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Colombian Primera AColombian Primera A· Kick-off : Wednesday, November 4, 2026, 23:30 (UK time)

Cucuta vs Santa Fe: 1-0 result and AI prediction review

CucutaCucuta1 – 0Santa FeSanta Fe

Review: prediction vs result

1X2 outcome missedExact score missedMost likely score before kick-off : 0-0

Final score: Cucuta 1-0 Santa Fe. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Santa Fe (36%), while victory for Cucuta was rated at only 30%. The final score ranked 3rd among the most likely scorelines (14.5%), behind 0-0. On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (33%): correct; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (25%): correct.

Match analysis

Cucuta and Santa Fe met on Wednesday, November 4, 2026, a Colombian Primera A fixture. Venue: Estadio General Santander, Cucuta. Before kick-off, our model gave Cucuta a 30% chance of winning, the draw 34% and Santa Fe 36%. On the correct score, 0-0 comes out on top (17.9%), followed by 0-1 (16.3%) and 1-0 (14.5%).

Over their last 5 matches, Cucuta have 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats, scoring 7 and conceding 5. Over their last 5 matches, Santa Fe have 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats, scoring 4 and conceding 7. Cucuta therefore arrive in far better shape than Santa Fe. On average Cucuta score 1.40 and concede 1.00 goals per game; Santa Fe score 0.80 and concede 1.40. In the table, Cucuta sit 11th with 21 points from 16 games, Santa Fe 5th with 28 points from 16. 6 places separate the two sides. Over their recent games, Cucuta have averaged 0.81 xG (expected goals) per match, against 0.91 for Santa Fe.

In the last 4 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 2 wins for Cucuta, 2 for Santa Fe and 0 draws. The most recent ended Santa Fe 5-0 Cucuta (Apr 19, 2026). In double chance terms, "Cucuta or draw" stands at 64%, "Santa Fe or draw" at 70% and "no draw" at 66%.

In short : An evenly-matched game between Cucuta and Santa Fe: our model sees no clear favourite. In the table, Cucuta (11th, 21 pts) host Santa Fe (5th, 28 pts). The model leans towards a tight, low-scoring game.

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

30%
Cucuta (Win)
34%
Draw
36%
Santa Fe (Win)

Double chance

64%
Cucuta or draw
70%
Santa Fe or draw
66%
No draw

Most likely correct scores

Scores shown as Cucuta – Santa Fe. 0-0 is the single most likely scoreline (17.9%); the 5 scores below add up to 69% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.

ScoreProbability
Cucuta 0-0 Santa Fe17.9%
Cucuta 0-1 Santa Fe16.3%
Cucuta 1-0 Santa Fe14.5%
Cucuta 1-1 Santa Fe13.2%
Cucuta 0-2 Santa Fe7.4%

Goals: both teams to score, over/under

With 0.81 expected goals for Cucuta and 0.91 for Santa Fe, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 25% and "both teams to score" at 33%. Few goals are expected here. Cucuta keep a clean sheet in 40% of scenarios, Santa Fe in 45%.

Probability
Cucuta expected goals0.81
Santa Fe expected goals0.91
Both teams to score33%
Over 1.5 goals51%
Over 2.5 goals25%
Over 3.5 goals10%
Cucuta clean sheet40%
Santa Fe clean sheet45%

Recent form

Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.

Cucuta

DateOpponentScore
Oct 27, 2026Águilas Doradas · Colombian Primera A0-2L
Oct 25, 2026America de Cali · Colombian Primera A1-3L
Oct 21, 2026Atletico Nacional · Colombian Primera A1-0W
Oct 12, 2026Chico · Colombian Primera A1-0W
Oct 4, 2026Deportivo Pereira · Colombian Primera A4-0W

Santa Fe

DateOpponentScore
Nov 2, 2026Once Caldas · Copa Colombia0-2L
Oct 30, 2026Atletico Nacional · Colombian Primera A0-2L
Oct 27, 2026Bucaramanga · Colombian Primera A2-1W
Oct 22, 2026Jaguares · Colombian Primera A2-1W
Oct 19, 2026Llaneros · Colombian Primera A0-1L

Standings before the match

Pos.PointsPlayed
Cucuta112116
Santa Fe52816

Head-to-head

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 19, 2026Santa Fe 5-0 CucutaPrimera A
Oct 3, 2020Cucuta 2-3 Santa FePrimera A
Jul 20, 2019Cucuta 1-0 Santa FePrimera A
Jan 30, 2019Santa Fe 1-2 CucutaPrimera A

Out and doubtful

Cucuta

No absences reported.

Santa Fe

No absences reported.

Most regular starters

Cucuta

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

  • D. Perez4/5
  • F. Abadia4/5
  • G. Torres4/5
  • H. Lopes4/5
  • J. Quinones4/5
  • L. Berdugo4/5
  • Neneco4/5
  • B. Montano3/5
  • J. Peralta3/5
  • V. Mejia3/5
  • S. Tamara2/5

Santa Fe

Starts over the last 4 matches (official line-ups).

  • E. Olivera4/4
  • H. Palacios4/4
  • H. Rodallega4/4
  • J. Torres4/4
  • W. Asprilla4/4
  • D. Torres3/4
  • F. Fagundez3/4
  • I. R. Scarpeta Silgado3/4
  • J. Obrian3/4
  • A. Zapata2/4
  • C. Mafla2/4

Other matches in this competition

Frequently asked questions

What is the Cucuta vs Santa Fe prediction?

Before the match, our AI gave Cucuta a 30% chance of winning, the draw 34% and Santa Fe 36%. Santa Fe are therefore slight favourites. Final score: 1-0.

What is the most likely correct score for Cucuta vs Santa Fe?

0-0 (17.9%), followed by 0-1 (16.3%), 1-0 (14.5%), 1-1 (13.2%) and 0-2 (7.4%).

Will both teams score in Cucuta vs Santa Fe?

The probability that both Cucuta and Santa Fe score is 33%. Cucuta have a 40% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Santa Fe 45%.

How many goals should we expect in Cucuta vs Santa Fe?

The model expects 1.72 goals (0.81 for Cucuta, 0.91 for Santa Fe). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 51%, over 2.5 goals 25%, over 3.5 goals 10%.

When and where is Cucuta vs Santa Fe played?

Wednesday, November 4, 2026 at 23:30 (UK time), Colombian Primera A. Venue: Estadio General Santander, Cucuta.

What form are Cucuta and Santa Fe in?

Cucuta: 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (7 scored, 5 conceded). Santa Fe: 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (4 scored, 7 conceded).

What is the head-to-head record between Cucuta and Santa Fe?

In the last 4 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 2 wins for Cucuta, 2 for Santa Fe and 0 draws. The most recent ended Santa Fe 5-0 Cucuta (Apr 19, 2026).

What was the Cucuta vs Santa Fe result, and was the prediction right?

Final score: Cucuta 1-0 Santa Fe. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Santa Fe (36%), while victory for Cucuta was rated at only 30%. The final score ranked 3rd among the most likely scorelines (14.5%), behind 0-0. On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (33%): correct; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (25%): correct.

How is the Cucuta vs Santa Fe prediction calculated?

The model estimates each team's expected goals (0.81 for Cucuta, 0.91 for Santa Fe) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.

Go further

Key terms explained