Colombian Primera A· Kick-off : Tuesday, November 3, 2026, 20:30 (UK time)
Deportivo Pereira vs Deportes Tolima: 1-3 result and AI prediction review
Review: prediction vs result
Final score: Deportivo Pereira 1-3 Deportes Tolima. The 1X2 prediction came good: a draw was the model's favourite outcome (34%). The model considered this score unlikely (1.7%). On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (33%): missed; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (24%): missed.
Match analysis
Deportivo Pereira vs Deportes Tolima was played on Tuesday, November 3, 2026 (Colombian Primera A). Venue: Santiago de las Atalayas, Yopal. Before kick-off, our model gave Deportivo Pereira a 32% chance of winning, the draw 34% and Deportes Tolima 34%. The most likely correct score is 0-0 (18.3%), ahead of 0-1 (15.9%) and 1-0 (15.2%).
Deportivo Pereira are unbeaten in their last 5 matches (2 wins, 3 draws), scoring 5 and conceding 2. Deportes Tolima have not won any of their last 5 matches (2 draws, 3 defeats), scoring 3 and conceding 6. Recent momentum is clearly with Deportivo Pereira. On average Deportivo Pereira score 1.00 and concede 0.40 goals per game; Deportes Tolima score 0.60 and concede 1.20. In the table, Deportivo Pereira sit 15th with 17 points from 16 games, Deportes Tolima 11th with 20 points from 16. The two teams are close in the standings. Over their recent games, Deportivo Pereira have averaged 0.74 xG (expected goals) per match, against 0.95 for Deportes Tolima.
In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Deportivo Pereira, 1 for Deportes Tolima and 0 draws. The most recent ended Deportes Tolima 2-0 Deportivo Pereira (Apr 19, 2026). In double chance terms, "Deportivo Pereira or draw" stands at 66%, "Deportes Tolima or draw" at 68% and "no draw" at 66%.
In short : An evenly-matched game between Deportivo Pereira and Deportes Tolima: our model sees no clear favourite. On recent form, Deportivo Pereira have 2 wins, 3 draws and 0 losses in 5 while Deportes Tolima have 0 win, 2 draws and 3 losses in 5. The model leans towards a tight, low-scoring game.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Deportivo Pereira – Deportes Tolima. 0-0 is the single most likely scoreline (18.3%); the 5 scores below add up to 70% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Deportivo Pereira 0-0 Deportes Tolima | 18.3% |
| Deportivo Pereira 0-1 Deportes Tolima | 15.9% |
| Deportivo Pereira 1-0 Deportes Tolima | 15.2% |
| Deportivo Pereira 1-1 Deportes Tolima | 13.2% |
| Deportivo Pereira 0-2 Deportes Tolima | 6.9% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
The model expects 1.70 goals in total (0.83 for Deportivo Pereira, 0.87 for Deportes Tolima): over 2.5 goals has a 24% probability and both teams to score 33%. A tight, low-scoring game is on the cards. Deportivo Pereira keep a clean sheet in 42% of scenarios, Deportes Tolima in 44%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Deportivo Pereira expected goals | 0.83 |
| Deportes Tolima expected goals | 0.87 |
| Both teams to score | 33% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 51% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 24% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 9% |
| Deportivo Pereira clean sheet | 42% |
| Deportes Tolima clean sheet | 44% |
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
Deportivo Pereira
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 2026 | Jaguares · Colombian Primera A | 1-0 | W |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Once Caldas · Colombian Primera A | 1-1 | D |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Chico · Colombian Primera A | 2-0 | W |
| Oct 14, 2026 | Junior · Colombian Primera A | 1-1 | D |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Deportivo Cali · Colombian Primera A | 0-0 | D |
Deportes Tolima
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 26, 2026 | Deportivo Pasto · Colombian Primera A | 0-1 | L |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Águilas Doradas · Colombian Primera A | 1-2 | L |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Jaguares · Colombian Primera A | 2-3 | L |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Atletico Nacional · Colombian Primera A | 0-0 | D |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Chico · Colombian Primera A | 0-0 | D |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deportivo Pereira | 15 | 17 | 16 |
| Deportes Tolima | 11 | 20 | 16 |
Head-to-head
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 19, 2026 | Deportes Tolima 2-0 Deportivo Pereira | Colombian Primera A |
Out and doubtful
Deportivo Pereira
No absences reported.
