Linafoot (DR Congo)· Kick-off : Tuesday, October 20, 2026, 15:00 (UK time)
Maniema Union vs Étoile du Congo prediction: correct score and AI tips
Match analysis
Linafoot (DR Congo), matchday 1: Maniema Union vs Étoile du Congo kicks off on Tuesday, October 20, 2026 at 15:00 (UK time). Maniema Union start as favourites with a 50% chance of victory; Étoile du Congo are given 25% and the draw 25%. On the correct score, 1-1 comes out on top (12.0%), followed by 1-0 (11.3%) and 2-1 (9.4%).
Over their last 5 matches, Maniema Union have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat, scoring 9 and conceding 6. Étoile du Congo are unbeaten in their last 5 matches (4 wins, 1 draw), scoring 11 and conceding 1. Étoile du Congo therefore arrive in far better shape than Maniema Union. On average Maniema Union score 1.80 and concede 1.20 goals per game; Étoile du Congo score 2.20 and concede 0.20.
Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Maniema Union and Étoile du Congo: the prediction relies on each team's form and level. In double chance terms, "Maniema Union or draw" stands at 75%, "Étoile du Congo or draw" at 50% and "no draw" at 75%.
In short : Maniema Union are favourites for this Maniema Union v Étoile du Congo, with a 50% win probability from our model. On recent form, Maniema Union have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss in 5 while Étoile du Congo are in good shape (4 wins in 5). Our model's most likely scoreline: 1-1.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Maniema Union – Étoile du Congo. 1-1 is the single most likely scoreline (12.0%); the 5 scores below add up to 49% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Maniema Union 1-1 Étoile du Congo | 12.0% |
| Maniema Union 1-0 Étoile du Congo | 11.3% |
| Maniema Union 2-1 Étoile du Congo | 9.4% |
| Maniema Union 2-0 Étoile du Congo | 8.9% |
| Maniema Union 0-1 Étoile du Congo | 7.6% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
With 1.58 expected goals for Maniema Union and 1.06 for Étoile du Congo, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 49% and "both teams to score" at 52%. Maniema Union keep a clean sheet in 35% of scenarios, Étoile du Congo in 21%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Maniema Union expected goals | 1.58 |
| Étoile du Congo expected goals | 1.06 |
| Both teams to score | 52% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 74% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 49% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 27% |
| Maniema Union clean sheet | 35% |
| Étoile du Congo clean sheet | 21% |
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
Maniema Union
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 20, 2026 | Simba · Linafoot (DR Congo) | 1-2 | L |
| Jun 17, 2026 | JSK · Linafoot (DR Congo) | 1-1 | D |
| Jun 14, 2026 | Céleste · Linafoot (DR Congo) | 3-1 | W |
| Jun 10, 2026 | Vita Club · Linafoot (DR Congo) | 2-1 | W |
| Jun 7, 2026 | TP Mazembe · Linafoot (DR Congo) | 2-1 | W |
Étoile du Congo
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 23, 2025 | Diables Noirs · Ligue 1 | 3-0 | W |
| Mar 14, 2025 | CARA Brazzaville · Ligue 1 | 4-0 | W |
| Mar 7, 2025 | JS Talangaï · Ligue 1 | 0-0 | D |
| Mar 2, 2025 | Avenir · Ligue 1 | 1-0 | W |
| Feb 26, 2025 | AS Penarol · Ligue 1 | 3-1 | W |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Maniema Union | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Étoile du Congo | 12 | 0 | 0 |
Head-to-head
Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Maniema Union and Étoile du Congo: the prediction relies on each team's form and level.
Out and doubtful
Maniema Union
No absences reported.
Étoile du Congo
No absences reported.
First detailed prediction free, no card required.
See the full prediction (scenario, scorers, half-time)Other matches in this competition
- Simba – Saint-LucOct 20, 2026
- Don Bosco – MaloleOct 20, 2026
- CS Manika – Sanga BalendeOct 20, 2026
- Dauphins Noirs – Etoile de KivuOct 20, 2026
- Tanganyika – BlessingOct 20, 2026
- Saint Eloi Lupopo – AS New SogerOct 20, 2026
- JSK – FC MKOct 20, 2026
- Céleste – New JackOct 21, 2026
- Vita Club – RangersOct 21, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Maniema Union vs Étoile du Congo prediction?
Our AI gives Maniema Union a 50% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Étoile du Congo 25%. Maniema Union are therefore favourites.
What is the most likely correct score for Maniema Union vs Étoile du Congo?
1-1 (12.0%), followed by 1-0 (11.3%), 2-1 (9.4%), 2-0 (8.9%) and 0-1 (7.6%).
Will both teams score in Maniema Union vs Étoile du Congo?
The probability that both Maniema Union and Étoile du Congo score is 52%. Maniema Union have a 35% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Étoile du Congo 21%.
How many goals should we expect in Maniema Union vs Étoile du Congo?
The model expects 2.64 goals (1.58 for Maniema Union, 1.06 for Étoile du Congo). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 74%, over 2.5 goals 49%, over 3.5 goals 27%.
When and where is Maniema Union vs Étoile du Congo played?
Tuesday, October 20, 2026 at 15:00 (UK time), Linafoot (DR Congo), matchday 1.
What form are Maniema Union and Étoile du Congo in?
Maniema Union: 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (9 scored, 6 conceded). Étoile du Congo: 4 wins, 1 draw and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches (11 scored, 1 conceded).
How is the Maniema Union vs Étoile du Congo prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.58 for Maniema Union, 1.06 for Étoile du Congo) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All Maniema Union predictions
- All Étoile du Congo predictions
- Linafoot (DR Congo) predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology