Linafoot (DR Congo)· Kick-off : Tuesday, October 20, 2026, 12:00 (UK time)
Simba vs Saint-Luc prediction: correct score and AI tips
Match analysis
Linafoot (DR Congo), matchday 1: Simba vs Saint-Luc kicks off on Tuesday, October 20, 2026 at 12:00 (UK time). The edge goes to Simba (53%), ahead of the draw (24%) and a Saint-Luc win (23%). The most likely correct score is 1-0 (11.6%), ahead of 1-1 (11.6%) and 2-0 (9.6%).
Simba have won just one of their last 5 matches (2 draws, 2 defeats), scoring 3 and conceding 6. Saint-Luc have not won any of their last 5 matches (3 draws, 2 defeats), scoring 5 and conceding 8. On recent form, there is little to separate the two teams. On average Simba score 0.60 and concede 1.20 goals per game; Saint-Luc score 1.00 and concede 1.60.
In the last 2 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Simba, 0 for Saint-Luc and 1 draw. The most recent ended Simba 1-0 Saint-Luc (Jan 28, 2026). In double chance terms, "Simba or draw" stands at 77%, "Saint-Luc or draw" at 47% and "no draw" at 76%.
In short : Our model backs Simba to edge Saint-Luc (53% probability). On recent form, Simba have 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses in 5 while Saint-Luc have 0 win, 3 draws and 2 losses in 5. Both teams could find the net (BTTS at 51%).
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Simba – Saint-Luc. 1-0 is the single most likely scoreline (11.6%); the 5 scores below add up to 49% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Simba 1-0 Saint-Luc | 11.6% |
| Simba 1-1 Saint-Luc | 11.6% |
| Simba 2-0 Saint-Luc | 9.6% |
| Simba 2-1 Saint-Luc | 9.6% |
| Simba 0-0 Saint-Luc | 7.0% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
The model expects 2.66 goals in total (1.66 for Simba, 1.00 for Saint-Luc): over 2.5 goals has a 50% probability and both teams to score 51%. Simba keep a clean sheet in 37% of scenarios, Saint-Luc in 19%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Simba expected goals | 1.66 |
| Saint-Luc expected goals | 1.00 |
| Both teams to score | 51% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 74% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 28% |
| Simba clean sheet | 37% |
| Saint-Luc clean sheet | 19% |
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
Simba
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 20, 2026 | Maniema Union · Linafoot (DR Congo) | 2-1 | W |
| Jun 17, 2026 | Vita Club · Linafoot (DR Congo) | 0-0 | D |
| Jun 14, 2026 | JSK · Linafoot (DR Congo) | 0-1 | L |
| Jun 10, 2026 | Céleste · Linafoot (DR Congo) | 1-1 | D |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Saint Eloi Lupopo · Linafoot (DR Congo) | 0-3 | L |
Saint-Luc
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2026 | Tanganyika · Linafoot (DR Congo) | 2-2 | D |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Don Bosco · Linafoot (DR Congo) | 1-3 | L |
| Apr 2, 2026 | Blessing · Linafoot (DR Congo) | 0-1 | L |
| Mar 27, 2026 | Groupe Bazano · Linafoot (DR Congo) | 1-1 | D |
| Mar 25, 2026 | Malole · Linafoot (DR Congo) | 1-1 | D |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Simba | 8 | 0 | 0 |
| Saint-Luc | 4 | 0 | 0 |
Head-to-head
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 28, 2026 | Simba 1-0 Saint-Luc | Linafoot (DR Congo) |
| Dec 19, 2025 | Saint-Luc 1-1 Simba | Linafoot (DR Congo) |
Out and doubtful
Simba
No absences reported.
Saint-Luc
No absences reported.
First detailed prediction free, no card required.
See the full prediction (scenario, scorers, half-time)Other matches in this competition
- Don Bosco – MaloleOct 20, 2026
- CS Manika – Sanga BalendeOct 20, 2026
- Dauphins Noirs – Etoile de KivuOct 20, 2026
- Tanganyika – BlessingOct 20, 2026
- Saint Eloi Lupopo – AS New SogerOct 20, 2026
- JSK – FC MKOct 20, 2026
- Maniema Union – Étoile du CongoOct 20, 2026
- Céleste – New JackOct 21, 2026
- Vita Club – RangersOct 21, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Simba vs Saint-Luc prediction?
Our AI gives Simba a 53% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Saint-Luc 23%. Simba are therefore favourites.
What is the most likely correct score for Simba vs Saint-Luc?
1-0 (11.6%), followed by 1-1 (11.6%), 2-0 (9.6%), 2-1 (9.6%) and 0-0 (7.0%).
Will both teams score in Simba vs Saint-Luc?
The probability that both Simba and Saint-Luc score is 51%. Simba have a 37% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Saint-Luc 19%.
How many goals should we expect in Simba vs Saint-Luc?
The model expects 2.66 goals (1.66 for Simba, 1.00 for Saint-Luc). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 74%, over 2.5 goals 50%, over 3.5 goals 28%.
When and where is Simba vs Saint-Luc played?
Tuesday, October 20, 2026 at 12:00 (UK time), Linafoot (DR Congo), matchday 1.
What form are Simba and Saint-Luc in?
Simba: 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (3 scored, 6 conceded). Saint-Luc: 0 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (5 scored, 8 conceded).
What is the head-to-head record between Simba and Saint-Luc?
In the last 2 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Simba, 0 for Saint-Luc and 1 draw. The most recent ended Simba 1-0 Saint-Luc (Jan 28, 2026).
How is the Simba vs Saint-Luc prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.66 for Simba, 1.00 for Saint-Luc) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All Simba predictions
- All Saint-Luc predictions
- Linafoot (DR Congo) predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology