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UEFA Nations LeagueUEFA Nations League· Kick-off : Thursday, November 12, 2026, 19:45 (UK time)

England vs Croatia prediction: correct score and AI tips

Match analysis

England take on Croatia on Thursday, November 12, 2026 at 19:45 (UK time), a UEFA Nations League fixture. With a 92% win probability, England go in as strong favourites against Croatia (2%), with the draw rated at 6%.

Over their last 5 matches, England have 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat, scoring 20 and conceding 7. Croatia have won just one of their last 5 matches (0 draws, 4 defeats), scoring 5 and conceding 16. Recent momentum is clearly with England. On average England score 4.00 and concede 1.40 goals per game; Croatia score 1.00 and concede 3.20. In the table, England sit 2nd with 9 points from 4 games, Croatia 3rd with 3 points from 4. The two teams are close in the standings. Over their recent games, England have averaged 4.50 xG (expected goals) per match, against 1.36 for Croatia.

In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 4 wins for England, 0 for Croatia and 1 draw. The most recent ended Croatia 0-7 England (Oct 3, 2026). In double chance terms, "England or draw" stands at 98%, "Croatia or draw" at 8% and "no draw" at 94%.

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

92%
England (Win)
6%
Draw
2%
Croatia (Win)

Double chance

98%
England or draw
8%
Croatia or draw
94%
No draw

Exact score and goal markets 🔒

The most likely exact score, the top 5 scorelines, expected goals and the both-teams-to-score and over/under probabilities are part of the full prediction. They will be published here as a review once the match is over.

Recent form

Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.

England

DateOpponentScore
Oct 6, 2026Czechia · UEFA Nations League3-0W
Oct 3, 2026Croatia · UEFA Nations League7-0W
Sep 29, 2026Czechia · UEFA Nations League2-0W
Sep 26, 2026Spain · UEFA Nations League2-3L
Jul 18, 2026France · FIFA World Cup6-4W

Croatia

DateOpponentScore
Oct 6, 2026Spain · UEFA Nations League1-2L
Oct 3, 2026England · UEFA Nations League0-7L
Sep 29, 2026Spain · UEFA Nations League1-4L
Sep 26, 2026Czechia · UEFA Nations League2-1W
Jul 3, 2026Portugal · FIFA World Cup1-2L

Standings before the match

Pos.PointsPlayed
England294
Croatia334

Head-to-head

DateScoreCompetition
Oct 3, 2026Croatia 0-7 EnglandUEFA Nations League
Jun 17, 2026England 4-2 CroatiaFIFA World Cup
Jun 13, 2021England 1-0 CroatiaEuro Championship
Nov 18, 2018England 2-1 CroatiaUEFA Nations League
Oct 12, 2018Croatia 0-0 EnglandUEFA Nations League

Out and doubtful

England

No absences reported.

Croatia

No absences reported.

Most regular starters

England

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

  • B. Saka4/5
  • E. Anderson4/5
  • H. Kane4/5
  • J. Quansah4/5
  • M. Guehi4/5
  • A. Gordon3/5
  • E. Konsa3/5
  • J. Bellingham3/5
  • L. Hall3/5
  • M. Lewis-Skelly3/5
  • M. Rogers3/5

Croatia

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

  • D. Livakovic4/5
  • I. Perisic4/5
  • J. Gvardiol4/5
  • M. Kovacic4/5
  • P. Sucic4/5
  • J. Stanisic3/5
  • L. Modric3/5
  • F. Ivanovic2/5
  • J. Sutalo2/5
  • L. Vuskovic2/5
  • M. Baturina2/5

First detailed prediction free, no card required.

See the full prediction (scenario, scorers, half-time)

Other matches in this competition

Frequently asked questions

What is the England vs Croatia prediction?

Our AI gives England a 92% chance of winning, the draw 6% and Croatia 2%. England are therefore favourites.

When and where is England vs Croatia played?

Thursday, November 12, 2026 at 19:45 (UK time), UEFA Nations League.

What form are England and Croatia in?

England: 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (20 scored, 7 conceded). Croatia: 1 win, 0 draws and 4 defeats in their last 5 matches (5 scored, 16 conceded).

What is the head-to-head record between England and Croatia?

In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 4 wins for England, 0 for Croatia and 1 draw. The most recent ended Croatia 0-7 England (Oct 3, 2026).

Go further

Key terms explained