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Linafoot (DR Congo)Linafoot (DR Congo)· Kick-off : Tuesday, October 20, 2026, 14:00 (UK time)

Dauphins Noirs vs Etoile de Kivu prediction: correct score and AI tips

Dauphins NoirsDauphins Noirs–Etoile de KivuEtoile de Kivu

Match analysis

Linafoot (DR Congo), matchday 1: the Dauphins Noirs vs Etoile de Kivu match is scheduled on Tuesday, October 20, 2026 at 14:00 (UK time). The edge goes to Dauphins Noirs (56%), ahead of the draw (23%) and a Etoile de Kivu win (21%). The most likely correct score is 1-0 (11.7%), ahead of 1-1 (11.2%) and 2-0 (10.2%).

Dauphins Noirs are unbeaten in their last 5 matches (3 wins, 2 draws), scoring 7 and conceding 1. Etoile de Kivu have won just one of their last 5 matches (1 draw, 3 defeats), scoring 6 and conceding 11. Recent momentum is clearly with Dauphins Noirs. On average Dauphins Noirs score 1.40 and concede 0.20 goals per game; Etoile de Kivu score 1.20 and concede 2.20.

In the last 2 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 2 wins for Dauphins Noirs, 0 for Etoile de Kivu and 0 draws. The most recent ended Dauphins Noirs 3-2 Etoile de Kivu (Jan 31, 2026). In double chance terms, "Dauphins Noirs or draw" stands at 79%, "Etoile de Kivu or draw" at 44% and "no draw" at 77%.

In short : Dauphins Noirs are tipped by our AI model in this Dauphins Noirs v Etoile de Kivu (56%). On recent form, Dauphins Noirs have 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses in 5 while Etoile de Kivu have 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses in 5. Our model's most likely scoreline: 1-0.

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

56%
Dauphins Noirs (Win)
23%
Draw
21%
Etoile de Kivu (Win)

Double chance

79%
Dauphins Noirs or draw
44%
Etoile de Kivu or draw
77%
No draw

Most likely correct scores

Scores shown as Dauphins Noirs – Etoile de Kivu. 1-0 is the single most likely scoreline (11.7%); the 5 scores below add up to 50% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.

ScoreProbability
Dauphins Noirs 1-0 Etoile de Kivu11.7%
Dauphins Noirs 1-1 Etoile de Kivu11.2%
Dauphins Noirs 2-0 Etoile de Kivu10.2%
Dauphins Noirs 2-1 Etoile de Kivu9.8%
Dauphins Noirs 0-0 Etoile de Kivu6.7%

Goals: both teams to score, over/under

The model expects 2.70 goals in total (1.74 for Dauphins Noirs, 0.96 for Etoile de Kivu): over 2.5 goals has a 51% probability and both teams to score 51%. Dauphins Noirs keep a clean sheet in 38% of scenarios, Etoile de Kivu in 18%.

Probability
Dauphins Noirs expected goals1.74
Etoile de Kivu expected goals0.96
Both teams to score51%
Over 1.5 goals75%
Over 2.5 goals51%
Over 3.5 goals29%
Dauphins Noirs clean sheet38%
Etoile de Kivu clean sheet18%

Recent form

Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.

Dauphins Noirs

DateOpponentScore
Apr 9, 2026FC Renaissance · Linafoot (DR Congo)0-0D
Mar 28, 2026JSK · Linafoot (DR Congo)2-0W
Mar 25, 2026Vita Club · Linafoot (DR Congo)1-0W
Mar 18, 2026Motema Pembe · Linafoot (DR Congo)1-1D
Mar 5, 2026Anges Verts · Linafoot (DR Congo)3-0W

Etoile de Kivu

DateOpponentScore
Apr 15, 2026Motema Pembe · Linafoot (DR Congo)1-5L
Apr 9, 2026Rangers · Linafoot (DR Congo)1-0W
Mar 29, 2026Céleste · Linafoot (DR Congo)0-1L
Mar 1, 2026JSK · Linafoot (DR Congo)2-2D
Feb 22, 2026Maniema Union · Linafoot (DR Congo)2-3L

Standings before the match

Pos.PointsPlayed
Dauphins Noirs300
Etoile de Kivu600

Head-to-head

DateScoreCompetition
Jan 31, 2026Dauphins Noirs 3-2 Etoile de KivuLinafoot (DR Congo)
Nov 12, 2025Etoile de Kivu 0-3 Dauphins NoirsLinafoot (DR Congo)

Out and doubtful

Dauphins Noirs

No absences reported.

Etoile de Kivu

No absences reported.

First detailed prediction free, no card required.

See the full prediction (scenario, scorers, half-time)

Other matches in this competition

Frequently asked questions

What is the Dauphins Noirs vs Etoile de Kivu prediction?

Our AI gives Dauphins Noirs a 56% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Etoile de Kivu 21%. Dauphins Noirs are therefore favourites.

What is the most likely correct score for Dauphins Noirs vs Etoile de Kivu?

1-0 (11.7%), followed by 1-1 (11.2%), 2-0 (10.2%), 2-1 (9.8%) and 0-0 (6.7%).

Will both teams score in Dauphins Noirs vs Etoile de Kivu?

The probability that both Dauphins Noirs and Etoile de Kivu score is 51%. Dauphins Noirs have a 38% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Etoile de Kivu 18%.

How many goals should we expect in Dauphins Noirs vs Etoile de Kivu?

The model expects 2.70 goals (1.74 for Dauphins Noirs, 0.96 for Etoile de Kivu). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 75%, over 2.5 goals 51%, over 3.5 goals 29%.

When and where is Dauphins Noirs vs Etoile de Kivu played?

Tuesday, October 20, 2026 at 14:00 (UK time), Linafoot (DR Congo), matchday 1.

What form are Dauphins Noirs and Etoile de Kivu in?

Dauphins Noirs: 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches (7 scored, 1 conceded). Etoile de Kivu: 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (6 scored, 11 conceded).

What is the head-to-head record between Dauphins Noirs and Etoile de Kivu?

In the last 2 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 2 wins for Dauphins Noirs, 0 for Etoile de Kivu and 0 draws. The most recent ended Dauphins Noirs 3-2 Etoile de Kivu (Jan 31, 2026).

How is the Dauphins Noirs vs Etoile de Kivu prediction calculated?

The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.74 for Dauphins Noirs, 0.96 for Etoile de Kivu) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.

Go further

Key terms explained