, Boulogne in 37%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Grenoble expected goals | 1.00 |
| Boulogne expected goals | 0.98 |
| Both teams to score | 40% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 59% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 32% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 14% |
| Grenoble clean sheet | 38% |
| Boulogne clean sheet | 37% |
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
Grenoble
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | Montpellier · Ligue 2 | 0-2 | L |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Stade Lausanne-Ouchy · Club Friendlies | 0-0 | D |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Clermont Foot · Ligue 2 | 1-1 | D |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Rodez · Ligue 2 | 1-0 | W |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Annecy · Ligue 2 | 1-2 | L |
Boulogne
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | Sochaux · Ligue 2 | 1-1 | D |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Le Havre · Club Friendlies | 1-6 | L |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Nantes · Ligue 2 | 1-2 | L |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Clermont Foot · Ligue 2 | 0-0 | D |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Dijon · Ligue 2 | 1-1 | D |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Grenoble | 14 | 8 | 8 |
| Boulogne | 16 | 6 | 8 |
Head-to-head
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2026 | Grenoble 0-0 Boulogne | Ligue 2 |
| Nov 21, 2025 | Boulogne 3-1 Grenoble | Ligue 2 |
| Jan 19, 2018 | Grenoble 1-2 Boulogne | Ligue 3 |
| Aug 18, 2017 | Boulogne 0-1 Grenoble | Ligue 3 |
| Jan 21, 2015 | Boulogne 1-0 Grenoble | Coupe de France |
Out and doubtful
Grenoble
No absences reported.
Boulogne
No absences reported.
Most regular starters
Grenoble
Starts over the last 4 matches (official line-ups).
- A. Olliero4/4
- A. Pelon4/4
- B. Mouazan4/4
- C. Vidal4/4
- M. Xantippe4/4
- N. Zahui4/4
- S. Diba4/4
- Y. Magnin4/4
- J. Akpa Akpro3/4
- L. Bernadou3/4
- U. Bonnet3/4
Boulogne
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- D. Thiam5/5
- A. Hbouch4/5
- A. Kerriou4/5
- B. Besic4/5
- B. Noukeu4/5
- J. Martin4/5
- T. Epailly4/5
- A. Pinot3/5
- J. Boyer3/5
- J. Bultel3/5
- N. Binet3/5
Other matches in this competition
- Dijon 4-2 MetzOct 12, 2026
- Laval 3-3 Clermont FootOct 16, 2026
- Annecy 1-2 NancyOct 16, 2026
- Guingamp 1-2 PAUOct 16, 2026
- Reims 4-2 DijonOct 16, 2026
- Nantes – DunkerqueOct 17, 2026
- Metz – SochauxOct 17, 2026
- RED Star FC 93 – Saint EtienneOct 17, 2026
- Rodez – MontpellierOct 19, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Grenoble vs Boulogne prediction?
Before the match, our AI gave Grenoble a 35% chance of winning, the draw 31% and Boulogne 34%. Grenoble are therefore slight favourites. Final score: 0-2.
What is the most likely correct score for Grenoble vs Boulogne?
0-0 (13.8%), followed by 1-0 (13.8%), 0-1 (13.5%), 1-1 (13.5%) and 2-0 (6.9%).
Will both teams score in Grenoble vs Boulogne?
The probability that both Grenoble and Boulogne score is 40%. Grenoble have a 38% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Boulogne 37%.
How many goals should we expect in Grenoble vs Boulogne?
The model expects 1.98 goals (1.00 for Grenoble, 0.98 for Boulogne). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 59%, over 2.5 goals 32%, over 3.5 goals 14%.
When and where is Grenoble vs Boulogne played?
Friday, October 16, 2026 at 19:00 (UK time), Ligue 2, matchday 9. Venue: Stade des Alpes, Grenoble.
What form are Grenoble and Boulogne in?
Grenoble: 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (3 scored, 5 conceded). Boulogne: 0 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (4 scored, 10 conceded).
What is the head-to-head record between Grenoble and Boulogne?
In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Grenoble, 3 for Boulogne and 1 draw. The most recent ended Grenoble 0-0 Boulogne (Feb 27, 2026).
What was the Grenoble vs Boulogne result, and was the prediction right?
Final score: Grenoble 0-2 Boulogne. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Grenoble (35%), while victory for Boulogne was rated at only 34%. The final score ranked 7th among the most likely scorelines (6.6%), behind 0-0. On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (40%): correct; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (32%): correct.
How is the Grenoble vs Boulogne prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.00 for Grenoble, 0.98 for Boulogne) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All Grenoble predictions
- All Boulogne predictions
- Ligue 2 predictions
- Boulogne cards
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology