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UEFA Nations LeagueUEFA Nations League· Kick-off : Thursday, November 12, 2026, 19:45 (UK time)

Montenegro vs Latvia prediction: correct score and AI tips

MontenegroMontenegro–LatviaLatvia

Match analysis

UEFA Nations League: the Montenegro vs Latvia match is scheduled on Thursday, November 12, 2026 at 19:45 (UK time). Our model makes Montenegro clear favourites: a 89% chance of winning, against 8% for the draw and 3% for Latvia.

Montenegro are unbeaten in their last 5 matches (3 wins, 2 draws), scoring 9 and conceding 6. Latvia have not won any of their last 5 matches (1 draw, 4 defeats), scoring 2 and conceding 7. Montenegro therefore arrive in far better shape than Latvia. On average Montenegro score 1.80 and concede 1.20 goals per game; Latvia score 0.40 and concede 1.40. In the table, Montenegro sit 1st with 10 points from 4 games, Latvia 4th with 1 points from 4. The two teams are close in the standings. Over their recent games, Montenegro have averaged 1.47 xG (expected goals) per match, against 0.97 for Latvia.

In the last 4 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 2 wins for Montenegro, 0 for Latvia and 2 draws. The most recent ended Latvia 1-2 Montenegro (Oct 2, 2026). In double chance terms, "Montenegro or draw" stands at 97%, "Latvia or draw" at 11% and "no draw" at 92%.

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

89%
Montenegro (Win)
8%
Draw
3%
Latvia (Win)

Double chance

97%
Montenegro or draw
11%
Latvia or draw
92%
No draw

Exact score and goal markets 🔒

The most likely exact score, the top 5 scorelines, expected goals and the both-teams-to-score and over/under probabilities are part of the full prediction. They will be published here as a review once the match is over.

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Recent form

Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.

Montenegro

DateOpponentScore
Oct 5, 2026Armenia · UEFA Nations League0-0D
Oct 2, 2026Latvia · UEFA Nations League2-1W
Sep 28, 2026Armenia · UEFA Nations League3-2W
Sep 25, 2026Cyprus · UEFA Nations League2-1W
Jun 5, 2026Slovakia · International Friendlies2-2D

Latvia

DateOpponentScore
Oct 5, 2026Cyprus · UEFA Nations League1-2L
Oct 2, 2026Montenegro · UEFA Nations League1-2L
Sep 28, 2026Cyprus · UEFA Nations League0-0D
Sep 25, 2026Armenia · UEFA Nations League0-2L
Jun 9, 2026Faroe Islands · Baltic Cup0-1L

Standings before the match

Pos.PointsPlayed
Montenegro1104
Latvia414

Head-to-head

DateScoreCompetition
Oct 2, 2026Latvia 1-2 MontenegroUEFA Nations League
Sep 7, 2021Montenegro 0-0 LatviaWorld Cup - Qualification Europe
Mar 24, 2021Latvia 1-2 MontenegroWorld Cup - Qualification Europe
Oct 7, 2020Montenegro 1-1 LatviaInternational Friendlies

Out and doubtful

Montenegro

No absences reported.

Latvia

No absences reported.

Most regular starters

Montenegro

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

  • M. Jankovic5/5
  • M. Osmajic5/5
  • A. Bulatovic4/5
  • B. Popovic4/5
  • N. Krstovic4/5
  • I. Vujacic3/5
  • M. Roganovic3/5
  • O. Gasevic3/5
  • S. Loncar3/5
  • S. Savic3/5
  • V. Adzic3/5

Latvia

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

  • L. Vapne3/5
  • R. Jurkovskis3/5
  • A. Cernomordijs2/5
  • A. Ciganiks2/5
  • Andrejs Cigaņiks2/5
  • Antonijs Černomordijs2/5
  • D. Zelenkovs2/5
  • Deniss Melniks2/5
  • Dennis Cirkin2/5
  • Dmitrijs Zelenkovs2/5
  • Lūkass Vapne2/5

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Frequently asked questions

What is the Montenegro vs Latvia prediction?

Our AI gives Montenegro a 89% chance of winning, the draw 8% and Latvia 3%. Montenegro are therefore favourites.

When and where is Montenegro vs Latvia played?

Thursday, November 12, 2026 at 19:45 (UK time), UEFA Nations League.

What form are Montenegro and Latvia in?

Montenegro: 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches (9 scored, 6 conceded). Latvia: 0 wins, 1 draw and 4 defeats in their last 5 matches (2 scored, 7 conceded).

What is the head-to-head record between Montenegro and Latvia?

In the last 4 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 2 wins for Montenegro, 0 for Latvia and 2 draws. The most recent ended Latvia 1-2 Montenegro (Oct 2, 2026).

Go further

Key terms explained