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UEFA Nations LeagueUEFA Nations League· Kick-off : Thursday, November 12, 2026, 19:45 (UK time)

Albania vs Finland prediction: correct score and AI tips

AlbaniaAlbania–FinlandFinland

Match analysis

UEFA Nations League: Albania vs Finland kicks off on Thursday, November 12, 2026 at 19:45 (UK time). The edge goes to Albania (53%), ahead of the draw (28%) and a Finland win (19%).

Over their last 5 matches, Albania have 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats, scoring 8 and conceding 4. Over their last 5 matches, Finland have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats, scoring 10 and conceding 4. On recent form, there is little to separate the two teams. On average Albania score 1.60 and concede 0.80 goals per game; Finland score 2.00 and concede 0.80. In the table, Albania sit 1st with 9 points from 4 games, Finland 3rd with 7 points from 4. The two teams are close in the standings. Over their recent games, Albania have averaged 1.94 xG (expected goals) per match, against 0.56 for Finland.

In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Albania, 1 for Finland and 0 draws. The most recent ended Finland 2-1 Albania (Oct 3, 2026). In double chance terms, "Albania or draw" stands at 81%, "Finland or draw" at 47% and "no draw" at 72%.

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

53%
Albania (Win)
28%
Draw
19%
Finland (Win)

Double chance

81%
Albania or draw
47%
Finland or draw
72%
No draw

Exact score and goal markets 🔒

The most likely exact score, the top 5 scorelines, expected goals and the both-teams-to-score and over/under probabilities are part of the full prediction. They will be published here as a review once the match is over.

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Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.

Albania

DateOpponentScore
Oct 6, 2026San Marino · UEFA Nations League2-1W
Oct 3, 2026Finland · UEFA Nations League1-2L
Sep 29, 2026San Marino · UEFA Nations League3-0W
Sep 26, 2026Belarus · UEFA Nations League2-0W
Jun 6, 2026Luxembourg · International Friendlies0-1L

Finland

DateOpponentScore
Oct 6, 2026Belarus · UEFA Nations League0-1L
Oct 3, 2026Albania · UEFA Nations League2-1W
Sep 29, 2026Belarus · UEFA Nations League0-0D
Sep 26, 2026San Marino · UEFA Nations League7-0W
Jun 5, 2026Hungary · International Friendlies1-2L

Standings before the match

Pos.PointsPlayed
Albania194
Finland374

Head-to-head

DateScoreCompetition
Oct 3, 2026Finland 2-1 AlbaniaUEFA Nations League

Out and doubtful

Albania

No absences reported.

Finland

No absences reported.

Most regular starters

Albania

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

  • Ardian Ismajli3/5
  • Berat Djimsiti3/5
  • Ernest Muçi3/5
  • Kristjan Asllani3/5
  • Rey Manaj3/5
  • A. Hoxha2/5
  • Arber Hoxha2/5
  • B. Djimsiti2/5
  • E. Hysaj2/5
  • Elseid Hysaj2/5
  • Juljan Shehu2/5

Finland

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

  • L. Walta5/5
  • A. Markhiev4/5
  • J. Pohjanpalo4/5
  • J. Lahteenmaki3/5
  • K. Kairinen3/5
  • L. Hradecky3/5
  • S. Miettinen3/5
  • T. Keskinen3/5
  • T. Miettinen3/5
  • V. Koski3/5
  • A. Stahl2/5

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See the full prediction (scenario, scorers, half-time)

Other matches in this competition

Frequently asked questions

What is the Albania vs Finland prediction?

Our AI gives Albania a 53% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Finland 19%. Albania are therefore favourites.

When and where is Albania vs Finland played?

Thursday, November 12, 2026 at 19:45 (UK time), UEFA Nations League.

What form are Albania and Finland in?

Albania: 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (8 scored, 4 conceded). Finland: 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (10 scored, 4 conceded).

What is the head-to-head record between Albania and Finland?

In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Albania, 1 for Finland and 0 draws. The most recent ended Finland 2-1 Albania (Oct 3, 2026).

Go further

Key terms explained