Deportes Tolima
No absences reported.
Most regular starters
Deportivo Pereira
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- J. Largacha5/5
- J. Monroy5/5
- S. Aguilar5/5
- W. Pacheco5/5
- Y. A. Gomez Palacio5/5
- F. Delgado4/5
- M. Palacios4/5
- M. Perez4/5
- A. Plata3/5
- E. Moreno3/5
- S. Urrea3/5
Deportes Tolima
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- B. Rovira5/5
- E. Valencia5/5
- Neto Volpi5/5
- A. Angulo4/5
- A. Parra Osorio4/5
- H. E. Martinez Yepez4/5
- J. Hernandez4/5
- J. Mosquera4/5
- S. Guzman3/5
- S. P. Barbosa Gomez3/5
- E. Lopez2/5
Other matches in this competition
- Llaneros 3-2 JuniorOct 31, 2026
- Deportivo Cali 2-0 ChicoNov 1, 2026
- Independiente Medellin 2-1 Alianza ValleduparNov 1, 2026
- Águilas Doradas 1-0 Fortaleza FCNov 2, 2026
- Bucaramanga 1-1 Atletico NacionalNov 3, 2026
- Deportivo Pasto 2-0 JaguaresNov 3, 2026
- Cucuta 1-0 Santa FeNov 4, 2026
- Millonarios 0-0 America de CaliNov 5, 2026
- Chico 2-1 Internacional de BogotaNov 6, 2026
- Fortaleza FC 0-3 Independiente MedellinNov 7, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Deportivo Pereira vs Deportes Tolima prediction?
Before the match, our AI gave Deportivo Pereira a 32% chance of winning, the draw 34% and Deportes Tolima 34%. A draw is therefore the most likely outcome. Final score: 1-3.
What is the most likely correct score for Deportivo Pereira vs Deportes Tolima?
0-0 (18.3%), followed by 0-1 (15.9%), 1-0 (15.2%), 1-1 (13.2%) and 0-2 (6.9%).
Will both teams score in Deportivo Pereira vs Deportes Tolima?
The probability that both Deportivo Pereira and Deportes Tolima score is 33%. Deportivo Pereira have a 42% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Deportes Tolima 44%.
How many goals should we expect in Deportivo Pereira vs Deportes Tolima?
The model expects 1.70 goals (0.83 for Deportivo Pereira, 0.87 for Deportes Tolima). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 51%, over 2.5 goals 24%, over 3.5 goals 9%.
When and where is Deportivo Pereira vs Deportes Tolima played?
Tuesday, November 3, 2026 at 20:30 (UK time), Colombian Primera A. Venue: Santiago de las Atalayas, Yopal.
What form are Deportivo Pereira and Deportes Tolima in?
Deportivo Pereira: 2 wins, 3 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches (5 scored, 2 conceded). Deportes Tolima: 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (3 scored, 6 conceded).
What is the head-to-head record between Deportivo Pereira and Deportes Tolima?
In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Deportivo Pereira, 1 for Deportes Tolima and 0 draws. The most recent ended Deportes Tolima 2-0 Deportivo Pereira (Apr 19, 2026).
What was the Deportivo Pereira vs Deportes Tolima result, and was the prediction right?
Final score: Deportivo Pereira 1-3 Deportes Tolima. The 1X2 prediction came good: a draw was the model's favourite outcome (34%). The model considered this score unlikely (1.7%). On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (33%): missed; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (24%): missed.
How is the Deportivo Pereira vs Deportes Tolima prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (0.83 for Deportivo Pereira, 0.87 for Deportes Tolima) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All Deportivo Pereira predictions
- All Deportes Tolima predictions
- Colombian Primera A predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology