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UEFA Nations LeagueUEFA Nations League· Kick-off : Thursday, November 12, 2026, 19:45 (UK time)

San Marino vs Belarus prediction: correct score and AI tips

San MarinoSan Marino–BelarusBelarus

Match analysis

UEFA Nations League: the San Marino vs Belarus match is scheduled on Thursday, November 12, 2026 at 19:45 (UK time). Our model makes Belarus clear favourites: a 88% chance of winning, against 9% for the draw and 3% for San Marino.

San Marino have not won any of their last 5 matches (0 draws, 5 defeats), scoring 2 and conceding 18. Over their last 5 matches, Belarus have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat, scoring 7 and conceding 4. Belarus therefore arrive in far better shape than San Marino. On average San Marino score 0.40 and concede 3.60 goals per game; Belarus score 1.40 and concede 0.80. In the table, San Marino sit 4th with 0 points from 4 games, Belarus 2nd with 7 points from 4. The two teams are close in the standings. Over their recent games, San Marino have averaged 0.78 xG (expected goals) per match, against 1.44 for Belarus.

In the last 3 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for San Marino, 3 for Belarus and 0 draws. The most recent ended Belarus 4-0 San Marino (Oct 3, 2026). In double chance terms, "San Marino or draw" stands at 12%, "Belarus or draw" at 97% and "no draw" at 91%.

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

3%
San Marino (Win)
9%
Draw
88%
Belarus (Win)

Double chance

12%
San Marino or draw
97%
Belarus or draw
91%
No draw

Exact score and goal markets 🔒

The most likely exact score, the top 5 scorelines, expected goals and the both-teams-to-score and over/under probabilities are part of the full prediction. They will be published here as a review once the match is over.

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Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.

San Marino

DateOpponentScore
Oct 6, 2026Albania · UEFA Nations League1-2L
Oct 3, 2026Belarus · UEFA Nations League0-4L
Sep 29, 2026Albania · UEFA Nations League0-3L
Sep 26, 2026Finland · UEFA Nations League0-7L
Jun 9, 2026Azerbaijan · International Friendlies1-2L

Belarus

DateOpponentScore
Oct 6, 2026Finland · UEFA Nations League1-0W
Oct 3, 2026San Marino · UEFA Nations League4-0W
Sep 29, 2026Finland · UEFA Nations League0-0D
Sep 26, 2026Albania · UEFA Nations League0-2L
Jun 9, 2026Burkina Faso · International Friendlies2-2D

Standings before the match

Pos.PointsPlayed
San Marino404
Belarus274

Head-to-head

DateScoreCompetition
Oct 3, 2026Belarus 4-0 San MarinoUEFA Nations League
Nov 18, 2018San Marino 0-2 BelarusUEFA Nations League
Sep 8, 2018Belarus 5-0 San MarinoUEFA Nations League

Out and doubtful

San Marino

No absences reported.

Belarus

No absences reported.

Most regular starters

San Marino

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

  • Edoardo Colombo3/5
  • Lorenzo Capicchioni3/5
  • Michele Cevoli3/5
  • Cristian Meloni2/5
  • Dante Rossi2/5
  • E. Colombo2/5
  • Filippo Fabbri2/5
  • L. Capicchioni2/5
  • L. Lazzari2/5
  • M. Cevoli2/5
  • M. Pasolini2/5

Belarus

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

  • M. Ebong5/5
  • Z. Volkov5/5
  • K. Pechenin4/5
  • A. Selyava3/5
  • F. Lapoukhov3/5
  • G. Barkovskiy3/5
  • K. Gomanov3/5
  • V. Gromyko3/5
  • V. Kalinin3/5
  • A. Kontsevoy2/5
  • A. Lukashov2/5

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See the full prediction (scenario, scorers, half-time)

Other matches in this competition

Frequently asked questions

What is the San Marino vs Belarus prediction?

Our AI gives San Marino a 3% chance of winning, the draw 9% and Belarus 88%. Belarus are therefore favourites.

When and where is San Marino vs Belarus played?

Thursday, November 12, 2026 at 19:45 (UK time), UEFA Nations League.

What form are San Marino and Belarus in?

San Marino: 0 wins, 0 draws and 5 defeats in their last 5 matches (2 scored, 18 conceded). Belarus: 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (7 scored, 4 conceded).

What is the head-to-head record between San Marino and Belarus?

In the last 3 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for San Marino, 3 for Belarus and 0 draws. The most recent ended Belarus 4-0 San Marino (Oct 3, 2026).

Go further

Key terms explained