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Colombian Primera AColombian Primera A· Kick-off : Monday, November 2, 2026, 21:05 (UK time)

Águilas Doradas vs Fortaleza FC: 1-0 result and AI prediction review

Águilas DoradasÁguilas Doradas1 – 0Fortaleza FCFortaleza FC

Review: prediction vs result

1X2 outcome correctExact score foundMost likely score before kick-off : 1-0

Final score: Águilas Doradas 1-0 Fortaleza FC. The 1X2 prediction came good: victory for Águilas Doradas was the model's favourite outcome (65%). The exact score 1-0 was the most likely scoreline in our grid (12.9%). On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (46%): correct; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (51%): missed.

Match analysis

Águilas Doradas vs Fortaleza FC was played on Monday, November 2, 2026 (Colombian Primera A). Venue: Estadio Cincuentenario, Medellin. Before kick-off, our model gave Águilas Doradas a 65% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Fortaleza FC 14%. The most likely correct score is 1-0 (12.9%), ahead of 2-0 (12.7%) and 1-1 (9.8%).

Over their last 5 matches, Águilas Doradas have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat, scoring 7 and conceding 5. Fortaleza FC have not won any of their last 5 matches (3 draws, 2 defeats), scoring 6 and conceding 8. Recent momentum is clearly with Águilas Doradas. On average Águilas Doradas score 1.40 and concede 1.00 goals per game; Fortaleza FC score 1.20 and concede 1.60. In the table, Águilas Doradas sit 9th with 22 points from 16 games, Fortaleza FC 19th with 12 points from 16. 10 places separate the two sides. Over their recent games, Águilas Doradas have averaged 1.24 xG (expected goals) per match, against 1.20 for Fortaleza FC.

In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Águilas Doradas, 1 for Fortaleza FC and 0 draws. The most recent ended Fortaleza FC 2-0 Águilas Doradas (Apr 19, 2026). In double chance terms, "Águilas Doradas or draw" stands at 86%, "Fortaleza FC or draw" at 35% and "no draw" at 79%.

In short : Águilas Doradas are tipped by our AI model in this Águilas Doradas v Fortaleza FC (65%). In the table, Águilas Doradas (9th, 22 pts) host Fortaleza FC (19th, 12 pts). Our model's most likely scoreline: 1-0.

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

65%
Águilas Doradas (Win)
21%
Draw
14%
Fortaleza FC (Win)

Double chance

86%
Águilas Doradas or draw
35%
Fortaleza FC or draw
79%
No draw

Most likely correct scores

Scores shown as Águilas Doradas – Fortaleza FC. 1-0 is the single most likely scoreline (12.9%); the 5 scores below add up to 53% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.

ScoreProbability
Águilas Doradas 1-0 Fortaleza FC12.9%
Águilas Doradas 2-0 Fortaleza FC12.7%
Águilas Doradas 1-1 Fortaleza FC9.8%
Águilas Doradas 2-1 Fortaleza FC9.6%
Águilas Doradas 3-0 Fortaleza FC8.3%

Goals: both teams to score, over/under

The model expects 2.72 goals in total (1.96 for Águilas Doradas, 0.76 for Fortaleza FC): over 2.5 goals has a 51% probability and both teams to score 46%. Águilas Doradas keep a clean sheet in 47% of scenarios, Fortaleza FC in 14%.

Probability
Águilas Doradas expected goals1.96
Fortaleza FC expected goals0.76
Both teams to score46%
Over 1.5 goals76%
Over 2.5 goals51%
Over 3.5 goals29%
Águilas Doradas clean sheet47%
Fortaleza FC clean sheet14%

Recent form

Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.

Águilas Doradas

DateOpponentScore
Oct 27, 2026Cucuta · Colombian Primera A2-0W
Oct 24, 2026Junior · Colombian Primera A0-1L
Oct 18, 2026Deportes Tolima · Colombian Primera A2-1W
Oct 14, 2026Bucaramanga · Colombian Primera A1-1D
Oct 10, 2026Alianza Valledupar · Colombian Primera A2-2D

Fortaleza FC

DateOpponentScore
Oct 29, 2026America de Cali · Colombian Primera A1-2L
Oct 25, 2026Deportivo Cali · Colombian Primera A1-1D
Oct 21, 2026Internacional de Bogota · Colombian Primera A1-2L
Oct 11, 2026Santa Fe · Copa Colombia2-2D
Oct 9, 2026Millonarios · Colombian Primera A1-1D

Standings before the match

Pos.PointsPlayed
Águilas Doradas92216
Fortaleza FC191216

Head-to-head

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 19, 2026Fortaleza FC 2-0 Águilas DoradasColombian Primera A

Out and doubtful

Águilas Doradas

No absences reported.

Fortaleza FC

No absences reported.

Most regular starters

Águilas Doradas

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

  • A. Mosquera4/5
  • A. Ricaurte4/5
  • D. Lozano4/5
  • F. Lozano4/5
  • I. Rojas4/5
  • J. Mena4/5
  • J. Soto4/5
  • A. Vasquez3/5
  • J. Ontaneda3/5
  • M. Ramirez3/5
  • Andrés Mosquera1/5

Fortaleza FC

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

  • J. Medina Obando5/5
  • L. Pico5/5
  • S. Vivas5/5
  • W. Barlasina5/5
  • Y. Diaz5/5
  • J. Cajares4/5
  • J. Salas4/5
  • S. Cuero4/5
  • F. Pulicastro3/5
  • J. Herrera3/5
  • S. Navarro3/5

Other matches in this competition

Frequently asked questions

What is the Águilas Doradas vs Fortaleza FC prediction?

Before the match, our AI gave Águilas Doradas a 65% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Fortaleza FC 14%. Águilas Doradas are therefore favourites. Final score: 1-0.

What is the most likely correct score for Águilas Doradas vs Fortaleza FC?

1-0 (12.9%), followed by 2-0 (12.7%), 1-1 (9.8%), 2-1 (9.6%) and 3-0 (8.3%).

Will both teams score in Águilas Doradas vs Fortaleza FC?

The probability that both Águilas Doradas and Fortaleza FC score is 46%. Águilas Doradas have a 47% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Fortaleza FC 14%.

How many goals should we expect in Águilas Doradas vs Fortaleza FC?

The model expects 2.72 goals (1.96 for Águilas Doradas, 0.76 for Fortaleza FC). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 76%, over 2.5 goals 51%, over 3.5 goals 29%.

When and where is Águilas Doradas vs Fortaleza FC played?

Monday, November 2, 2026 at 21:05 (UK time), Colombian Primera A. Venue: Estadio Cincuentenario, Medellin.

What form are Águilas Doradas and Fortaleza FC in?

Águilas Doradas: 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (7 scored, 5 conceded). Fortaleza FC: 0 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (6 scored, 8 conceded).

What is the head-to-head record between Águilas Doradas and Fortaleza FC?

In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Águilas Doradas, 1 for Fortaleza FC and 0 draws. The most recent ended Fortaleza FC 2-0 Águilas Doradas (Apr 19, 2026).

What was the Águilas Doradas vs Fortaleza FC result, and was the prediction right?

Final score: Águilas Doradas 1-0 Fortaleza FC. The 1X2 prediction came good: victory for Águilas Doradas was the model's favourite outcome (65%). The exact score 1-0 was the most likely scoreline in our grid (12.9%). On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (46%): correct; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (51%): missed.

How is the Águilas Doradas vs Fortaleza FC prediction calculated?

The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.96 for Águilas Doradas, 0.76 for Fortaleza FC) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.

Go further

Key terms explained