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Linafoot (DR Congo)Linafoot (DR Congo)· Kick-off : Tuesday, October 20, 2026, 14:00 (UK time)

Saint Eloi Lupopo vs AS New Soger prediction: correct score and AI tips

Match analysis

Linafoot (DR Congo), matchday 1: the Saint Eloi Lupopo vs AS New Soger match is scheduled on Tuesday, October 20, 2026 at 14:00 (UK time). Venue: Stade de la Victoire, Lubumbashi. Saint Eloi Lupopo start as favourites with a 55% chance of victory; AS New Soger are given 21% and the draw 24%. On the correct score, 1-0 comes out on top (11.6%), followed by 1-1 (11.4%) and 2-0 (9.9%).

Saint Eloi Lupopo are unbeaten in their last 5 matches (2 wins, 3 draws), scoring 5 and conceding 1. AS New Soger have won just one of their last 5 matches (1 draw, 3 defeats), scoring 7 and conceding 11. Saint Eloi Lupopo therefore arrive in far better shape than AS New Soger. On average Saint Eloi Lupopo score 1.00 and concede 0.20 goals per game; AS New Soger score 1.40 and concede 2.20.

In the last 2 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 2 wins for Saint Eloi Lupopo, 0 for AS New Soger and 0 draws. The most recent ended Saint Eloi Lupopo 4-1 AS New Soger (Apr 2, 2026). In double chance terms, "Saint Eloi Lupopo or draw" stands at 79%, "AS New Soger or draw" at 45% and "no draw" at 76%.

In short : Our model backs Saint Eloi Lupopo to edge AS New Soger (55% probability). On recent form, Saint Eloi Lupopo have 2 wins, 3 draws and 0 losses in 5 while AS New Soger have 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses in 5. Both teams could find the net (BTTS at 51%).

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

55%
Saint Eloi Lupopo (Win)
24%
Draw
21%
AS New Soger (Win)

Double chance

79%
Saint Eloi Lupopo or draw
45%
AS New Soger or draw
76%
No draw

Most likely correct scores

Scores shown as Saint Eloi Lupopo – AS New Soger. 1-0 is the single most likely scoreline (11.6%); the 5 scores below add up to 49% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.

ScoreProbability
Saint Eloi Lupopo 1-0 AS New Soger11.6%
Saint Eloi Lupopo 1-1 AS New Soger11.4%
Saint Eloi Lupopo 2-0 AS New Soger9.9%
Saint Eloi Lupopo 2-1 AS New Soger9.7%
Saint Eloi Lupopo 0-0 AS New Soger6.8%

Goals: both teams to score, over/under

With 1.71 expected goals for Saint Eloi Lupopo and 0.98 for AS New Soger, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 50% and "both teams to score" at 51%. Saint Eloi Lupopo keep a clean sheet in 38% of scenarios, AS New Soger in 18%.

Probability
Saint Eloi Lupopo expected goals1.71
AS New Soger expected goals0.98
Both teams to score51%
Over 1.5 goals75%
Over 2.5 goals50%
Over 3.5 goals28%
Saint Eloi Lupopo clean sheet38%
AS New Soger clean sheet18%

Recent form

Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.

Saint Eloi Lupopo

DateOpponentScore
Jun 20, 2026Vita Club · Linafoot (DR Congo)1-0W
Jun 17, 2026Céleste · Linafoot (DR Congo)1-1D
Jun 14, 2026TP Mazembe · Linafoot (DR Congo)0-0D
Jun 11, 2026Don Bosco · Linafoot (DR Congo)0-0D
Jun 6, 2026Simba · Linafoot (DR Congo)3-0W

AS New Soger

DateOpponentScore
Apr 10, 2026Groupe Bazano · Linafoot (DR Congo)1-3L
Apr 2, 2026Saint Eloi Lupopo · Linafoot (DR Congo)1-4L
Mar 30, 2026FC Tshikas · Linafoot (DR Congo)1-1D
Mar 22, 2026Lubumbashi Sport · Linafoot (DR Congo)4-2W
Mar 18, 2026Tanganyika · Linafoot (DR Congo)0-1L

Standings before the match

Pos.PointsPlayed
Saint Eloi Lupopo200
AS New Soger700

Head-to-head

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 2, 2026Saint Eloi Lupopo 4-1 AS New SogerLinafoot (DR Congo)
Dec 16, 2025AS New Soger 2-6 Saint Eloi LupopoLinafoot (DR Congo)

Out and doubtful

Saint Eloi Lupopo

No absences reported.

AS New Soger

No absences reported.

First detailed prediction free, no card required.

See the full prediction (scenario, scorers, half-time)

Other matches in this competition

Frequently asked questions

What is the Saint Eloi Lupopo vs AS New Soger prediction?

Our AI gives Saint Eloi Lupopo a 55% chance of winning, the draw 24% and AS New Soger 21%. Saint Eloi Lupopo are therefore favourites.

What is the most likely correct score for Saint Eloi Lupopo vs AS New Soger?

1-0 (11.6%), followed by 1-1 (11.4%), 2-0 (9.9%), 2-1 (9.7%) and 0-0 (6.8%).

Will both teams score in Saint Eloi Lupopo vs AS New Soger?

The probability that both Saint Eloi Lupopo and AS New Soger score is 51%. Saint Eloi Lupopo have a 38% chance of keeping a clean sheet, AS New Soger 18%.

How many goals should we expect in Saint Eloi Lupopo vs AS New Soger?

The model expects 2.69 goals (1.71 for Saint Eloi Lupopo, 0.98 for AS New Soger). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 75%, over 2.5 goals 50%, over 3.5 goals 28%.

When and where is Saint Eloi Lupopo vs AS New Soger played?

Tuesday, October 20, 2026 at 14:00 (UK time), Linafoot (DR Congo), matchday 1. Venue: Stade de la Victoire, Lubumbashi.

What form are Saint Eloi Lupopo and AS New Soger in?

Saint Eloi Lupopo: 2 wins, 3 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches (5 scored, 1 conceded). AS New Soger: 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (7 scored, 11 conceded).

What is the head-to-head record between Saint Eloi Lupopo and AS New Soger?

In the last 2 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 2 wins for Saint Eloi Lupopo, 0 for AS New Soger and 0 draws. The most recent ended Saint Eloi Lupopo 4-1 AS New Soger (Apr 2, 2026).

How is the Saint Eloi Lupopo vs AS New Soger prediction calculated?

The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.71 for Saint Eloi Lupopo, 0.98 for AS New Soger) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.

Go further

Key terms explained