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Colombian Primera AColombian Primera A· Kick-off : Friday, November 6, 2026, 23:00 (UK time)

Chico vs Internacional de Bogota: 2-1 result and AI prediction review

ChicoChico2 – 1Internacional de BogotaInternacional de Bogota

Review: prediction vs result

1X2 outcome missedExact score missedMost likely score before kick-off : 0-1

Final score: Chico 2-1 Internacional de Bogota. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Internacional de Bogota (45%), while victory for Chico was rated at only 26%. The final score ranked 7th among the most likely scorelines (5.8%), behind 0-1. On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (42%): missed; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (36%): missed.

Match analysis

Chico and Internacional de Bogota met on Friday, November 6, 2026, a Colombian Primera A fixture. Venue: Estadio La Independencia, Tunja. Before kick-off, our model gave Chico a 26% chance of winning, the draw 29% and Internacional de Bogota 45%. On the correct score, 0-1 comes out on top (14.7%), followed by 1-1 (13.1%) and 0-0 (11.6%).

Chico have won just one of their last 5 matches (1 draw, 3 defeats), scoring 3 and conceding 9. Over their last 5 matches, Internacional de Bogota have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat, scoring 11 and conceding 6. Internacional de Bogota therefore arrive in far better shape than Chico. On average Chico score 0.60 and concede 1.80 goals per game; Internacional de Bogota score 2.20 and concede 1.20. In the table, Chico sit 17th with 16 points from 17 games, Internacional de Bogota 12th with 20 points from 17. The two teams are close in the standings. Over their recent games, Chico have averaged 0.94 xG (expected goals) per match, against 1.19 for Internacional de Bogota.

In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 2 wins for Chico, 2 for Internacional de Bogota and 1 draw. The most recent ended Internacional de Bogota 4-0 Chico (Apr 27, 2026). In double chance terms, "Chico or draw" stands at 55%, "Internacional de Bogota or draw" at 74% and "no draw" at 71%.

In short : Internacional de Bogota are favourites for this Chico v Internacional de Bogota, with a 45% win probability from our model. In the table, Chico (17th, 16 pts) host Internacional de Bogota (12th, 20 pts). Our model's most likely scoreline: 0-1.

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

26%
Chico (Win)
29%
Draw
45%
Internacional de Bogota (Win)

Double chance

55%
Chico or draw
74%
Internacional de Bogota or draw
71%
No draw

Most likely correct scores

Scores shown as Chico – Internacional de Bogota. 0-1 is the single most likely scoreline (14.7%); the 5 scores below add up to 59% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.

ScoreProbability
Chico 0-1 Internacional de Bogota14.7%
Chico 1-1 Internacional de Bogota13.1%
Chico 0-0 Internacional de Bogota11.6%
Chico 1-0 Internacional de Bogota10.4%
Chico 0-2 Internacional de Bogota9.2%

Goals: both teams to score, over/under

With 0.89 expected goals for Chico and 1.26 for Internacional de Bogota, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 36% and "both teams to score" at 42%. Few goals are expected here. Chico keep a clean sheet in 28% of scenarios, Internacional de Bogota in 41%.

Probability
Chico expected goals0.89
Internacional de Bogota expected goals1.26
Both teams to score42%
Over 1.5 goals63%
Over 2.5 goals36%
Over 3.5 goals17%
Chico clean sheet28%
Internacional de Bogota clean sheet41%

Recent form

Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.

Chico

DateOpponentScore
Nov 1, 2026Deportivo Cali · Colombian Primera A0-2L
Oct 28, 2026Junior · Colombian Primera A1-1D
Oct 24, 2026Bucaramanga · Colombian Primera A1-0W
Oct 20, 2026Deportivo Pereira · Colombian Primera A0-2L
Oct 17, 2026Atletico Nacional · Colombian Primera A1-4L

Internacional de Bogota

DateOpponentScore
Oct 29, 2026Independiente Medellin · Colombian Primera A3-1W
Oct 25, 2026Alianza Valledupar · Colombian Primera A0-1L
Oct 21, 2026Fortaleza FC · Colombian Primera A2-1W
Oct 16, 2026Llaneros · Copa Colombia4-1W
Oct 11, 2026Junior · Colombian Primera A2-2D

Standings before the match

Pos.PointsPlayed
Chico171617
Internacional de Bogota122017

Head-to-head

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 27, 2026Internacional de Bogota 4-0 ChicoPrimera A
Aug 12, 2025Chico 0-0 Internacional de BogotaPrimera A
Feb 22, 2025Internacional de Bogota 0-1 ChicoPrimera A
Oct 29, 2024Chico 1-0 Internacional de BogotaPrimera A
Apr 8, 2024Internacional de Bogota 4-0 ChicoPrimera A

Out and doubtful

Chico

No absences reported.

Internacional de Bogota

No absences reported.

Most regular starters

Chico

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

  • C. Blanco Betancur5/5
  • D. Agudelo5/5
  • E. Sarria5/5
  • J. Pimentel5/5
  • S. Mera5/5
  • A. Maya4/5
  • J. Alomia4/5
  • J. Diaz4/5
  • C. Mosquera3/5
  • Cardenas3/5
  • D. Polanco3/5

Internacional de Bogota

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

  • A. Irazoque5/5
  • C. Dajome5/5
  • F. Sanguinetti5/5
  • J. Castro5/5
  • M. Pernia5/5
  • R. Julio5/5
  • W. Farinez5/5
  • C. Vivas4/5
  • D. S. Victoria Palacios4/5
  • L. Vasquez4/5
  • F. Bone3/5

Other matches in this competition

Frequently asked questions

What is the Chico vs Internacional de Bogota prediction?

Before the match, our AI gave Chico a 26% chance of winning, the draw 29% and Internacional de Bogota 45%. Internacional de Bogota are therefore favourites. Final score: 2-1.

What is the most likely correct score for Chico vs Internacional de Bogota?

0-1 (14.7%), followed by 1-1 (13.1%), 0-0 (11.6%), 1-0 (10.4%) and 0-2 (9.2%).

Will both teams score in Chico vs Internacional de Bogota?

The probability that both Chico and Internacional de Bogota score is 42%. Chico have a 28% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Internacional de Bogota 41%.

How many goals should we expect in Chico vs Internacional de Bogota?

The model expects 2.15 goals (0.89 for Chico, 1.26 for Internacional de Bogota). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 63%, over 2.5 goals 36%, over 3.5 goals 17%.

When and where is Chico vs Internacional de Bogota played?

Friday, November 6, 2026 at 23:00 (UK time), Colombian Primera A. Venue: Estadio La Independencia, Tunja.

What form are Chico and Internacional de Bogota in?

Chico: 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (3 scored, 9 conceded). Internacional de Bogota: 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (11 scored, 6 conceded).

What is the head-to-head record between Chico and Internacional de Bogota?

In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 2 wins for Chico, 2 for Internacional de Bogota and 1 draw. The most recent ended Internacional de Bogota 4-0 Chico (Apr 27, 2026).

What was the Chico vs Internacional de Bogota result, and was the prediction right?

Final score: Chico 2-1 Internacional de Bogota. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Internacional de Bogota (45%), while victory for Chico was rated at only 26%. The final score ranked 7th among the most likely scorelines (5.8%), behind 0-1. On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (42%): missed; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (36%): missed.

How is the Chico vs Internacional de Bogota prediction calculated?

The model estimates each team's expected goals (0.89 for Chico, 1.26 for Internacional de Bogota) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.

Go further

Key terms explained